11月19日早盘，沪指盘中窄幅震荡，创业板指冲高回落，北证50指数等跌超1%，场内近4600股飘绿。 中信建投证券指出，上证指数近日于4000点附近震荡，全A成交额中枢下降至2万亿左右，近期资金在 主题投资及景气成长方向较为活跃，后续市场或继续维持震荡轮动状态；因短期博弈及市场长逻辑未 改，目前市场呈现震荡轮动特征，后续破局的关键在于资金或进攻新的主线，市场方向逐步统一；中期 配置方面，可采取攻守兼备的策略，围绕明确景气线索进攻，勿过度频繁切换。 截至午间收盘，沪指微跌0.04%报3938.29点，深证成指跌0.32%，创业板指涨0.12%，北证50指数跌 1.52%，沪深北三市合计成交11158亿元。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 盘面上看，地产、钢铁、医药、煤炭等板块走低，银行、保险板块拉升，军贸概念、锂矿、光刻机、中 特估概念等活跃。 ...

Core Insights - M2 and M1 growth rates indicate a trend towards "liquefaction" of deposits, with M2 growing by 8.8% and M1 by 6% in August, leading to a narrowing gap between the two metrics [2] - The upcoming maturity of high-interest time deposits in 2025 and 2026, estimated at approximately 11.08 trillion yuan and 4.05 trillion yuan respectively, is expected to further accelerate the "liquefaction" of deposits [2] - The stock market's performance is likely to benefit from the increased allocation of funds into equity assets as the profitability of stock markets improves, particularly in the context of the ongoing bull market in technology stocks [2] Group 1 - The current market environment is characterized by a structural bull market rather than a broad-based bull market, leading to cautious behavior among individual investors [3] - Institutional funds, including public funds and insurance capital, are expected to play a significant role in driving market momentum, with a projected annual increase of at least 10% in public fund holdings of A-shares over the next three years [4][6] - The market has seen a rotation of sectors, with the 中证A500 index being well-positioned to capture gains from various hot sectors, including technology and anti-involution themes [5] Group 2 - The A-share market still has considerable incremental capital available, driven by institutional investments and the "liquefaction" of personal savings, although personal investment requires a rise in market confidence [6] - The establishment of mechanisms to prevent abnormal market fluctuations and the commitment to channel 30% of new insurance premiums into A-shares starting in 2025 provide a solid foundation for market growth [4][6] - The technology sector's market capitalization exceeds 25%, with the 中证A500 index reflecting a significant representation of emerging industries, positioning it favorably in the current market landscape [5]