1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On Wednesday, the RB2605 contract rose and then pulled back. The National Development and Reform Commission will identify around 100 iconic scenario projects with leading and driving roles across the country, covering scenarios such as creating multi - provincial linked clean energy corridors, building full - space unmanned systems, and promoting the construction of elderly care service scenarios in areas with a high degree of population aging [2]. - In terms of supply and demand, the weekly output of rebar continued to increase, and the capacity utilization rate rose to 42.82%. Terminal demand increased simultaneously, and the inventory growth rate decreased. Overall, with the international situation being volatile and many uncertainties, international oil prices pulled back from high levels, which hindered the rebound of furnace materials and steel prices. The short - term market may fluctuate [2]. - Technically, the 1 - hour MACD indicator of the RB2605 contract shows that DIFF and DEA are running above the 0 - axis, and the green bars are expanding. It is recommended to conduct short - term trading and pay attention to risk control [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the RB main contract was 3,140.00 yuan/ton, a decrease of 8 yuan; the position volume was 1,514,911 lots, a decrease of 34,623 lots [2]. - The net position of the top 20 in the RB contract was - 36,963 lots, a decrease of 28,017 lots; the spread between the RB5 - 10 contracts was - 25 yuan/ton, a decrease of 5 yuan [2]. - The daily warehouse receipt report of the RB on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 58,749 tons, an increase of 3,000 tons; the spread between the HC2605 - RB2605 contracts was 170 yuan/ton, an increase of 5 yuan [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - The price of HRB400E 20MM in Hangzhou (theoretical weight) was 3,290.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of HRB400E 20MM in Hangzhou (actual weight) was 3,374 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The price of HRB400E 20MM in Guangzhou (theoretical weight) was 3,420.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of HRB400E 20MM in Tianjin (theoretical weight) was 3,200.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The basis of the RB main contract was 150.00 yuan/ton, an increase of 8 yuan; the spot price difference between hot - rolled coils and rebar in Hangzhou was 30.00 yuan/ton, an increase of 10 yuan [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The price of 60.8% PB powder ore at Qingdao Port was 799.00 yuan/wet ton, an increase of 8.00 yuan; the price of first - class metallurgical coke at Tianjin Port (FOB) was 1,490.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The price of 6 - 8mm scrap steel in Tangshan (tax - excluded) was 2,190.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Q235 billets in Hebei was 2,980.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - The inventory of iron ore at 45 ports was 171.918 million tons, an increase of 690,800 tons; the inventory of coke at sample steel mills was 6.8762 million tons, an increase of 160,900 tons; the inventory of coke at sample coking plants was 2.4051 million tons, an increase of 78,600 tons; the inventory of billets in Tangshan was 561,000 tons, a decrease of 69,300 tons [2]. - The blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills was 78.36%, an increase of 0.67 percentage points; the blast furnace capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 82.90%, a decrease of 2.40 percentage points [2]. 3.4 Industry Situation - The weekly output of rebar at sample steel mills was 1.953 million tons, an increase of 219,900 tons; the capacity utilization rate of rebar at sample steel mills was 42.82%, an increase of 4.83 percentage points [2]. - The inventory of rebar at sample steel mills was 2.3962 million tons, an increase of 16,900 tons; the social inventory of rebar in 35 cities was 6.5455 million tons, an increase of 168,000 tons [2]. - The operating rate of independent electric arc furnace steel mills was 59.38%, an increase of 23.96 percentage points; the monthly output of domestic crude steel was 68.18 million tons, a decrease of 1.69 million tons [2]. - The monthly output of Chinese steel bars was 13.75 million tons, an increase of 190,000 tons; the net export volume of steel products was 7.47 million tons, an increase of 180,000 tons [2]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The national real estate climate index was 91.45, a decrease of 0.44; the cumulative year - on - year growth rate of fixed - asset investment completion was - 3.80%, a decrease of 5.60 percentage points [2]. - The cumulative year - on - year growth rate of real estate development investment completion was - 17.20%, a decrease of 6.10 percentage points; the cumulative year - on - year growth rate of infrastructure construction investment was - 2.20%, a decrease of 2.20 percentage points [2]. - The cumulative value of housing construction area was 6.5989 billion square meters, a decrease of 1.24518 billion square meters; the cumulative value of new housing construction area was 587.7 million square meters, a decrease of 536.86 million square meters [2]. - The inventory of commercial housing for sale was 402.36 million square meters, an increase of 35.16 million square meters [2]. 