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天气预报装上“AI大脑”
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-12-07 23:09
深圳加速探索人工智能赋能精准气象预报,世界气象组织首个AI试点项目亚洲临近预报比对活动在深 启动。 12月7日,全国第十二届残疾人运动会暨第九届特殊奥林匹克运动会马拉松项目与2025年深圳马拉松比 赛,先后在市民中心起跑。两项赛事史无前例地共用了一条比赛路线,统一配置医疗急救、志愿者服 务、安全交通保障和气象服务等资源。 开赛前夕,竞赛指挥部MOC(赛事指挥中心)马拉松赛事气象专题页面上,赛道沿线近气象自动站和生物 舒适度仪的实时数据和精细化预报,正一组组不断向赛事竞委会同步,为决策部门提供着赛事支持。这 套经过全运会深港跨境马拉松检验的赛事气象服务"深圳方案",正是深圳加快推动人工智能气象应用创 新生态体系建设的生动实践之一。 实际上,深圳对于人工智能在气象预报领域的应用不只在于气象服务保障,更是从2017年就开始聚焦超 大城市气象防灾减灾中,灾害性天气预报"报不早、发不快、说不清"等痛点问题,从顶层开始着手设 计,以《深圳市加快推进气象高质量发展的若干措施》为指导、业务需求为引领,构建人工智能与气象 深度融合的协同创新体系,通过联合创新研发"智霁""智瞳""阿福"等一系列AI气象预报服务核心技术, 推动气 ...
我国已建成陆海空天一体化综合气象观测系统
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-12 14:25
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese meteorological sector is focusing on high-quality development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing technological innovation and self-reliance in meteorological services, with significant advancements in forecasting capabilities and disaster response mechanisms [1][2][4]. Group 1: Technological Advancements - The meteorological sector has established a comprehensive observation system consisting of 9 Fengyun satellites, 842 weather radars, and over 90,000 ground observation stations, achieving an 83% monitoring rate for hazardous weather [1]. - The numerical forecasting model has become self-controllable, with the forecast accuracy for the Northern Hemisphere increasing from 7.9 days to 8.1 days, nearing international advanced levels [4]. - The integration of cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data, and quantum technology into meteorological applications is ongoing, enhancing the precision and effectiveness of weather forecasts [1][5]. Group 2: Disaster Response Mechanisms - The meteorological department has developed a rapid response mechanism for weather warnings, allowing alerts to reach emergency responders within one minute, thereby supporting disaster prevention and mitigation efforts [2]. - A progressive meteorological service model has been established, refining forecast timelines from quarterly to minute-level precision, and focusing on specific local impacts of extreme weather [3]. - The establishment of a multi-departmental liaison system for meteorological disaster warnings has been implemented, enhancing coordination and response efficiency across various sectors [2][3]. Group 3: Forecasting Accuracy - The accuracy of 24-hour urban weather forecasts and temperature predictions has exceeded 80%, with significant improvements in rainfall forecasting accuracy by 10% compared to the previous five-year period [5]. - The spatial resolution of the forecasting system has been refined to 5 kilometers globally and 1 kilometer nationally, with key areas achieving a resolution of up to 100 meters [5]. - The error margin for 24-hour typhoon path forecasts has been minimized to 62 kilometers, maintaining an internationally advanced standard [5].
中国气象局:我国已建成陆海空天一体化综合气象观测系统,能提前15天预测全国性重大天气过程,提前6个月预测全球气候异常事件
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-11 14:15
Core Insights - The press conference highlighted the high-quality development of meteorology during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing the establishment of a new national system for meteorological technological innovation [1][3]. Group 1: Meteorological Technological Advancements - The meteorological sector has focused on overcoming critical technological challenges, achieving high levels of self-reliance in satellite, radar, and observation technologies [1]. - A comprehensive meteorological observation system has been established, consisting of 9 Fengyun satellites, 842 weather radars, and over 90,000 ground observation stations, with a disaster weather monitoring rate of 83% [1]. - The intelligent digital forecasting system can predict regional heavy rain, high temperatures, and cold waves 3 to 7 days in advance, and major national weather events 15 days ahead, along with global climate anomalies 6 months in advance [1]. Group 2: Emergency Response and Collaboration - The meteorological department has improved its emergency response mechanisms, ensuring that meteorological warnings can be quickly transformed into defensive actions [3][4]. - A new inter-ministerial liaison system for meteorological disaster warnings has been established, allowing for the rapid dissemination of 82 types of warning information across 17 industries, reaching emergency responders within 1 minute [3][4]. - The department has implemented a progressive meteorological service model, refining forecasts from quarterly to minute-level precision, focusing on specific local impacts [4]. Group 3: Forecasting Accuracy Improvements - The meteorological department has developed a self-controlled global and regional numerical forecasting technology system, with the forecast accuracy for the Northern Hemisphere increasing from 7.9 days to 8.1 days [6][7]. - The accuracy of 24-hour urban weather and temperature forecasts has reached over 80%, with significant improvements in heavy rain forecast accuracy by 10% compared to the previous five-year period [7]. - The error in 24-hour typhoon path forecasts has been minimized to 62 kilometers, maintaining international advanced levels [7].
