Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a significant drop on November 17, with the chemical ETF (516020) initially rising by 1.69% before falling to a decrease of 0.24% at the time of reporting [1] - Key stocks in the sector, including coatings, battery chemicals, and fluorochemicals, saw notable declines, with SanKeTree dropping over 3%, and Enjie and Sanmei both falling over 2% [1] - The report indicates that the peak of new capacity additions in the chemical industry has passed, leading to a reduction in capital expenditure, which is expected to improve the supply-demand balance in the sector [1][3] Group 2 - The current PB-LF valuation of the basic chemical industry is close to the bottom levels seen in 2019 and 2024, indicating that the sector is still undervalued [3] - The chemical industry is expected to see a continuous improvement in supply-demand dynamics, with a potential upward trend in industry prosperity [3] - Analysts suggest that the chemical sector may experience a rebound starting in 2026, driven by improved domestic demand and supply-side adjustments [3] Group 3 - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry index, covering various sub-sectors, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap leading stocks [4] - Investors can also access the chemical ETF through linked funds, providing a more efficient way to invest in the chemical sector [4]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is experiencing a peak in new capacity investments, but the actual peak has passed, leading to a reduction in overall capital expenditure in the sector moving forward [1] Group 1: Capital Expenditure Trends - Fixed asset investment in the chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry decreased by 5.6% year-on-year from January to September 2025, marking a decline for the first time since 2020 [1] - Capital expenditure for listed companies in the basic chemical industry in the first half of 2025 was approximately 124.1 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 12.5% [1] - The total amount of construction in progress at the end of the first half of 2025 was about 397.9 billion, down 12.2% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - With the reduction in capital expenditure and a gradual recovery in demand, the supply-demand balance in the chemical industry is expected to improve, leading to a potential increase in industry prosperity [1] Group 3: Valuation Insights - The current PB-LF valuation of the basic chemical industry is close to the bottom levels observed in 2019 and 2024, indicating that the valuation remains low [1] - Continuous improvement in supply-demand dynamics is likely to sustain the upward trend in industry prosperity, while the PB valuation remains at historically low levels, suggesting a favorable outlook for valuation recovery in the chemical sector [1]

(本文来自第一财经) 光大证券研报表示，近几年为化工行业新增产能的投产高峰期，但是实际的投产峰值已经过去，后续化 工行业整体的资本开支力度将有所减弱。伴随着资本开支的减少，叠加需求端的逐步修复，化工行业供 需格局将迎来好转，行业景气程度有望上行。此外，从PB估值角度来看，当前基础化工行业的PB-LF估 值与2019年和2024年期间的底部水平较为接近，当前化工行业估值水平仍然处于低位。化工行业供需持 续改善景气度有望持续上行，PB估值仍处于历史低位水平，持续看好化工板块迎来估值修复。 ...