3.6 Industry News - Iran's President issued a statement confirming the death of Ali Larijani, the secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad - Bagher Ghalibaf said on social media that the Strait of Hormuz would not return to the pre - war state [2]. - From March 9th to March 15th, the total transaction (signing) area of newly - built commercial housing in 10 key cities was 1.4775 million square meters, a month - on - month increase of 46.5% and a year - on - year decrease of 4.5%. During the same period, the total transaction (signing) area of second - hand housing in 10 key cities was 2.0892 million square meters, a month - on - month increase of 27.9% and a year - on - year decrease of 14.2% [2]. 3.7 Key Points to Watch - The weekly output, in - plant inventory, and social inventory of rebar on Thursday [2]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coking coal and coke in the black sector is "oscillating with a bullish bias" [1] Group 2: Report's Core View - The coking coal market showed an overall strong performance yesterday, and it closed higher in the night session. The lower support and the center of gravity are gradually moving up. After the Two Sessions, the steel mill's start - up rate may bottom out and rebound. The demand for coking coal and coke is at a phased low, and the expectation is gradually improving. On the other hand, the energy attribute of coking coal promotes the stabilization of the spot market price, and most of the auction transaction prices have increased. The high - level customs clearance of Mongolian coal still has a certain suppressing effect on the futures market, so it is considered to be oscillating with a bullish bias in the short term [1] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Review - Yesterday, the main coking coal contract Jm2605 closed at 1176.0, down 0.42% compared with the previous day's closing of the day session; the main coke contract J2605 closed at 1732.0, down 0.8% compared with the previous day's closing of the day session [1] Important Information - Iran's new Supreme Leader Mujtaba Khamenei rejected the proposal of "easing tensions or achieving peace" with the United States at a foreign affairs meeting, and dismissed the proposal forwarded to the Iranian Foreign Ministry by an intermediary between the two countries. He also said that the United States and Israel must be defeated and pay compensation [1] - The Ministry of Finance stated that in 2026, it will continue to implement a more proactive fiscal policy, focusing on seven aspects: supporting the construction of a strong domestic market; supporting the cultivation and growth of new driving forces; accelerating high - level scientific and technological self - reliance; increasing efforts to ensure and improve people's livelihood; promoting new - type urbanization and regional coordinated development; accelerating the comprehensive green transformation; and strengthening fiscal scientific management [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission will identify about 100 iconic scenario projects with leading and driving roles across the country, including creating clean energy corridors with multi - provincial linkages, building full - space unmanned systems, and promoting the construction of elderly care service scenarios in areas with a relatively high degree of population aging [1] - The National Energy Administration released data showing that from January to February, the cumulative electricity consumption of the whole society was 1654.6 billion kWh, a year - on - year increase of 6.1%, and the increase was 4.7 percentage points higher than the same period last year [1] Market Logic - The coking coal showed an overall strong performance yesterday and closed higher in the night session. After the Two Sessions, the steel mill's start - up rate may bottom out and rebound. The demand for coking coal and coke is at a phased low, and the expectation is gradually improving. The energy attribute of coking coal promotes the stabilization of the spot market price, and most of the auction transaction prices have increased. The high - level customs clearance of Mongolian coal still has a certain suppressing effect on the futures market, so it is considered to be oscillating with a bullish bias in the short term [1] Trading Strategy - The main coking coal contract is expected to oscillate with a bullish bias between 1100 and 1230 [1]