新华社权威速览·非凡“十四五”|为美好生活保驾护航,气象工作五年成绩单来了!
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-11 13:22
Core Insights - The article highlights significant advancements in meteorological services during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing improved forecasting accuracy and the establishment of a comprehensive meteorological observation network [1][3][19]. Group 1: Meteorological Infrastructure Development - China has launched five Fengyun meteorological satellites, achieving the world's first regional continuous imaging observation with a resolution of 250 meters per minute [3]. - A radar monitoring network consisting of 842 weather radars has been established, covering over 90% of population-dense areas [3]. - More than 90,000 ground meteorological observation stations have been built nationwide [3]. Group 2: Data Sharing and Utilization - The meteorological sector has shared over 100 types of meteorological data products, including refined intelligent grid forecasting products, with 153 countries and regions [6]. - A global ground climate dataset spanning 176 years has been released for the first time, with a spatial resolution of 10 kilometers for global atmospheric reanalysis products [6]. - Meteorological data identifiers have been issued over 980,000 times, supporting 140,000 application scenarios across various industries [6]. Group 3: Public Services and Technology Integration - The number of meteorological service indices has increased to over 70, integrating meteorological information into major media and mainstream services [9]. - New technologies such as IoT, 5G, and AI have enabled the public to access real-time meteorological information through mobile devices and wearables [9]. - The development of a seamless, all-encompassing intelligent digital meteorological forecasting system has been achieved [19]. Group 4: Agricultural Support and Risk Management - Meteorological departments are collaborating with agricultural sectors to provide disaster risk warnings and enhance agricultural resilience through insurance services [13]. - The implementation of the "Meteorological Services for Agriculture Quality Improvement and Efficiency Enhancement Action Plan" is ongoing [13]. Group 5: International Cooperation and Training - An independently developed early warning system is being utilized by over 40 countries, contributing to global early warning initiatives [15]. - The "Mazu" plan aims to provide training for 2,000 personnel and offers 100 scholarship opportunities and 50 visiting scholar positions over the next three years [16][15]. Group 6: Technological Advancements in Forecasting - Numerical forecasting capabilities have improved, with the usable forecast days for the Northern Hemisphere increasing from 7.9 to 8 days, nearing international advanced levels [19]. - The accuracy of heavy rain forecasts has improved by 10% compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" period, with monthly and seasonal climate prediction levels increasing by 2.3% and 5.1%, respectively [20].
中国气象局:我国已建成陆海空天一体化综合气象观测系统,能提前15天预测全国性重大天气过程
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-11 11:29
Core Insights - The press conference highlighted the advancements in China's meteorological services during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on high-quality development and technological innovation in meteorology [1] Group 1: Technological Advancements - The China Meteorological Administration has established a new national system for meteorological technological innovation, addressing critical technological challenges and achieving high levels of self-reliance in satellite, radar, and observation technologies [1] - A comprehensive meteorological observation system has been built, consisting of 9 Fengyun satellites, 842 weather radars, and over 90,000 ground observation stations, enhancing the monitoring rate of hazardous weather to 83% [1] - The numerical forecasting model has achieved autonomy and control, integrating cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data, and quantum technology into meteorological applications [1][5] Group 2: Emergency Response and Forecasting - Meteorological departments have improved the accuracy of weather forecasts and established a rapid response mechanism for weather warnings, allowing alerts to reach emergency responders within one minute [2] - A progressive meteorological service model has been developed, refining forecast timelines from quarterly to minute-level precision, and focusing on specific local impacts of extreme weather [3] - The accuracy of 24-hour urban weather and temperature forecasts has reached over 80%, with significant improvements in forecasting capabilities for heavy rain and climate predictions [4][5] Group 3: Collaboration and Integration - The meteorological sector has strengthened collaboration with various regions and departments, integrating meteorological disaster prevention into the broader disaster reduction framework of the government [2] - A new national emergency warning information release system has been established, facilitating the sharing and rapid dissemination of 82 types of warning information across 17 industries [2] - The meteorological departments have partnered with leading universities and research institutions to advance artificial intelligence applications in meteorology, positioning China at the forefront of this technology [5]
智能系统精准“把脉”大气质量
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2025-09-12 08:57
Core Insights - The article discusses the development of an innovative air quality monitoring and forecasting system by a Chinese research team, aimed at addressing the challenges posed by complex atmospheric pollution [2][4][6]. Group 1: System Development and Features - The "Environmental Meteorology Multi-Factor Intelligent Sensing and Large Model Forecasting System" was developed to provide a comprehensive solution for monitoring and forecasting air quality [2][6]. - The system integrates various data sources, including satellite remote sensing and ground-based observations, to create a unified atmospheric environment evolution panorama [7]. - A key breakthrough is the development of the world's first aerosol-meteorology coupled forecasting AI model (AI-GAMFS), which can perform global meteorological forecasts in one minute, significantly faster than traditional supercomputers [7][8]. Group 2: Challenges Addressed - The system addresses three major challenges in atmospheric monitoring: visibility issues due to limited ground observation stations, difficulties in accurately calculating pollution sources, and the need for precise and timely data for effective management [4][5]. - The AI-GAMFS model has shown a reduction in forecasting errors for dust storms in East Asia by 38% to 74% compared to international systems [8]. Group 3: Implementation and Impact - The system is currently operational in 14 meteorological departments across various provinces in China, enhancing the precision of air quality forecasts and emergency responses [9]. - The system successfully predicted the timing and intensity of dust storms in the Sichuan Basin, demonstrating its effectiveness in real-world applications [9]. - As of the end of 2024, the system has led to the publication of 13 SCI papers and the acquisition of 4 national invention patents, showcasing its scientific and practical contributions [9].
