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楼市止跌回稳需要新思路和新策略
对于正在经历的调整,要客观理性地看待。首先,我国城镇化从快速增长期转向稳定发展期,城市发展 从大规模增量扩张阶段转向存量提质增效为主的阶段,房地产供求关系会发生重大变化。行业和经济基 本面发生变化,对房地产的需求也产生了影响,行业和市场出现调整、释放压力有一定的必然性。 其次,近几年房价持续调整,"房价只涨不跌"的预期被打破,住房金融属性基本褪去并回归到居住属 性。供求关系发生重大变化以及住房存量时代的到来,作为增量的新房开发、销售一定程度上会相应下 降。这既是供给端适应需求端而变化,也是供给收缩并与需求再平衡的必然结果。 再次,按目前规模推算,2025年住宅新开工5亿平方米左右,处于低位状态。考虑到存量住宅大概30% 的部分将会在未来5~10年进入到30年以上的楼龄。即便每年拆除式更新10%,也将有10亿左右的新增 住房建设量,加上住房改善升级的主旋律,行业供求两端正在向平衡靠拢,市场持续大幅下跌的可能性 并不大。 最后,不管是新市民和外来人口的刚性需求,还是新型城镇化的潜力需求,抑或是住房改善的需求,存 量改造和升级迭代的需求,房地产市场的潜力很大、韧性很强。对各地来讲,既要尊重房地产市场自身 规律,主动 ...
“十四五”成就|18号线年底具备开通试运营条件 19号线二期等计划开工建设
Bei Jing Qing Nian Bao· 2025-09-15 05:38
Group 1 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" achievements showcase the development of the Pingyuan New Town, which plays a crucial role in the coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the construction of a modern capital metropolitan area [1] - Over 400,000 new enterprises have been established in the Pingyuan New Town since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," significantly enhancing regional competitiveness and attractiveness [1] - The economic total of the Pingyuan New Town is approaching 1 trillion yuan, with the resident population exceeding 30% of the city's total [1] Group 2 - The city has implemented tailored high-quality development plans for each district within the Pingyuan New Town, focusing on industrial development, livability, resource allocation, and mechanism guarantees [1] - Key infrastructure projects are being advanced, including the 18th subway line, which is expected to be ready for trial operation by the end of the year, and the planned construction of the second phase of the 19th subway line [1] - The establishment of high-quality educational and medical resources is progressing, with new campuses for several universities and the opening of multiple hospitals [1] Group 3 - The construction of the Tsinghua National Key Laboratory and the International Pharmaceutical Innovation Park is accelerating, enhancing the capacity for high-quality technological innovation [1] - A total of over 50,000 quality primary and secondary school placements are being promoted to strengthen public service resource allocation [1] - The "park + enterprise" model for technology achievement transformation is beginning to take shape, with 14 national key laboratories set to be established in the area [1]