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2024年中国家庭负债率
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 13:09
先别慌,拉齐全球坐标: 美国:截至2024年,美国家庭部门债务杠杆率为69.2%,略高于中国,但差距不足10个百分点。这一数据与2017年BIS的78.7%相比有所下降,可能与2008年 金融危机后去杠杆政策及2020年疫情后房贷利率置换有关。 如果把中国家庭债务拍成一部剧,它一定是一部"高开低走"的悬疑片:前十年狂飙突进,近两年突然踩刹;主角不是房企,不是银行,而是每一个在月供、 花呗、白条里辗转反侧的普通人。 先看数据 国家统计局与中国人民银行数据:截至2024年底,中国居民家庭从银行获得的债务余额为82.84万亿元,若不考虑其他债务,仅银行贷款就相当于GDP的 61.4%;加上公积金贷款余额,家庭债务达到90万亿至91万亿元,相当于GDP的67.4%。这一数值接近美国的69%,略高于日本的65%。 综合负债率:根据西南财经大学等机构的调研报告,2024年中国家庭负债率接近60%,其中年轻人群体(90后、00后)和中年人群的负债比例尤为显著。部 分一线城市家庭的负债率甚至超过70%。 相关报告查阅方式: 日本:家庭部门债务杠杆率约为65%,略高于中国,但差距较小。日本的高杠杆率与其长期低利率环境和房地产市 ...
债务规模已超300万亿,40%购房者放弃在今年买房,4原因很现实
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-18 22:46
Core Insights - A recent survey indicates that 40% of potential homebuyers plan to delay or abandon their home purchase in 2025, a 17 percentage point increase from the same period in 2024 [1] - As of May 2025, China's total debt has surpassed 300 trillion yuan, equivalent to 2.8 times the GDP, indicating extreme leverage among residents and a continuing decline in homebuying demand [1] Group 1: Economic Environment - Many potential homebuyers are concerned about income growth uncertainty due to declining performance in the real economy, leading to layoffs and salary cuts [3] - The job market is shrinking, with 11.89 million university graduates competing for limited job opportunities, contributing to high unemployment rates [3] - The current environment has led families to postpone home purchases to avoid financial strain from potential job loss and mortgage payments [3] Group 2: Housing Market Trends - Home prices are in a long-term downward trend, with new residential property prices in 300 cities down 3.2% year-on-year and second-hand home prices down 5.1%, marking the third consecutive year of decline [5] - Buyers are typically reluctant to purchase in a declining market, fearing they may be trapped in a depreciating asset [5] Group 3: Household Financial Behavior - The proportion of household assets tied up in real estate is 77%, with over 41.5% of families owning two or more properties, indicating limited room for further leverage [8] - As of March 2025, the balance of real estate loans was 53.2 trillion yuan, growing only 1.5% year-on-year, the lowest growth rate since 2008, reflecting a rapid decline in loan demand [8] Group 4: Changing Buyer Sentiment - Post-pandemic, consumers are becoming more rational about home purchases, prioritizing savings over real estate investments, with 49.7% preferring to save money, the highest since 2015 [10] - The preference for purchasing property as an investment has dropped to 15.3%, the lowest on record, indicating a shift in consumer behavior towards financial prudence [10]
Integer (ITGR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-25 04:52
Integer (ITGR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 25, 2025 12:52 AM ET Company Participants Sanjiv Arora - SVP, Strategy, Business Development and IRJoseph Dziedzic - President & CEOPayman Khales - COODiron Smith - Executive VP & CFORichard Newitter - Managing DirectorNathan Treybeck - Equity Research Vice PresidentAndrew Cooper - VP - Equity ResearchJoanne Wuensch. - Managing DirectorSuraj Kalia - Managing Director Conference Call Participants Brett Fishbin - Vice President & Equity Research AnalystCraig Bijou - ...
AAR(AIR) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-27 22:57
AAR Corp. (NYSE:AIR) Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call March 27, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Denise Pacioni - Director of Investor Relations John Holmes - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer Sean Gillen - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Kenneth Herbert - RBC Capital Markets Louie DiPalma - William Blair Michael Leshock - KeyBanc Capital Markets Scott Mikus - Melius Research Joshua Sullivan - The Benchmark Company Michael Ciarmoli - Truist Se ...
举债1700亿,孙正义急了
商业洞察· 2025-03-23 06:21
以下文章来源于投资家 ,作者笔锋 投资家 . 投资家是投资家网旗下专注财经科技领域的内容平台。多次荣获年度影响力财经号,并多次获得百度、 头条、新浪、网易、搜狐、东财、同花顺、澎湃等颁发的荣誉奖项。投资家网是国内知名资本与产业创 新综合服务平台。 作者 : 笔锋 来源:投资家(ID:touzijias) 赌神又出手了。 当"杠杆狂人"盯上AI,全球科技圈正在见证一场疯狂到窒息的豪赌。 近日,外媒一则报道,再次把孙正义推上了风口浪尖。这个曾用2000万美元押中阿里巴巴、狂赚2000 倍的日本首富,如今又盯上了AI。 他计划借款240亿美元(约合1744亿人民币),加上抵押ARM股份借来的185亿美元,再加上软银自 掏的100亿美元,孙正义这次至少要拿500亿美元,"All In"星际之门(Stargate)和 OpenAI这两个连马 斯克都直呼"离谱"的豪赌。 有人惊叹"这是人类史上最大规模的科技豪赌",也有人嘲讽"孙正义又在画饼"。但孙正义根本不 care。2006年,他曾借款150亿美元收购沃达丰日本,当时被嘲"自杀式收购",结果呢?成就了软银 的电信帝国。如今,他又要复制神话,高举杠杆,在AI战场上豪赌一 ...
收入320亿!医美巨头发布最新财报
思宇MedTech· 2025-03-07 04:52
合作伙伴征集:2025全球手术机器人大会 报名:首届全球眼科大会 | 展位有限 报名:首届全球心血管大会 | 奖项评选 报名:首届全球骨科大会 | 奖项评选 2025年3月6日, 高德美(Galderma, SIX:GALD )发布2024年年度财务报告。高德美 专注于皮肤科领域的 全球龙头企业,业务涵盖注射美容、皮肤护理和治疗性皮肤科产品。 2024年财务表现 业务增长驱动因素 注射美容 :净销售额22.99亿美元,同比增长9.6%。其中,肉毒吉适(Dysport)和聚左旋乳酸填充剂 塑妍萃 (Sculptra)均实现了两位数增长。 产品和市场表现 净销售额 :达到44.1亿美元(约320亿人民币),按固定汇率计算同比增长9.3%。 核心EBITDA(息税折旧摊销前利润) :达到10.31亿美元,首次突破10亿美元大关,核心EBITDA利润 率为23.4%,较2023年提高30个基点。 债务杠杆率 :截至2024年12月,杠杆率降至2.3倍,并成功发行了首笔瑞士债券。 皮肤护理 :净销售额13.31亿美元,同比增长10.7%。Cetaphil和Alastin品牌表现强劲,尤其是在国际 市场。 治疗性皮肤科 ...