内险股继续走高，截至发稿，新华保险(01336)涨4.65%，报51.05港元；中国太保（601601）(02601)涨 4.34%，报36.1港元；中国平安（601318）(02318)涨3.37%，报65.9港元；中国人寿（601628）(02628)涨 2.4%，报28.98港元。 国金证券发布研报称，开门红景气度上行，维持积极推荐。明年大量定存到期，分红险对于低风险偏 好、有长期财富保值增值诉求的资金来说具有吸引力，且在反内卷和分红险转型背景下大公司的市占率 将继续提升，预计开门红新单保费和NBV将实现双位数增长。当前保险估值低位，配置性价比非常 高，维持积极推荐。 申万宏源证券（000562）发布的最新研究报告，监管机构近期下调了保险公司长期持有部分权益资产的 风险因子，此举有望在短期内释放千亿级别的增量资金空间。该行指出，随着险资弹药的补充和配置意 愿的增强，兼具稳定分红和防御属性的高股息板块自然成为其重点配置方向。 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 0.65% at 26,027.55 points and a total turnover of HKD 2,646.57 million [1] - Short-term volatility is expected, but long-term growth is anticipated due to developments in the AI industry, improved US-China relations, and policy implementations [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - China Life (02628) led blue-chip stocks, rising 6.04% to HKD 24.94, contributing 16.55 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - The company projected a net profit of RMB 156.79 billion to RMB 177.69 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50% to 70% [2] - Other notable blue-chip performances included BYD Electronics (00285) up 3.77%, Techtronic Industries (00669) up 3.7%, while China Telecom (00728) and China Resources Mixc Lifestyle (01209) saw declines [2] Sector Highlights - Major technology stocks saw gains, with Alibaba and Kuaishou both rising nearly 2%, and Tencent up 0.48% [3] - The Apple concept stocks performed well, driven by strong demand for the iPhone 17 series, with several companies in the supply chain seeing significant increases in stock prices [4] - Insurance stocks generally rose, with China Life and New China Life both reporting substantial profit increases for the first three quarters of 2025 [5] Automotive Sector - The automotive sector continued its upward trend, with Xpeng Motors (09868) up 3.75% and Geely Automobile (00175) up 3.23% [5] - The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers reported record production and sales for new energy vehicles in September, with year-on-year growth of 23.7% and 24.6% respectively [6] Oil and Gas Sector - Some oil and gas stocks strengthened, notably Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033) which surged 12% [7] - The "Deep Earth Economy" is gaining attention as a strategic emerging industry, focusing on resource exploration and underground space utilization [7] Notable Stock Movements - Jushuitan (06687) debuted with a 23.86% increase, closing at HKD 37.9, focusing on e-commerce SaaS solutions [8] - Tsugami Machine Tool (01651) reached a new high with a 9.63% rise, forecasting a 48% increase in net profit for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year [9] - Bosideng (03998) rose 9.11% as colder weather is expected to boost winter clothing sales [10] - Bilibili-W (09626) gained 8.88% following successful game releases [11] - Aux Electric (02580) increased by 7.59% after announcing a dividend payout plan [12]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that domestic insurance stocks have underperformed since the end of July, with average declines of 2% in H-shares and 6% in A-shares, while the Hang Seng Index and CSI 300 Index rose by 8% and 14% respectively. This is attributed to high valuation levels following a rebound in early April and a weak profit growth outlook due to high base effects in the second half of 2024 [1] Group 1 - Goldman Sachs believes that the risk-reward profile for domestic insurance stocks is improving ahead of the upcoming third-quarter earnings, with expectations that stock investment returns may lead to better-than-expected profits for the third quarter [1] - The new business value for next year is anticipated to achieve double-digit growth, and the profit margin for contract services is expected to reach a growth inflection point [1] Group 2 - Among domestic insurance stocks, China Life is expected to benefit the most from market and yield changes in the third quarter, followed by China Pacific Insurance. New China Life is projected to show the strongest profit growth, although its book value and solvency ratio may lag behind peers [1] - Goldman Sachs has raised its 2025 profit forecast for domestic insurance stocks by 2% to 20%, with the largest upward adjustments for China Life and New China Life at 20% and 19% respectively [1] - The rating for China Pacific Insurance has been upgraded from "Neutral" to "Buy," while the rating for China Taiping has been upgraded from "Sell" to "Neutral" [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that domestic insurance stocks have underperformed since the end of July, with average declines of 2% in H-shares and 6% in A-shares, while the Hang Seng Index and CSI 300 Index rose by 8% and 14% respectively. This underperformance is attributed to high valuation levels following a rebound in early April and a weak profit growth outlook due to high base effects in the second half of 2024 [1] Group 1: Performance Analysis - Domestic insurance stocks have seen a decline in stock prices, with H-shares down 2% and A-shares down 6% since late July [1] - The Hang Seng Index and CSI 300 Index have increased by 8% and 14% respectively during the same period [1] - The decline in domestic insurance stocks is linked to high valuation levels and a weak profit growth outlook due to high base effects expected in 2024 [1] Group 2: Earnings Outlook - Goldman Sachs anticipates that the risk-reward profile for domestic insurance stocks is improving, with expectations that third-quarter earnings may exceed forecasts due to stock investment returns [1] - The new business value for next year is expected to achieve double-digit growth, and the profit margin for contract services is projected to reach a growth inflection point [1] Group 3: Company-Specific Projections - Among domestic insurance stocks, China Life is expected to benefit the most from market and yield changes in the third quarter, followed by China Pacific Insurance [1] - New China Life is projected to show the strongest earnings growth, although its book value and solvency ratio may lag behind peers [1] - Goldman Sachs has raised its 2025 earnings forecast for domestic insurance stocks by 2% to 20%, with China Life and New China Life seeing the largest increases of 20% and 19% respectively [1] Group 4: Rating Changes - The rating for China Pacific Insurance has been upgraded from "Neutral" to "Buy" [1] - The rating for China Taiping has been upgraded from "Sell" to "Neutral" [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that the recent performance of domestic insurance stocks reflects positive signals such as a shift in reserve liabilities, improved asset-liability management, increased mid-term dividends, enhanced capital repayment, and strong operational conditions in both life and non-life insurance sectors [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Domestic insurance stocks have shown a rebound this year, with current price levels corresponding to a projected price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 7 times for 2026 [1] - The expected dividend yield for these stocks is around 4%, indicating an improved risk-return profile [1] Group 2: Company Outlook - Morgan Stanley is optimistic about China Life and Ping An, anticipating continued strong performance in the third quarter [1] - The firm maintains an "overweight" rating for both companies, with target prices set at HKD 31 for China Life and HKD 80 for Ping An [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant rally in Hong Kong's insurance stocks, with China People's Insurance Group and China Pacific Insurance reaching historical highs [1] - China People's Insurance Group reported a mid-year revenue of 324.12 billion yuan, up from 292.34 billion yuan in the same period last year, and a net profit of 26.7 billion yuan, compared to 23.4 billion yuan previously [1] - China Pacific Insurance's net profit for the first half of the year was 24.455 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.3% [1] Group 2 - Prudential reported a shareholder profit of 1.284 billion USD for the mid-year period, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.7 times [1] - China Ping An's operating profit attributable to shareholders grew by 3.7% in the first half of the year, with a strong increase of 39.8% in new business value for life insurance [1] - Analysts suggest that the Chinese insurance industry is emerging from a low point, driven by multiple favorable factors, indicating a shift towards a higher quality and more sustainable development phase [1]