Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that the U.S. notion of "promoting peace through strength" is a manifestation of hegemonic thinking, aiming for military action rather than dialogue [1] - Liu Jianchao highlights that under such a mindset, the "Thucydides Trap" becomes an inevitable fate for great powers, with smaller nations often forced to choose sides and become victims of great power rivalries [1] - The article discusses the fundamental changes in the nature of warfare today, warning that an obsession with zero-sum games and absolute security, including the use of AI in warfare, could lead to catastrophic consequences for humanity [1] Group 2 - Liu Jianchao asserts that the peace and stability in Asia over the past 80 years is attributed to the region's countries having their own values and methods for problem-solving, emphasizing a preference for dialogue and negotiation over military solutions [2] - The article notes that military solutions are seen as temporary fixes, while negotiated solutions are viewed as long-term resolutions [2]

美国对伊朗核设施打击为何未撼动全球市场？ 据央视新闻、环球网报道，当地时间6月21日，美国总统特朗普在其社交媒体"真实社交"上发文称， 美国已完成对伊朗福尔多、纳坦兹和伊斯法罕三处核设施 的袭击 ，并表示"伊朗的福尔多（核设施）已不存在"。 然而， 全球金融市场对美国袭击伊朗核设施的反应相对温和。 周一，美股期货低开后跌幅收窄，原油、黄金冲高后回落转跌。截至下午5时，全球MSCI指数 仅下跌0.2%。 传统避险资产表现分化，日元兑美元下跌0.64%，现货黄金价格下滑0.23%至每盎司3360美元，美元指数上涨0.35%。 分析推测，此次美国军事行动后的市场波动明显较小， 主要是因为投资者预期特朗普政府的军事干预将是短暂的，主要目标是威慑而非长期冲突。 地缘政治风险被视为可控 市场对美国军事行动的温和反应主要源于投资者对冲突范围的乐观预期。 Wedbush管理董事Dan Ives表示， 市场将对伊朗的袭击视为利好消息，因为该地区的核威胁已经消除。 他进一步表示，目前看不到伊朗与以色列冲突向更广泛地区蔓延的迹象，事件影响较为"孤立"。 其他行业专家也普遍认为，尽管事态严重，但并未构成全球市场的系统性威胁，投资者信 ...