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《邓普顿教你逆向投资》:如何正确地在大众恐慌时抄底?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 01:59
Core Insights - The article discusses John Templeton's investment philosophy, particularly his approach to value investing and contrarian strategies, which have led to significant investment success over decades [1][2]. Group 1: Low-Priced Stocks - Templeton's initial success came from borrowing $10,000 to invest in 104 stocks priced under $1 during the economic recovery post-Great Depression, which resulted in a profit of $30,000 [3]. - His definition of "low-priced stocks" focuses on relative price compared to intrinsic value, rather than absolute price [3]. - Key considerations for investing in low-priced stocks include recognizing trends, the importance of low price, long holding periods (average of 4 years), and diversification (investing in 104 stocks with an average of less than $100 each) [4][5]. Group 2: Global Investment - Templeton pioneered global investing by founding the Templeton Growth Fund in 1954, challenging the prevailing belief that the U.S. market was the best [5][6]. - Global investment expands the selection pool from approximately 3,000 U.S. stocks to at least 20,000 worldwide, allowing for better opportunities [7]. - It helps avoid bear markets and economic cycles, as different markets may perform well at different times, thus providing a risk diversification strategy [7][8]. - An example of successful global investment is Templeton's investment in Japan during the 1960s, where he capitalized on a 10% GDP growth rate compared to the U.S.'s 4%, leading to significant returns as the Japanese stock market grew 36 times over 30 years [8]. Group 3: Short Selling - Short selling involves borrowing stocks to sell them at a high price, then buying them back at a lower price to profit from the difference [9]. - Templeton's notable short selling occurred in 1999 against overvalued tech stocks during the dot-com bubble, where he identified stocks likely to drop after their executives' lock-up periods ended [11][12]. - He shorted 84 tech stocks, betting $185 million, and profited as the Nasdaq index halved within a year, with many of the stocks he shorted dropping over 95% [12].
理性看待低价股的投资价值
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-11 16:45
Group 1 - The number of low-priced stocks in A-shares is currently below 40, marking a year-to-date low and a low point in recent years [1] - The decrease in low-priced stocks is directly related to the continuous recovery of the market, with a shift towards value investing and a focus on the performance of core assets [1][2] - Most low-priced stocks lack performance support, making their investment value weak, and they are often considered marginal assets in the market [1][2] Group 2 - Some low-priced stocks are fundamentally weak, facing risks of being delisted, which increases their investment risk [2] - Low-priced stocks have lower liquidity compared to mainstream investment options, leading to potential market pricing distortions and increased volatility [2] - The reduction in the number of low-priced stocks does not imply a general improvement in their investment value, as many have underperformed compared to the broader market [2] Group 3 - There are still investment opportunities within low-priced stocks, particularly those with strong fundamentals, such as certain bank stocks that have previously been low-priced but have since recovered [3] - The current A-share market is stabilizing, but individual stock performance is increasingly divergent, making it unlikely for low-priced stocks to become mainstream [3]
北京商报评论:理性看待低价股的投资价值
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-11 11:15
Group 1 - The number of low-priced stocks in A-shares is currently below 40, marking a year-to-date low and a low point in recent years [1] - The decrease in low-priced stocks is directly related to the continuous recovery of the market, with a shift towards value investing [1][2] - Most low-priced stocks lack performance support, leading to weak investment value, and they are often considered marginal assets in the market [1][2] Group 2 - Some low-priced stocks are fundamentally weak, facing risks of delisting, which increases their investment risk [2] - Low-priced stocks have lower liquidity compared to mainstream investment options, making them more susceptible to price manipulation and extreme price drops during adverse events [2] - The reduction in the number of low-priced stocks does not imply a general increase in their investment value, as many have underperformed compared to the broader market [2][3] Group 3 - There are still investment opportunities within low-priced stocks, particularly those with strong fundamentals, such as certain bank stocks that have previously been undervalued [3] - The A-share market is becoming more stable, but the differentiation among individual stocks is increasing, making it unlikely for low-priced stocks to become mainstream [3]
【侃股】理性看待低价股的投资价值
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-08-11 10:52
Group 1 - The number of low-priced stocks in A-shares is currently below 40, marking a year-to-date low and a low point in recent years [1] - The decrease in low-priced stocks is directly related to the continuous recovery of the market, with a shift towards value investing and a focus on core assets [1][2] - Most low-priced stocks lack performance support, leading to weak investment value, and even with market strength, their price rebounds are limited [1][2] Group 2 - Some low-priced stocks are fundamentally weak, facing risks of delisting, and are often less liquid than mainstream stocks, which increases investment risks [2] - The reduction in low-priced stocks does not imply a general increase in their investment value, as many have underperformed compared to the broader market [2] - There are still investment opportunities among low-priced stocks, particularly those with strong fundamentals, but overall, they are unlikely to become mainstream in the market [3]
低价股抄底王!揭秘A股牛散“张素芬”:耗资逾13亿元买成15家上市公司前十大股东
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-05-27 06:46
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the emergence of a notable individual investor, Zhang Sufen, in the A-share market, who has made significant investments in multiple listed companies, positioning herself among the top shareholders of 15 companies as of the first quarter of 2025 [1][2][3]. Group 1: Investment Profile - Zhang Sufen holds substantial shares in various companies, with a total holding of 349.66 million shares across 15 listed companies, making her the second-largest shareholder in Electronic City and the fourth-largest in Shaanxi Guotou A [3][4]. - Her investment strategy appears to focus on low-priced stocks, with most of her holdings priced below 10 yuan, indicating a preference for undervalued assets [7][8]. - The total market value of her holdings exceeds 1.38 billion yuan, with five stocks valued over 100 million yuan each [8]. Group 2: Performance and Strategy - Zhang's investments have shown mixed results, with the highest floating profit being 26.81% from Liugang Co., while the largest loss is 13.62% from Shaanxi Construction [3][4]. - She has demonstrated a long-term investment approach, often increasing her holdings over several quarters, as seen in her continuous accumulation of shares in low-performing stocks like New Star Foundry [6][7]. - Despite her success, she has also faced significant losses, such as a 30% loss in Yibai Pharmaceutical, highlighting the risks associated with her investment choices [8][9]. Group 3: Market Impact and Perception - Zhang Sufen's investment activities have drawn attention in the market, with speculation about her potential connections to larger investment networks, suggesting that her strategies may not be typical of individual investors [7][8]. - Her approach to investing, characterized by a focus on low-priced stocks and a willingness to endure volatility, positions her as a unique figure in the A-share market, comparable to institutional investors [6][7].