作者：吴晨 封图：图虫创意 1882年3月19日，巴塞罗那的春日还带着一丝寒意，圣家堂的第一块基石在瓜尔迪亚夫河附近的空地上埋下。当时没人能想到，这座教堂会成为跨越三个 世纪的工程奇迹。 1883年，年仅31岁的建筑师安东尼·高迪接手设计圣家堂，从此将自己的余生与这座建筑牢牢绑定。 高迪对圣家堂的愿景，从来不仅仅是一座教堂。他要让石头说话，让建筑成为自然与信仰的对话：外墙每一块石材的弧度模仿树干的生长、海浪的起伏， 内部立柱如森林中的树干般向上分叉；顶部的彩色玻璃透过阳光，会在地面投下如彩虹般的光影…… 跨越三个世纪的圣家堂，本身就是乐观主义精神的具象化——发起一项无法在个人生命周期内完成的事业，让梦想在代代相传中持续生长。 凯文·凯利就非常推崇这种长期主义的项目。今年10月初，我与他在中国共同推广我们合著的新书《2049》，在密集的交流中，我们持续深化对未来二十 五年的思考。 讨论逐步形成了一个重要的思考框架——我们需要不断校准对技术发展、中美博弈、人与AI关系等一系列重大问题的认知，并有两个观点清晰地浮现出 来。 第一，我们反复琢磨：为什么在充满不确定性的当下，更要坚定地保持乐观？圣家堂就是最好的答案。人 ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of optimism and long-term thinking in the age of AI, using the construction of the Sagrada Familia as a metaphor for enduring creativity and collaboration across generations [2][3][4][5]. Group 1: Historical Context and Long-term Vision - The Sagrada Familia, designed by Antoni Gaudí, represents a long-term vision that transcends individual lifetimes, showcasing the spirit of optimism and creativity [2][3]. - Gaudí's modular design approach allowed for independent progress on different parts of the church, ensuring that the project could adapt to future technologies and funding sources [3]. - The completion of the Sagrada Familia is projected for 2026, marking a significant milestone in a project that has spanned over 144 years [3]. Group 2: Optimism in Uncertain Times - The article argues that maintaining optimism is crucial in uncertain times, as most significant human achievements have been made by optimists [4][6]. - It highlights the need for a flexible mindset to envision multiple possibilities for the future, especially in the context of AI and global challenges [8][9]. Group 3: AI and Creativity - AI is positioned as a partner that enhances human creativity rather than replacing it, enabling individuals to focus on imaginative and meaningful tasks [12][16]. - The evolution of AI is expected to lead to a surge in creativity, as it frees up time for individuals to explore interests and engage in non-utilitarian pursuits [16][17]. Group 4: Challenges and Collaboration with AI - The article discusses the limitations of AI, emphasizing the need for human guidance in training AI models to ensure they align with real-world complexities [17][18]. - It points out the gap between theoretical knowledge and practical application in AI, suggesting that human experience is essential for effective collaboration [18][19]. Group 5: Future Implications - The potential for AI to reshape work dynamics is explored, with the possibility of reduced working hours as AI takes over routine tasks [16]. - The article concludes by stressing the importance of understanding change and embracing unexpected possibilities brought about by AI advancements [23].

AI会抢走人类工作吗？万亿投资是泡沫还是未来？世界需要一个公共AI来解决星球级别的新问题？当 乐观成为迎接未来的必要选择，我们能否正视技术回报"缓慢起飞"的发展周期，以人类命运共同体的愿 景迈向AI技术跃迁的新纪元？本期节目邀请美国《连线》杂志创始主编、未来学家凯文·凯利，分享其 前瞻思考。他在节目中重新定义"技术乐观主义"，厘清AI投资的长期价值与短期陷阱，并勾勒优于大国 竞争之外，全球共同构建与治理"公共智能"的可能路径。 更多精彩内容，敬请关注11月26日周三晚22:30 东方卫视《两说》节目，第一财经 11月29日周六晚22:00 播出。 Business Insights 两说 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of AI on employment, the potential for a trillion-dollar investment bubble, and the necessity for a public AI to address global challenges, emphasizing a vision of a shared human destiny in the era of AI technology [1]. Group 1 - The article questions whether AI will take away human jobs and explores the concept of technological optimism in the context of AI investments [1]. - It highlights the importance of recognizing the "slow takeoff" development cycle of technology and the need for a collective approach to building and governing "public intelligence" beyond national competition [1]. - The discussion features insights from Kevin Kelly, the founding editor of Wired magazine, who redefines "technological optimism" and clarifies the long-term value versus short-term pitfalls of AI investments [1].