01 楔子 AI并不直接抢走你的饭碗 而是逼迫人类重新定义自我价值 近来，AI搅动职场变革的剧本，不断翻新。 就在今年4月，全球知名自由职业服务平台Fiverr的创始人和首席执行官Micha Kaufman向全体员工发出了一封 信，内容直指当下人们对AI 抱有的集体焦虑，在网络上公开后立即引起了一片轩然大波。 Kaufman在信中坦言：AI正在抢夺你的饭碗——不管你是程序员、设计师、产品经理、数据科学家、律师，还 是财务，AI 都会找上你，说实话，也包括我自己，这是一记警钟。 凭借强大的算力和学习能力，AI正在将越来越传统人工完成的工作推向"自动化"，这让许多打工人在自己的位 置上丢失了存在感。 当然，这里的"抢夺饭碗"只是一个比喻，Kaufman指出，人类工作者真正能做的，并不是死守原本的阵地，而是 利用AI去100%释放自己的工作时间，尝试和探索那些无法被自动化的事情。 但究竟如何主动改变工作方式，如何创造出专属于人类工作者价值？这则没有标准答案，更多要依赖于员工自 己的思考，但如果不能主动地去改变，未来则不会有任何机会。 当功能性工作被机器替代，什么还能让你与众不同？是你对美的认知？对是非的辨别？还是你 ...

Core Insights - The discussion revolves around the impact of AI on employment, the potential for a trillion-dollar investment in AI, and the necessity for a public AI to address global challenges [1] Group 1: AI and Employment - There is a concern about whether AI will take away human jobs, highlighting the need for a balanced perspective on technological advancements [1] Group 2: Investment in AI - The article questions whether the current trillion-dollar investment in AI is a bubble or a genuine opportunity for the future [1] Group 3: Global Cooperation - It emphasizes the importance of global collaboration in building and governing "public intelligence" beyond national competition [1] Group 4: Technological Optimism - The concept of "technological optimism" is redefined, focusing on the long-term value of AI investments while acknowledging short-term pitfalls [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of AI on employment, the potential for a trillion-dollar investment bubble, and the necessity for a public AI to address global challenges, emphasizing a vision of a shared human destiny in the era of AI technology [1]. Group 1 - The article questions whether AI will take away human jobs and explores the concept of technological optimism in the context of AI investments [1]. - It highlights the importance of recognizing the "slow takeoff" development cycle of technology and the need for a collective approach to building and governing "public intelligence" beyond national competition [1]. - The discussion features insights from Kevin Kelly, the founding editor of Wired magazine, who redefines "technological optimism" and clarifies the long-term value versus short-term pitfalls of AI investments [1].

Core Insights - The article discusses the potential realization of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and the implications of AI advancements, suggesting that AI may have already "awakened" while humanity remains unaware [1][3][10]. Group 1: AI Advancements - Jack Clark, a former OpenAI executive, claims that AI has truly "come alive," indicating a significant leap in AI capabilities that cannot be ignored [3][10]. - The article highlights the continuous improvement of AI in practical skills, such as coding, alongside unusual behaviors that suggest a growing awareness among AI systems [5][6]. - Clark emphasizes the need for transparency among AI researchers regarding their findings and the emotional implications of their work [9]. Group 2: Balancing Optimism and Fear - The article presents a dichotomy between "technological optimism" and "reasonable fear," urging humanity to find a balance as AI progresses [3][10]. - Clark expresses both optimism about the future of AI and fear regarding its rapid development, likening AI to a "mysterious creature" rather than a mere machine [10][16]. - A report from the Dallas Federal Reserve supports the notion that AI could lead to either significant GDP growth or catastrophic outcomes for humanity [10]. Group 3: Future Implications - Clark believes that AI systems are evolving towards greater complexity and potential self-awareness, which raises concerns about their future capabilities [17][22]. - The article warns that while AI has not yet reached the stage of self-improvement, it is already contributing to the development of its successors [20][22]. - The possibility of AI systems achieving self-awareness and independent thought in the future is acknowledged, although it is not seen as an immediate reality [22].

