1月中国物流业景气指数保持扩张态势 编辑：熊思怡 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 本文为转载内容，授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中新经纬版权所有，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用。 关注中新经纬微信公众号(微信搜索"中新经纬"或"jwview")，看更多精彩财经资讯。 1月份，业务总量指数为51.2%，环比回落1.2个百分点；新订单指数为50.2%，环比回落1.6个百分点。 同期，消费物流需求持续活跃，带动相关物流业务板块扩张。邮政快递业业务总量指数为70.8%，地方 特色年货、智能家电等订单保持较快增长。道路干线物流平稳增长，航空物流扩能增效。 中国物流信息中心副总经济师胡焓认为，1月份指数波动主要受季节性因素影响，随着假期临近，企业 生产安排和预期均有所回调，物流业务活动整体有所放缓。为确保节后顺利开工，要高度重视今年节后 复工复产进程，提升供应链复苏韧性，在扩大需求、巩固预期等方面持续发力。做好节后生产生活物 资、大宗能源物资、春耕备耕物资等重点物资的运输保障。(完) 来源：中国新闻网 中新社北京2月5日电 (记者 阮煜琳)中国物流与采购联合会5日发布数据显示，1月份中国物流业景气指 ...

Core Insights - The average logistics industry prosperity index in China for 2025 is projected to be 50.8%, indicating an overall positive trend and optimized momentum in the sector [1][2] - In December 2025, the logistics prosperity index reached 52.4%, a 1.5 percentage point increase from the previous month, marking the highest level for the year [1] - Key indicators such as total business volume index, equipment utilization index, new orders index, capital turnover index, and employment index are all in the expansion zone and have shown month-on-month recovery [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - The logistics sector is driven by strong demand in bulk energy, manufacturing, and consumer sectors, contributing to an overall positive outlook [1] - In the consumer sector, national policies and regional system collaboration have effectively stimulated consumer potential, enhancing logistics activity [1] - The online retail sales of physical goods reached 11.8 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.7% for the first eleven months of 2025 [1] Group 2: Manufacturing and Investment - The logistics demand in the manufacturing sector is bolstered by the growth in new energy vehicles, integrated circuits, transportation equipment, and general machinery [2] - There is significant potential for logistics demand in the upgrade of smart equipment and energy-saving devices, indicating a new driving force in industrial manufacturing logistics [1][2] - The fixed asset investment completion index for the logistics industry remained above 55%, reflecting a high level of business activity expectations [2]

Core Insights - The logistics industry in China is experiencing a steady improvement, with the logistics prosperity index reaching a six-month high of 51.2% in September, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month [1] - The demand for logistics services is growing steadily, driven by consumer spending in sectors such as tourism and e-commerce, particularly during the back-to-school and travel seasons [1][2] - The third quarter shows a cumulative recovery of 0.4 percentage points in the logistics prosperity index, indicating a stabilization and improvement in business vitality [3] Logistics Demand - There is a positive growth trend in logistics demand across various sectors, including energy transportation, electronic components, pharmaceuticals, communication equipment, and durable consumer goods [2] - The air logistics sector is witnessing rapid growth, with high bellyhold utilization rates [2] Business Activity and Pricing - The logistics service price index, workforce index, and main business profit index have all shown continuous recovery, with the logistics service price index increasing by 0.9 percentage points in the third quarter [3] - The demand for personnel in the logistics sector has increased, particularly in water transportation, air transportation, and multimodal transport [3] Future Outlook - The average business activity expectation index for the third quarter is at 56%, indicating an expansionary trend [4] - The implementation of policies aimed at stabilizing employment, businesses, markets, and expectations is expected to support the continued stable operation of the logistics sector [4]

Core Viewpoint - The logistics industry in China is experiencing a steady recovery, with the logistics prosperity index reaching a six-month high in September, indicating effective supply chain connections and stable growth in logistics demand [1][3]. Logistics Prosperity Index - The logistics prosperity index for September is reported at 51.2%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month [3]. - The total demand for logistics services continues to expand, with the new orders index accelerating within the expansion range [3]. Sector Performance - New orders indices for various sectors, including rail, road, air, multimodal transport, and express delivery, have all rebounded by more than 0.5 percentage points month-on-month [3]. - The postal and express delivery sector shows a significant business volume index of 70.1%, well above the industry average [5]. Consumer Demand - Post-summer heat, consumer logistics have rebounded quickly due to the back-to-school and travel seasons, with strong performance in online shopping and seasonal consumer goods [5][8]. - Categories such as cold chain fresh food, home appliances, outdoor tourism, and beauty products maintain high demand [5]. Industry Logistics Demand - Industries such as energy transport, electronic components, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications equipment, and durable consumer goods are experiencing positive growth in logistics demand [7]. - Air logistics demand is also growing rapidly, with high bellyhold utilization rates [7]. Business Activity and Profitability - The logistics industry shows a cumulative increase of 0.4 percentage points in the prosperity index for the third quarter, indicating improved business vitality [9]. - The logistics service price index, employment index, and main business profit index have all shown continuous recovery [9]. - The main business profit index for enterprises has increased by 0.5 percentage points in the third quarter, reflecting a certain degree of growth in operational and profitability levels [11]. Future Outlook - The average business activity expectation index for the third quarter is at 56%, indicating continued expansion [12]. - With the implementation of policies aimed at stabilizing employment, businesses, markets, and expectations, the logistics sector is expected to maintain a stable operational trend [12].

