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A股盘中创10年新高 大涨原因来了!公募最新研判
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-08-18 11:17
Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a nearly 10-year high on August 18, 2023, indicating a significant recovery in market sentiment and investment opportunities in various sectors [2][3]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index hit 3745.94 points, marking the highest level since August 2015, with total market turnover reaching 2.8 trillion yuan and total A-share market capitalization surpassing 100 trillion yuan for the first time [2]. - Key sectors that performed well included food and beverage, home appliances, electronics, non-ferrous metals, and social services [2]. Factors Driving Market Growth - Multiple factors contributed to the surge in A-shares, including: - Continued accommodative monetary policy, with the central bank emphasizing a "moderately loose monetary policy" to maintain ample market liquidity [3]. - A shift in various types of funds towards the stock market, indicated by a decrease in household and corporate deposits and an increase in non-bank deposits [3]. - A surge in demand for AI-related technologies, driving orders for GPUs, ASIC chips, servers, and other core components [3]. - Easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, reducing market concerns over trade disputes [3]. Long-term Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain upward momentum, supported by favorable funding conditions and policy collaboration [4][5]. - The trend of reallocating household assets remains unchanged, with targeted support for consumption and technology sectors [4]. - The overall market is anticipated to experience a gradual upward shift in its index center, although short-term volatility may increase [4]. Sector Focus - Investment opportunities are identified in sectors such as cyclical industries, technology, manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, and new consumption [6]. - Specific attention is given to brokerage firms and the technology sector, particularly in AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, robotics, and military industries, which are expected to see continuous development and investment opportunities [6]. - Macro factors are complex, but strong sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals, resources, communications, military, and gaming are highlighted for potential growth [6].