Core Viewpoint - Substack is positioned as a platform that champions independent creators and free speech, aiming to counteract the proliferation of low-quality AI-generated content and to foster a healthier media ecosystem [3][5][9]. Group 1: Cultural Impact and Free Speech - Substack is seen as a bastion for free speech, emerging during a time when many voices were silenced in mainstream media [10][11]. - The platform's core principle is independence, allowing creators to express their beliefs and connect directly with their audience [9][11]. - The media landscape has shifted towards a scarcity of attention, where high-quality content is increasingly valuable [4][28]. Group 2: Evolution of the Platform - Initially perceived as a commercialized blogging platform, Substack has evolved into a comprehensive network that supports various forms of media [14][17]. - The platform's vision has expanded to include a robust ecosystem that empowers creators to monetize their work while maintaining editorial freedom [11][43]. - Substack's approach to content creation emphasizes the importance of direct connections between creators and their audiences, bypassing traditional social media algorithms [15][16]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Challenges - The rise of algorithm-driven content on social media has distanced creators from their audiences, leading to a decline in meaningful engagement [23][24]. - Substack aims to redefine the relationship between creators and their audiences by prioritizing user interests over advertising revenue [25][26]. - The platform recognizes the potential of AI as a tool for enhancing creativity rather than merely producing low-quality content [26][27]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Expansion Plans - Substack's recent $100 million funding round is aimed at scaling its operations and enhancing its network effects to better support independent creators [42][43]. - The company envisions a future where it can provide a platform for both independent voices and academic discourse, potentially disrupting traditional publishing models [38][39]. - The goal is to create a cultural engine that not only entertains but also enriches users' lives through meaningful content [36][37].

Group 1 - The article discusses the rising tensions surrounding gender conflicts, particularly highlighted by a recent incident involving two university students, which has sparked public debate [1] - A case study involving two young individuals, A and B, illustrates how modern relationship expectations, such as high bride prices and pre-marital property gifts, are influenced by social media [2][5] - The influence of social media platforms, particularly algorithms, is noted for amplifying extreme cases and altering traditional cultural norms regarding marriage and relationships [6][7] Group 2 - The article emphasizes that the current generation, particularly those born after 2000, exhibits increased distrust between genders, exacerbated by online communities and extreme narratives [6][9] - It highlights how algorithms on social media can intensify personal grievances and biases, leading to a cycle of distrust and conflict in relationships [7][10] - The phenomenon of "comparing and despairing" is discussed, where individuals feel inadequate by constantly comparing their lives to curated online personas, leading to a sense of isolation and dissatisfaction [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on human capabilities may not be a sudden shock but rather a gradual decline in essential skills, raising concerns among technology ethicists about the potential loss of creativity, deep thinking, and critical thinking abilities [1][2]. Group 1: Research Findings - A recent study from MIT involved 54 participants divided into three groups using OpenAI's ChatGPT, Google Search, and no tools to write articles, revealing significant differences in brain activity [2]. - Participants using ChatGPT exhibited the weakest neural connectivity, lower executive control, and reduced attention compared to those who did not use any tools, who showed the strongest and most widespread neural connections [2]. - The study concluded that long-term reliance on AI could lead to a decline in cognitive abilities, particularly affecting creativity and critical thinking, especially in developing brains [2]. Group 2: Diverging Perspectives - There exists a contrasting viewpoint known as "technological optimism," which posits that technology, including AI, can enhance human capabilities by freeing individuals from mundane tasks and allowing them to focus on more creative and fulfilling work [3]. - Optimists believe that AI could lead humanity into a "beautiful new world," suggesting that technology serves as an extension of human capabilities [3]. Group 3: Human Agency - The future of humanity does not have to be a choice between regression and progression; rather, individuals hold the key to how they utilize technology, leading to different outcomes [4]. - The choice of which "door" to open in the AI era is not determined by AI itself but by individual decisions regarding technology use [4].