（文章来源：第一财经） 光大证券研报表示，近几年为化工行业新增产能的投产高峰期，但是实际的投产峰值已经过去，后续化 工行业整体的资本开支力度将有所减弱。伴随着资本开支的减少，叠加需求端的逐步修复，化工行业供 需格局将迎来好转，行业景气程度有望上行。此外，从PB估值角度来看，当前基础化工行业的PB-LF估 值与2019年和2024年期间的底部水平较为接近，当前化工行业估值水平仍然处于低位。化工行业供需持 续改善景气度有望持续上行，PB估值仍处于历史低位水平，持续看好化工板块迎来估值修复。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The traditional sectors such as food and beverage, tourism, chemicals, and energy are experiencing a strong rebound in the A-share market, contrasting with the significant pullback in popular technology growth sectors. The Chemical 50 ETF (516120) has seen a 2.08% increase today, marking a four-day winning streak and a year-to-date gain of 35.01%, leading among similar indices [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The chemical sector, one of the most adjusted industries over the past three years, is recovering alongside the A-share market's rise, with both performance and valuation improving in the first three quarters of the year [3][4]. - The recent market dynamics reflect a shift from event-driven trading in technology sectors to a focus on fundamental performance and valuations in traditional industries [4]. - The "white liquor stocks" have surged nearly 4.7%, with notable gains from second-tier brands and leading brands like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye [4]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The overall surge in the consumer sector is attributed to three main favorable factors: the Ministry of Finance's report on consumption policies, positive signals from macroeconomic data, and the upcoming significant closure of Hainan Island [7][8]. - The CPI data shows a month-on-month increase of 0.2% and a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, indicating a gradual improvement in the traditional industry's profitability environment [8]. Group 3: Chemical Sector Insights - The chemical sector related to lithium batteries has seen significant gains, with the phosphate chemical sector rising by 2.48% and fluorochemical by 1.83% [9]. - The explosive growth in the new energy vehicle and energy storage sectors has driven a surge in lithium battery demand, with domestic sales of new energy vehicles reaching 987,000 units in October, a year-on-year increase of 35.2% [9][10]. - The prices of key materials for lithium batteries, such as lithium carbonate, have been steadily rising, with futures prices increasing by 7.36% recently [10][13]. Group 4: Financial Performance - The basic chemical industry achieved total revenue of 171.01 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.79%, with net profit rising by 10.56% [15][18]. - The overall gross margin and return on equity in the chemical sector have seen slight increases compared to last year, indicating a positive trend in financial performance [17]. Group 5: Investment Trends - The chemical sector is experiencing a significant influx of capital, with net inflows of 225.15 billion yuan into the chemical raw materials sector over the past five days, reflecting strong market interest [20][21]. - The Chemical 50 ETF (516120) has seen a remarkable increase in shares, up 394.59% this year, indicating strong investor interest in the sector [22][23].

Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a significant rally on August 29, with the Chemical ETF (516020) rising by 2.08% during trading [1][2] - Key stocks in the sector included Blue Sky Technology and Juhua Co., both surging over 7%, while other companies like Cangge Mining and Xin Fengming also saw gains exceeding 5% [1][2] - The overall market sentiment is positive, driven by expectations of demand recovery and policy stimulus in the second half of the year [1][4] Group 2 - According to China Galaxy Securities, the chemical industry's capital expenditure and new capacity growth have slowed, but existing and under-construction capacities will take time to digest [1][4] - The chemical ETF (516020) is currently at a low valuation, with a price-to-book ratio of 2.11, indicating a favorable long-term investment opportunity [3] - Central China Securities anticipates a phase of improvement in the chemical sector as policies addressing overcapacity and competition are implemented [4] Group 3 - The Chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Index, covering various segments of the chemical industry, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks [5] - Investors can also access the chemical sector through the Chemical ETF linked funds (Class A 012537/Class C 012538) for efficient exposure [5]

Group 1 - The chemical sector has regained momentum, with the chemical ETF (516020) showing a peak intraday increase of 1.04% before slightly retreating to a 0.79% gain at the time of reporting [1] - Key stocks in the sector include strong performers such as Lianhong Xinke, which hit the daily limit, and Yuntianhua, which surged over 5% [1] - Other notable gainers include Sankeshu and Sinochem International, both rising over 3%, while Xingfa Group and Longbai Group increased by more than 2% [1] Group 2 - China Galaxy Securities anticipates that the second half of the year will see the release of domestic demand potential, driven by policy stimulus and a recovery in terminal industries [3] - The report highlights three investment themes: focusing on domestic demand, exploring cyclical opportunities due to supply-side constraints, and accelerating the localization of new materials [3] - As of August 19, the chemical ETF's underlying index had a price-to-book ratio of 2.1, indicating a low valuation at the 28.18 percentile over the past decade, suggesting attractive long-term investment potential [3] Group 3 - Zhongyuan Securities predicts a phase of improvement in the chemical industry as the rectification of overcapacity and excessive competition progresses [4] - The report suggests continued focus on sectors such as pesticides, organic silicon, and polyester filament [4] - Huashan Securities notes a clear divergence in chemical product prices, with expectations for gradual recovery as global chemical industries adapt to energy structure transitions and macro policy adjustments [4] Group 4 - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry index, covering various sub-sectors, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap leading stocks like Wanhua Chemical and Salt Lake Co [5] - The ETF provides a more efficient way to invest in the chemical sector, allowing investors to capture opportunities across different segments, including phosphate and nitrogen fertilizers [5]