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LPG早报-20260303
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-03-03 02:25
部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力造成的全部或部分信息中断、延迟、遗漏、误导或造成资料传输 或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等,我们均不承担任何责任。 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯,我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正,研究方法专业审慎,分析结论合理,但公司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证,也不保证所依据的信息和建议不会 发生任何变化。且全部分析及建议内容仅供参考,不构成对您的任何投资建议及入市依据,客户应当自主做出期货交易决策,独立承担期货交 易后果,凡据此入市者,我公司不承担任何责任。未经公司授权,不得随意转载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全 LPG早报 研究中心能化团队 2026/03/03 L P G 日期 华南液化气 华东液化气 山东液化气 丙烷CFR华南 丙烷CIF日 本 CP预测合 同价 山东醚后碳四 山东烷基 化油 纸面进口利润 主力基差 2026/02/24 4760 4424 4500 640 583 540 4380 73 ...
【国泰君安期货能化联合调研】金十期货特约国泰君安期货分析:国内炼厂在经历3-4月油价下跌后利润持续修复,均有不同程度、不同形式的点价备货,原料库存从此前低位有一定回升,装置复工预期小幅增强。从原油采购渠道看,近期地缘风险带来的不利影响明显,或削弱中长期行业利润。分产业链和品种看,山东、东北、华东地炼短期 开工 稳定,但成品油需求疲软及原料扰动抑制中长期产能利用率。华北方面有所不同,受原料消费税、地缘等影响相对更谨慎。化工轻油加工方面,芳烃估值回归基本面,内外盘套利窗口收窄;烯烃方面,关税政策波动下乙烷采购谨
news flash· 2025-05-09 10:18
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that domestic refineries have experienced a profit recovery after the decline in oil prices during March and April, leading to various forms of inventory replenishment and a slight increase in the expectation of facility resumption [1] - Raw material inventory has shown a certain recovery from previously low levels, with different regions such as Shandong, Northeast, and East China maintaining stable short-term operations despite weak demand for refined oil and raw material disruptions affecting long-term capacity utilization [1] - In North China, the situation is more cautious due to influences from raw material consumption taxes and geopolitical factors [1] Group 2 - In the chemical light oil processing sector, the valuation of aromatics has returned to fundamentals, and the arbitrage window between domestic and international markets has narrowed [1] - In the olefins sector, there is cautious procurement of ethane due to fluctuations in tariff policies, while propane may shift towards Middle Eastern sources, with policy integration and quota distribution being key areas of future focus [1]