Workflow
人形机器人泡沫
icon
Search documents
著名机器人专家布鲁克斯警告:人形机器人泡沫注定会破裂
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-29 03:59
9月29日消息,在风险资本热钱涌动、科技巨头争相入局的人形机器人领域,著名机器人专家、iRobot联合创始人、麻省理工学院教授罗德尼· 布鲁克斯(Rodney Brooks)近日发出警示:当前由特斯拉等企业炒作和数十亿美元投资推动的人形机器人热潮,是一个注定要破裂的泡沫。 01 核心技术三大瓶颈难破:"纯粹幻想"与物理现实之间的鸿沟 当前,以特斯拉和机器人公司Figure为代表的企业,正尝试通过让机器人观看人类执行任务的视频来训练其精细操作能力。布鲁克斯在其最新 文章中直指这种方法是"纯粹的空想",并从三个维度剖析了其存在的根本性技术障碍。 首先是触觉感知方面存在巨大差距。布鲁克斯指出,人手是极其复杂的构造,内部密布约1.7万个专用触觉感受器,这是现有任何机器人都难 以企及的。 布鲁克斯解释道,机器学习之所以能在语音识别和图像处理领域取得突破,但这些成就建立在数十年现有技术的基础上,这些技术能够有效地 捕捉和处理相应的数据。"但在触觉数据领域,我们缺乏这样的技术积累,"他强调。这意味着机器人无法通过观察视频,真正理解人类与物体 互动时产生的微妙物理反馈。 图:著名机器人专家罗德尼·布鲁克斯 其次是无法回避的安 ...
美联储降息90%概率下,中国机器人如何穿越死亡谷?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 07:16
Group 1: Federal Reserve and Market Reactions - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell hinted at an openness to interest rate cuts, indicating resilience in the U.S. economy despite labor market slowdowns and high tariffs, while cautioning against inflation risks [3][4] - Following Powell's remarks, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September surged to approximately 90%, up from 75% prior to his speech, reflecting strong market expectations for a rate cut [4] - The anticipated rate cuts are expected to lead to a global liquidity surge, with emerging markets likely to benefit from capital inflows as other central banks follow suit with monetary easing [6][7] Group 2: Stock Market Performance - Global stock markets have reached new highs, with major indices in the U.S., Japan, and the UK hitting historical peaks, while Germany and Brazil also set records in July [7] - The A-share market in China has seen increased trading activity, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching its highest level in nearly a decade [7] Group 3: Humanoid Robot Industry Insights - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing significant investment interest, but there are warnings of a potential bubble, with some experts predicting that certain companies may not survive past 2025 [9][20] - Reports indicate that some humanoid robot companies have seen stock prices increase by 3-5 times before even starting production, raising concerns about overvaluation [9] - Goldman Sachs suggests that the timeline for achieving a technological breakthrough in humanoid robots is unclear, with expected global shipments of 76,000 to 502,000 units by 2027/2032, slower than market expectations [11] Group 4: Commercialization and Investment Trends - Chinese humanoid robot companies are rapidly advancing in commercialization, with significant contracts such as a 124 million RMB order from China Mobile and a 91 million RMB order from Meiy Automotive Technology [23][25] - The humanoid robot sector in China has seen a surge in investment, with total financing in the first half of 2025 reaching 19.5 billion RMB, of which 60% (approximately 8.4 billion RMB) was in China [28] - The frequency of investment events in the humanoid robot field has increased significantly, with an average of 1.5 to 2 days between events since July 2025 [28]