各单项指数中，新订单指数、存货指数、从业人员指数、供应商配送时间指数和业务活动预期指数较上 月有所上升，升幅在0.1个百分点至1.6个百分点之间；新出口订单指数、在手订单指数、投入品价格指 数和销售价格指数较上月有所下降。 中新社北京12月31日电 (记者 阮煜琳)中国物流与采购联合会2025年12月31日发布数据显示，12月份中 国非制造业商务活动指数为50.2%，环比上升0.7个百分点，显示中国非制造业经营活动增速较上月有所 加快，重回扩张区间。 中国物流与采购联合会副会长何辉认为，12月份，中国非制造业商务活动指数升至50%以上；新订单指 数仍在50%以下，但较上月明显上升，且创出今年以来新高，显示中国非制造业经营活动增速较上月有 所加快，需求侧也出现趋好迹象。在供需向好带动下，市场预期持续升温，业务活动预期指数连续3个 月环比上升。建筑业商务活动指数环比升幅超3个百分点，创下半年以来新高，投资相关活动于年底进 入加速启动阶段，为宏观经济稳中向好注入关键动力。金融业商务活动指数和新订单指数均实现连续两 个月上升，金融支持实体经济力度继续增强，为年末经济收尾提供关键支撑。以信息服务为代表的新动 能行业持续 ...

Core Insights - The China Warehousing Index for November 2025 is reported at 50.4%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from October, indicating stable overall industry performance [1] - New order volume continues to grow, and facility utilization rates have increased, reflecting a recovery in market demand and smoother supply chain connections [1] - The business activity expectation index has risen to 55.3%, indicating improved confidence among enterprises regarding future demand [3] Group 1: Warehousing Index and Performance - The Warehousing Index remains above 50%, suggesting a stable industry operation despite a minor decline [1] - The new orders index stands at 50.5%, unchanged from October, with various sectors showing differing performance levels [1] - Facility utilization index increased to 52.4%, indicating higher efficiency in several sectors [1] Group 2: Inventory and Turnover - The ending inventory index is at 50%, up by 0.6 percentage points from October, with certain sectors experiencing higher inventory levels [1] - The average inventory turnover index decreased to 50%, down by 1.2 percentage points, with some sectors performing better than others [2] Group 3: Future Expectations - The business activity expectation index has increased by 4.2 percentage points, reflecting a positive outlook for future demand [3] - Continued policy support is anticipated to further stimulate investment and consumption-related demand, contributing to a favorable development trend in the warehousing industry [3]

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing sector in China showed signs of improvement in November, with the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rising to 49.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, driven by policy support, seasonal production peaks, and a marginal recovery in external demand [2] Group 1: Manufacturing Sector Insights - The production and business activity expectation index rose to 53.1%, indicating increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market developments [2] - The high-tech manufacturing PMI decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 50.1%, yet it remains in the expansion zone, reflecting strong growth and resilience against shocks [2] - The PMI for small enterprises significantly improved to 49.1%, up by 2.0 percentage points, marking a six-month high and indicating a notable enhancement in economic conditions for these businesses [2][3] Group 2: Small Enterprises Analysis - The recovery in small enterprise PMI is attributed to effective policy support such as tax reductions and financing preferences, alongside a rebound in downstream consumer demand [3] - The rise in small enterprise PMI suggests that inclusive financial policies and tax cuts are effectively stimulating market vitality, which could improve employment and enhance economic momentum [3] - Despite the improvement, small enterprises still face challenges such as insufficient demand and financing difficulties, necessitating ongoing policy support to sustain positive trends [4] Group 3: Construction Sector Insights - The construction sector's business activity index rose to 49.6%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points, indicating a recovery in the industry [4] - The business activity expectation index for the construction sector reached 57.9%, reflecting improved confidence among construction enterprises regarding future industry trends [4] - The marginal improvement in construction PMI is driven by increased infrastructure investment and a slight easing of real estate policies, coupled with seasonal demand increases during winter [4][5]

Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - In October, the manufacturing PMI decreased to 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slowdown in production activities [1][2] - Both production index and new orders index fell to 49.7% and 48.8%, respectively, reflecting a decline in manufacturing production and market demand [2] - Large enterprises maintained a PMI above the critical point, with indices at 50.9% for production and 50.1% for new orders, indicating sustained demand in this segment [2][3] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing PMI Insights - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose to 50.1%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight expansion in the sector [4] - The service industry business activity index increased to 50.2%, with significant growth in sectors closely related to consumer travel, such as rail and air transport, which saw indices above 60.0% [4] - The construction industry business activity index slightly decreased to 49.1%, but the business activity expectation index improved to 56.0%, suggesting a positive outlook for future market conditions [4] Group 3: Composite PMI Insights - The composite PMI output index stood at 50.0%, indicating overall stability in production and business activities across sectors [5] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index were recorded at 49.7% and 50.1%, respectively, contributing to the composite index's position at the critical point [5]

Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) decreased to 49.0% in October, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slowdown in production activities [1][2] - The production index and new orders index for the manufacturing sector were 49.7% and 48.8%, respectively, reflecting declines of 2.2 and 0.9 percentage points from the previous month [2] - Large enterprises maintained a PMI above the critical point, with large, medium, and small enterprises recording PMIs of 49.9%, 48.7%, and 47.1%, respectively, showing varying degrees of decline [2] Group 2: Key Industries - High-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods industries reported PMIs of 50.5%, 50.2%, and 50.1%, respectively, remaining in the expansion zone and supporting overall manufacturing performance [3] - High-energy-consuming industries saw a PMI of 47.3%, indicating a decline in economic activity [3] Group 3: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose to 50.1%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight recovery [4] - The service sector's business activity index increased to 50.2%, with significant growth in sectors closely related to consumer travel, such as rail transport and accommodation, which exceeded 60.0% [4] - The construction sector's business activity index fell to 49.1%, indicating a slight decline in activity, although the business activity expectation index improved to 56.0% [4] Group 4: Composite PMI - The composite PMI output index stood at 50.0%, indicating overall stability in production and business activities across sectors [5]

Core Insights - The manufacturing PMI in China rose to 49.8% in September, indicating a slight recovery but still below the expansion threshold [1] - The non-manufacturing business activity index decreased to 50.0%, reflecting a slight slowdown in non-manufacturing activities [1] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing production index increased to 51.9%, marking a continuous expansion for five months [4] - The purchasing volume index rose to 51.6%, indicating improved procurement activities [4] - New orders index reached 49.7%, showing a stabilization in market demand [4] - The export new orders index improved to 47.8%, suggesting a narrowing decline in export demand [4] - The manufacturing purchase price index was 53.2%, while the factory price index fell to 48.2%, indicating mixed price trends across sectors [5] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index remained stable at 50.0%, with the construction index at 49.3% and the services index at 50.1% [8] - The business activity expectation index for non-manufacturing remained above 55%, indicating stable optimism among enterprises [8] - The postal industry showed significant growth, with indices above 60%, reflecting active online shopping [8][9] Future Outlook - The manufacturing sector is expected to see continued growth in Q4, driven by macro policies and seasonal demand [5] - Non-manufacturing activities are anticipated to stabilize and recover, supported by year-end effects and holiday demand [10]

Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September is 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing sentiment [1][2] - The production index rose to 51.9%, the highest in nearly six months, reflecting active manufacturing production [5] - The new orders index is at 49.7%, showing a slight improvement in market demand [5] - Small enterprises' PMI increased by 1.6 percentage points to 48.2%, indicating an improvement in their economic conditions [5] - Key industries such as equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods have PMIs of 51.9%, 51.6%, and 50.6% respectively, all above the manufacturing average [5] - The production and business activity expectation index for manufacturing is at 54.1%, indicating a positive outlook for market development [5] Group 2: Services Sector - The services business activity index for September is 50.1%, remaining in the expansion zone [6] - Industries such as postal, telecommunications, and financial services have business activity indices above 60.0%, indicating rapid growth [6] - The business activity expectation index for the services sector is at 56.3%, reflecting stable optimism among service enterprises [7] Group 3: Composite PMI - The composite PMI output index is 50.6%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating overall expansion in production and business activities [8] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index are 51.9% and 50.0% respectively, contributing to the composite index's growth [8]

Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - The manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) for September is 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing sentiment [1][4] - The production index reached 51.9%, up 1.1 percentage points, marking a six-month high, while the new orders index rose to 49.7%, suggesting improved market demand [4] - Small enterprises showed a PMI increase to 48.2%, up 1.6 percentage points, indicating a slight improvement in their economic conditions [4][5] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing Sector Performance - The non-manufacturing business activity index stands at 50.0%, down 0.3 percentage points, indicating stability in the overall business volume of the non-manufacturing sector [6] - The service sector's business activity index is at 50.1%, remaining in the expansion zone, with certain industries like postal and financial services showing strong growth [6] - The construction sector's business activity index slightly increased to 49.3%, reflecting a minor recovery in construction activity [6] Group 3: Comprehensive PMI Analysis - The comprehensive PMI output index is at 50.6%, up 0.1 percentage points, indicating a continued acceleration in overall production and business activities [7] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index contribute to the comprehensive PMI, standing at 51.9% and 50.0% respectively [7]

Core Viewpoint - The logistics industry in China shows signs of steady growth, with the logistics prosperity index reaching 50.9% in August, indicating a recovery and sustained expansion in the sector [1] Group 1: Logistics Industry Performance - In August, the logistics business volume and new order volume increased significantly due to the implementation of policies aimed at boosting consumption, stabilizing investment, and ensuring livelihoods [1] - The logistics prosperity index has remained in the expansion range for six consecutive months, with balanced growth observed across eastern, central, and western regions of China [1] - The new order indices for railway, air transport, and postal express industries exceeded 55%, with significant growth in multimodal transport and water transport sectors [1] Group 2: Regional and Sectoral Insights - The logistics business volume index for eastern, central, and western regions increased by 0.1, 0.6, and 0.3 percentage points respectively [1] - The demand for logistics services in sectors such as automotive parts manufacturing, electronic components manufacturing, and electrical machinery manufacturing has increased [2] - Major urban agglomerations like Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Pearl River Delta have shown a recovery in logistics business volume, demonstrating significant radiating effects [2] Group 3: Pricing and Profitability - The logistics service price index rose by 0.3 percentage points in August, with the railway transport service price index remaining stable at 48.9% [2] - The main business profit index for logistics companies increased by 0.2 percentage points, with small and micro enterprises also showing improvement [2] Group 4: Investment and Future Outlook - Fixed asset investment in the logistics sector remains in the expansion range, with central and western regions achieving completion indices around 55%, which is 4 to 5 percentage points higher than the same period last year [3] - The business activity expectation index for the logistics industry was 55.8% in August, indicating a positive outlook for future activities [3] - The logistics demand market is expected to maintain steady growth, providing solid support for economic recovery [4]

Core Viewpoint - The logistics industry in China shows signs of steady growth, with the logistics prosperity index reaching 50.9% in August, indicating a recovery and sustained expansion in the sector [1] Group 1: Logistics Industry Performance - In August, the logistics business volume and new order volume increased significantly due to the implementation of policies aimed at boosting consumption, stabilizing investment, and ensuring livelihoods [1] - The logistics prosperity index has remained in the expansion range for six consecutive months, with balanced growth observed across eastern, central, and western regions of China [1] - The new order indices for railway transport, air transport, and postal express services exceeded 55%, with significant growth in multimodal transport and water transport sectors [1] Group 2: Regional and Sectoral Insights - The logistics business volume index for eastern, central, and western regions increased by 0.1, 0.6, and 0.3 percentage points respectively [1] - The demand for logistics services in sectors such as automotive parts manufacturing, electronic components manufacturing, and electrical machinery manufacturing has increased [2] - Major urban agglomerations like Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Pearl River Delta have shown a recovery in logistics business volume, demonstrating significant radiating effects [2] Group 3: Pricing and Profitability - The logistics service price index rose by 0.3 percentage points in August, with the railway transport service price index remaining stable at 48.9% [2] - The main business profit index for logistics companies increased by 0.2 percentage points, with small and micro enterprises also showing improvement [2] Group 4: Investment and Future Outlook - Fixed asset investment in the logistics industry remains in the expansion range, with central and western regions achieving completion indices around 55%, higher than the previous year [3] - The business activity expectation index for the logistics industry was 55.8% in August, indicating a positive outlook for the coming months [3] - The logistics demand market is expected to maintain steady growth, providing solid support for economic recovery [4]