Core Insights - In July, despite adverse weather conditions, China's logistics demand remained strong, with a logistics industry prosperity index of 50.5%, indicating continued expansion in logistics activities [1][2] Group 1: Logistics Industry Performance - The logistics industry maintained vitality, with e-commerce express and air logistics showing significant growth. The e-commerce express business activity index reached 69.3%, indicating a high prosperity level [1] - Air transportation business activity index was 52.8%, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.8 percentage points. Road and rail transportation indices were 54.6% and 51.7%, respectively, both showing a slight month-on-month recovery of 0.1 percentage points [1] Group 2: Market Demand and New Orders - The new orders index for logistics companies rose to 52.5%, indicating a month-on-month increase of 0.1 percentage points. Most sectors, except warehousing and water transportation, maintained new orders in the expansion zone [1] - Rail, road, and air transportation new orders indices increased by 0.3, 0.2, and 0.1 percentage points, respectively, indicating positive trends in these sectors [1] Group 3: Investment and Market Expectations - Fixed asset investment in the logistics sector showed continuous expansion, with a completion index of 54.9% in July, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.4 percentage points [2] - The business activity expectation index for July was 55.6%, remaining in a high prosperity zone, with air transportation and postal express indices at 58.9% and 57.2%, respectively [2] - The "old-for-new" national subsidy policy and regional subsidies have expanded consumption scenarios, further driving logistics demand growth [2]

Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) decreased to 49.3% in July, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in manufacturing activity [1][2] - The production index remained in expansion at 50.5%, while the new orders index fell to 49.4%, reflecting a slowdown in market demand [2] - Large enterprises maintained expansion with a PMI of 50.3%, while medium-sized enterprises improved to 49.5%, and small enterprises decreased to 46.4% [3] Group 2: Price Indices - The price index for major raw materials increased, with the purchasing price index at 51.5% and the factory price index at 48.3%, indicating an overall improvement in manufacturing market prices [2] - The purchasing price index for major raw materials rose above the critical point for the first time since March, suggesting a recovery in market conditions [2] Group 3: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, but still above the critical point, indicating continued expansion [1][4] - The service sector's business activity index remained stable at 50.0%, with certain industries like transportation and entertainment showing strong growth due to seasonal effects [4] - The construction sector's business activity index fell to 50.6%, influenced by adverse weather conditions, while the business activity expectation index for the service sector rose to 56.6%, indicating optimism among service enterprises [4] Group 4: Composite PMI - The composite PMI output index was 50.2%, down 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, but still indicating overall expansion in production and business activities [5][6] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index contributed to the composite PMI, standing at 50.5% and 50.1% respectively [6]

Core Viewpoint - The logistics industry in China shows a slight decline in the logistics prosperity index for April 2025, but overall demand remains in an expansionary phase, indicating stable business operations across the sector [1][2]. Group 1: Logistics Prosperity Index - The logistics prosperity index for April 2025 is reported at 51.1%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from March [1][2]. - The business volume index is also at 51.1%, indicating continued expansion, although there are regional disparities due to factors like slowing demand in the bulk market and a decline in international trade export effects [2]. Group 2: Business Activity and Profitability - The business activity expectation index increased to 56.4%, up by 1.2 percentage points from March, reflecting stable corporate profitability [2]. - The main business profit index saw a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points, with small and micro enterprises maintaining their profit index, while medium-sized enterprises improved slightly and large enterprises experienced a decline [2]. Group 3: Investment and Future Outlook - The fixed asset investment completion index reached a new high of 53.6%, the highest in nearly three years, with an average of 51.6% over the first four months, up by 1.9 percentage points from the previous year [3]. - The implementation of major infrastructure and industrial projects is expected to enhance logistics fixed asset investment, contributing to stabilizing expectations and promoting development [3].