世界气象组织主席阿卜杜拉·阿尔·曼杜斯访粤
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-09-01 09:08
Core Viewpoint - The visit of WMO President Abdullah Al Mandous to Guangdong highlights the province's advancements in meteorological services and its commitment to international cooperation in weather-related initiatives [3][4]. Group 1: WMO President's Visit - Abdullah Al Mandous and his delegation visited Guangdong from August 29 to August 31, 2023, to engage in discussions and tours related to meteorological advancements [1]. - The delegation toured various facilities, including the World Meteorological Center (Beijing) Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Branch, where they learned about the center's functions and international collaboration [3]. Group 2: Achievements in Meteorology - Al Mandous praised Guangdong's achievements in early warning systems, particularly in typhoon early warning mechanisms and disaster response frameworks [3]. - He noted that Guangdong's meteorological work not only enhances public service but also provides scientific support for government decision-making, serving as a model for other cities worldwide [3][4]. Group 3: Future Cooperation - The Guangdong provincial government expressed its commitment to supporting meteorological development and participating in WMO initiatives, emphasizing the importance of early warning systems and disaster risk reduction [4]. - Al Mandous met with Shenzhen city officials to discuss sharing experiences in meteorological services for large cities and enhancing data collaboration [4].
新华财经早报:6月2日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-02 01:05
Group 1: Consumer Goods and Market Trends - The sales volume of consumer goods through the trade-in program has exceeded 1 trillion yuan this year, with major contributions from home appliances, automobiles, and digital products [3] - As of May 31, 2025, the five major categories of consumer goods trade-in have generated a sales volume of 1.1 trillion yuan, with approximately 175 million subsidies issued directly to consumers [3] - In May, the total transaction volume of new and second-hand housing in Shanghai reached 2.23 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 17% [3] Group 2: IPO and Market Activity - The number of IPO applications in May reached a new high for the year, with 16 companies receiving acceptance, marking a significant increase in market activity [3] - One new stock, Haiyang Technology, is set to be issued on June 3, with an issue price of 11.5 yuan per share and a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.69 times [3] Group 3: International Trade and Economic Indicators - South Korea's exports in May decreased by 1.3% year-on-year, amounting to 57.27 billion USD, marking the first decline since January [4] - Japan's average price for a 5-kilogram bag of rice reached a new high of 4,285 yen, more than double the price from the same period last year [5]
世界气象组织首个AI试点项目亚洲临近预报比对活动在深启动
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-05-10 07:53
Core Insights - The launch of the first World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Artificial Intelligence Near-Term Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (AINPP) in Asia marks a significant milestone in advancing modern early warning and forecasting technologies [3][5] - The project aims to enhance collaboration among multiple disciplines, countries, and public-private sectors to develop AI-based near-term forecasting models, particularly in regions vulnerable to extreme weather events [3][6] Group 1: Project Overview - The AINPP project is designed to set a global standard for AI applications in meteorology, focusing on improving the accuracy of early warning systems to save lives and reduce losses associated with severe weather [3][6] - The project involves participation from meteorological experts from various countries, including Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Vietnam, India, UAE, and Saudi Arabia, as well as institutions like the Hong Kong Observatory and Microsoft [3][6] Group 2: Technological Advancements - AI-driven models integrate various data sources, such as satellite images, radar networks, and ground sensors, to enhance the accuracy and delivery time of local extreme weather predictions [5] - Shenzhen's meteorological bureau has developed AI applications for early warning services, including the "Zhiji" regional forecasting model with a 3 km resolution and the "Zhitong" short-term forecasting model, which extends effective warning time from 1 hour to 3 hours [6][7] Group 3: Future Plans and Collaboration - The AINPP project has collected 13 AI-based forecasting technologies related to lightning, precipitation, and radar echoes, which will be tested during the upcoming flood season [7] - Shenzhen's meteorological bureau plans to establish a data-sharing platform and engage in cross-regional product testing and application, contributing to disaster prevention and mitigation efforts in developing countries [7]