Core Insights - The trading of collectible cards in the primary market is booming, which is driving rapid growth in the secondary market, although both markets are still in their infancy in China [3][6] - The value of collectible cards, the popularity of intellectual properties (IPs), and the issuance strategies of companies will significantly impact the secondary market [3][6] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The collectible card market in China is experiencing a surge, with companies like 卡游 (Kayo) leading the market with over 70% market share [3] - Kayo's revenue is projected to reach 100.57 billion yuan in 2024, a threefold increase from the previous year, with a net profit of 44.66 billion yuan, marking a 378.16% year-on-year growth [3][11] - The secondary market is heavily influenced by the popularity of specific IPs, with 小马宝莉 (My Little Pony) becoming a key driver of Kayo's revenue growth in 2024 [11][12] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Young consumers, such as students, are actively participating in the card trading market, often selling cards for profit despite not being fans of the IPs [2][5] - The probability of obtaining rare cards is low, with some cards having a chance as low as 0.062%, making the experience akin to gambling [2][5] - The secondary market is seeing significant transactions, with some cards selling for thousands of yuan, far exceeding their original purchase price [6][11] Group 3: Rating and Valuation - The demand for graded cards is increasing, with domestic grading institutions seeing a surge in orders, particularly for 小马宝莉 cards [8][9] - Graded cards serve both a collectible and aesthetic purpose, differing from international markets where grading is more focused on investment [8][9] - The domestic grading market is evolving, with a goal to establish standardized grading and pricing systems [9][12] Group 4: Future Potential - The collectible card market in China has significant growth potential, with per capita spending on collectible cards currently at only 8.6 yuan compared to 92.3 yuan in Japan and 50.7 yuan in the U.S. [12] - The overall market for entertainment products in China is expected to exceed 330 billion yuan by 2029, indicating a growing interest in collectible cards [12] - However, the secondary market may face challenges from the primary market, especially with companies reviving popular cards, which could disrupt the value of existing cards [12]

Summary of the Card Game Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The domestic card game market has experienced a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 50% in the past five years, with card game companies dominating the market, holding a market share of 71.1% and sales reaching 8.2 billion, estimating the total market size at approximately 11.53 billion, with sales potentially reaching 20-23 billion [1][2][12] - The global fantasy trading card game (TCG) market is expected to reach 11.73 billion USD by 2033, with China accounting for nearly half of this market share [1][4] - Domestic collectible card games (CCG) primarily focus on licensed IP production, lacking original content and competitive gameplay, which significantly differs from the three major international TCGs (Pokémon, Magic: The Gathering, Yu-Gi-Oh) [1][6] Key Players and Market Dynamics - Card Game Company (卡游) is the leading domestic TCG developer, possessing 70 licensed IPs, including its own IP (e.g., 卡游三国) and popular international IPs (e.g., My Little Pony) [1][8] - The primary market (wholesalers) and secondary market (player trading) influence each other, where a thriving primary market can stimulate the secondary market and vice versa. However, excessive product issuance may harm the secondary market, leading to a decline in the primary market [1][10][11] - Card Game Company has shown steady growth from 2021 to 2023, with a projected explosive growth in 2024 through My Little Pony, contributing 8.2 billion to total sales of 10 billion [1][12] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The domestic card market has gone through several development stages, with significant growth noted since 2019, particularly with the introduction of popular series like Ultraman and Pokémon [2][12] - The rise of secondary players such as 集卡社, 黑卡, and 闪魂 indicates a competitive landscape, although they still face barriers in channels and production capabilities [3][12] - The successful IPO of Card Game Company is expected to provide growth opportunities for other companies in the industry, reducing barriers to their own listings [2][12] Regulatory and IP Considerations - The domestic IP market is on the rise, with expectations of increased regulation to protect intellectual property rights and ensure quality after-sales service [15] - The process for card companies includes obtaining copyrights, design, production, and marketing, with major distribution channels including self-operated stores, online platforms, and live-streaming sales [17][16] Risks and Challenges - Card Game Company faces risks such as negative public perception regarding high-priced card speculation and potential backlash against perceived exploitation of underage consumers [22][23] - The company also contends with the expiration of IP licenses and the pressure from emerging competitors [22][23] Consumer Behavior and Market Segmentation - Different types of card users exhibit varied spending behaviors, with sports cards attracting high-net-worth individuals, while anime and TCG cards appeal to younger demographics [28][30] - The economic environment significantly impacts consumer purchasing power, which can lead to market downturns during economic declines [30] Conclusion - The card game industry in China is poised for continued growth, driven by strong IP influences and a competitive landscape. However, companies must navigate regulatory challenges and consumer perceptions to sustain this momentum [1][2][15][22]