Core Insights - The China Logistics and Purchasing Federation reported that the logistics industry in China experienced a continued improvement in September, with the logistics prosperity index reaching its highest point in nearly six months [1] Summary by Categories Logistics Prosperity Index - The logistics prosperity index for September was 51.2%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month [1] Demand and New Orders - Overall logistics demand maintained an expansion trend, with the new orders index accelerating within the expansion range [1] - The new orders index for railway, road, air transport, multimodal transport, and postal express sectors all rebounded by more than 0.5 percentage points month-on-month [1]

Core Viewpoint - In August, China's logistics industry maintained an expansionary trend with a logistics prosperity index of 50.9%, reflecting a 0.4 percentage point increase from the previous month, driven by the implementation of policies aimed at promoting consumption, stabilizing investment, and ensuring livelihoods [1][2]. Group 1: Logistics Industry Performance - The logistics business volume index and new orders index both showed significant growth, with the business volume index at 50.9%, remaining in the expansion zone for six consecutive months [1]. - The logistics service price index increased by 0.3 percentage points month-on-month, with specific sectors such as road and water transportation seeing price increases of 0.2 percentage points and 0.6 percentage points, respectively [1]. - The fixed asset investment completion index remained in the expansion zone, with central and western regions achieving completion indices around 55% [1]. Group 2: Market Outlook - The business activity expectation index rose to 55.8%, indicating positive sentiment in the logistics sector [1]. - Recent positive signals from the Chinese government are expected to stabilize market confidence and stimulate consumption, contributing to steady growth in logistics demand [2].

Core Insights - The China Logistics and Purchasing Federation reported that the logistics industry prosperity index for August is 50.9%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month [1] Summary by Categories Overall Index - The logistics industry prosperity index indicates a continued expansion in the sector, with a reading above 50 suggesting growth [1] Sub-Indices - The business volume index and new orders index both show sustained expansion, with the business volume index remaining in the expansion range for six consecutive months and the new orders index for seven consecutive months [1] Sector Performance - In August, the new orders index for railway transportation, air transportation, and postal express services all exceeded 55%, indicating strong demand in these areas [1] - There was a significant month-on-month increase in the new orders index for multimodal transport and water transportation sectors [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that China's logistics industry is experiencing continued expansion, with the logistics prosperity index for July reported at 50.5% [1] - The business volume index stands at 50.5%, indicating sustained expansion across all major regions, with the central and western regions outperforming the national average at 50.9% and 52.3% respectively, while the eastern region is at 50.3% [1] - The e-commerce express delivery sector shows a particularly high business volume index of 69.3%, reflecting strong growth in this area [1] Group 2 - The new orders index has increased to 52.5%, indicating a positive trend in logistics companies' new orders, with both eastern and western regions showing a rise of 0.2 percentage points [1] - The business activity expectation index remains above 55%, with high levels in the air transport, postal express, and multimodal transport sectors at 58.9%, 57.2%, and 52.3% respectively [2] - The bulk commodity price index for July is reported at 111.4 points, reflecting a 0.5% month-on-month increase, indicating a continued recovery in production and stable operations in the bulk commodity market [2]

Group 1 - The China Logistics and Purchasing Federation reported that the logistics industry prosperity index for July is 50.5%, indicating continued expansion in logistics demand [1] - The business volume index is at 50.5%, remaining in the expansion range, with central and western regions exceeding the national level at 50.9% and 52.3% respectively, while the eastern region is at 50.3% [1] - The e-commerce express delivery sector shows a high business volume index of 69.3%, indicating strong growth [1] Group 2 - The new orders index for logistics companies has increased to 52.5%, reflecting a slight month-on-month rise of 0.1 percentage points [1] - The business activity expectation index remains above 55%, with high levels in the air transport, postal express, and multimodal transport sectors at 58.9%, 57.2%, and 52.3% respectively [1] - The China Logistics and Purchasing Federation also reported that the July bulk commodity price index is at 111.4 points, with a month-on-month increase of 0.5%, indicating a stable recovery in the bulk commodity market [2]

Group 1 - The "old-for-new" national subsidy policy has been continuously implemented, enriching consumer scenarios and boosting the activity of e-commerce and express delivery services [2] - The arrival of seasonal fruits and vegetables has led to stable growth in air logistics, with the total index of air transport continuing to rebound within the expansion range [2] Group 2 - The progress of logistics infrastructure construction has accelerated with the gradual implementation of major project investments, with the fixed asset investment completion index in July reaching 54.9%, a month-on-month increase of 0.4 percentage points, marking five consecutive months of recovery [4] - The business activity expectation index remains above 55%, indicating a positive market outlook for air transport, high-end industrial logistics, and cross-border logistics sectors [4]