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A股:港股上涨3.5%,和往年有所不同,节后要用盆接牛市
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-03 17:25
老铁们,A股还在休市,港股已经杀疯了! 10月2日,恒生指数一举突破27000点大关,恒生科技指数狂拉3.54%,中芯国际单日暴涨12.7%,黄金、锂电板 块集体飙涨——这波"假期嗨翻天"的行情,是不是让你心里直打鼓:会不会又是外资挖坑,等A股开盘就套人? 但猎人可以肯定地说,这次剧本真的换了! 这轮行情的核心驱动力是"全球水牛"。 美联储降息导致美元流动性溢出,新兴市场成为蓄水池。 南向资金已连续增持腾讯,持股占比达11.03%;高盛、富 达国际等机构明确"超配中国科技股",摩根士丹利将MSCI新兴市场指数目标上调,其中中国资产贡献超60%的上涨空间。 板块轮动并非杂乱无章:7-8月AI算力、创新药先涨,9月新能源、存储芯片跟进,10月有色资源爆发。 这是典型牛市中的"主线轮动",而非热点散乱。 计 算机、美容护理、环保等行业节后涨幅中位数居前,消费、高β和成长板块在港股假期上涨概率达80%。 港股的盘面就是节后A股的预演。 半导体板块中,中芯国际单日暴涨12%,华虹半导体涨7.12%,背后是全球AI服务器拉动的存储芯片需求爆发。 美光科技 宣布存储产品涨价20?0%,三星计划第四季度DRAM价格上调15? ...
机构研究周报:布局全球水牛,AI第二波行情或开启
Wind万得· 2025-08-17 22:34
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article suggests that the U.S. may enter a long-term phase of fiscal dominance with monetary cooperation, leading to a "blooming" global stock market [1][5] - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the importance of promoting reasonable price recovery as a key consideration in monetary policy, aiming to lower financing costs and support economic stability [3] - The article highlights that the AI sector has undergone adjustments and is poised for a second wave of growth, meeting conditions for renewed investment interest [13] Group 2 - CICC indicates that the U.S. dollar liquidity is expected to remain ample, with a trend of depreciation, which may benefit emerging markets, particularly Hong Kong stocks [5] - CITIC Securities focuses on five strong industry trends (non-ferrous metals, communications, innovative pharmaceuticals, gaming, and military industry) as more reasonable investment targets compared to high-valuation sectors [6] - Huatai-PB Fund anticipates that A-shares will return to a profit-driven trajectory, supported by stable domestic policies and improving corporate earnings [7] Group 3 - Invesco believes that the current market for innovative pharmaceuticals may experience a multi-year uptrend, marking a significant turning point for the industry [12] - The article notes that gold prices may stabilize in the short term but are expected to maintain their long-term upward trend due to ongoing global macro uncertainties [14] - The article discusses the bond market's tendency towards a range-bound movement, influenced by recent economic indicators and policy measures [20]