沪指突破前期高点，春季行情得到确认。 沪指在周二突破前期高点，指数创出新高意味着新的上涨波段得到确认。指数突破的同时，交易量同步放 大至2.8万亿以上，形成了良性的量价配合。此外，市场热点扩散，科技和涨价形成两条主线，非银金融也出现比较明显的领涨效应，市场人气得以重新 聚集。目前A股正在开启春季行情，后续关注热点延续性和成交量的逐步放大。 后市展望： 春季行情关注科技成长和涨价主线。进入1月后，全球不确定性事件逐步落地，年底资金偏紧效应消散，市场重新回到做多的轨道。预计 春季行情将在1月继续向纵深发展，制约A股进一步上行的制约因素将逐步被打破。当前行情比较明确的两条主线是科技的成长叙事和原材料价格的上 涨，其背后的主要推动力量来自AI产业链投资的热潮。后续关注北美和中国科技大厂的资本开支和投资计划，在AI投资热度没有出现明显退坡之前，继 续关注科技产业链和原材料涨价主线。 热点板块 ：1月科技和原材料涨价方向占优，高股息可做左侧关注。1月市场迎来春季行情的启动，历年春季躁动行情，科技成长方向大概率占优。 结合短期催化剂，诸如商业航天、脑机接口、低空经济、半导体等未来产业可继续保持关注。此外受益于科技投资热潮的 ...

格隆汇10月28日｜由于钨价飙升，韩国六氟化钨(WF6)供应商已针对半导体制造商发起大规模涨价。业 内人士23日透露，SK Specialty、Hoosung、关东电化等六氟化钨制造商最近通知三星电子、SK海力 士、DB HiTek、Magnachip等半导体制造商，将从明年开始将供应价格上调70%至90%。一位业内人士 表示："原因是钨价在五个月内翻了一番，成本负担加重"，"日本天然气公司以汇率等因素为由，要求 涨价90%"。该人士还补充道："半导体制造商也意识到钨价飙升，因此他们觉得必须接受涨价。" 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com (责任编辑：宋政 HN002) ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][9]. Core Views - The company is facing performance pressure in Q1 2025 due to rising raw material prices, but it is expected to benefit from long-term capacity release and growth in both the supporting and replacement segments [1][9]. - The company has strong growth potential from its Serbia base, with a projected EPS of RMB 1.46 for 2025 and RMB 1.68 for 2026, along with a new forecast of RMB 1.86 for 2027 [4][9]. - The target price is set at RMB 20.44, based on a 14x PE for 2025 [4][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue and net profit for 2024 are projected at RMB 22.06 billion and RMB 1.75 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 9.39% and 26.01% [4][9]. - For Q4 2024, revenue and net profit are expected to be RMB 6.11 billion and RMB 0.041 billion, showing year-on-year growth of 8.41% and a significant decline in net profit of 90.59% [4][9]. - In Q1 2025, revenue is projected at RMB 5.70 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 12.92%, while net profit is expected to decline by 22.78% to RMB 0.34 billion [4][9]. Production and Sales - The company’s tyre production for 2024 is expected to reach 89.12 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.65%, with sales volume at 85.45 million units, up 9.57% [4][9]. - In Q1 2025, tyre production and sales are projected at 23.03 million and 21.41 million units, respectively, with sales volume increasing by 12.78% year-on-year [4][9]. Strategic Developments - The company is advancing its "7+5" layout strategy, with the Serbia base now in production and supplying the European market [4][9]. - A new project in Brazil is planned, which will have a production capacity of 12 million semi-steel tyres, 2.4 million full-steel tyres, and other products [4][9].

原材料涨价致业绩承压，拟建巴西项目基地 玲珑轮胎(601966) ——玲珑轮胎 2024 年报及 2025Q1 季报点评 本报告导读： 原材料涨价致 2025Q1 业绩承压，塞尔维亚项目产能快速爬坡中，兵器公司公告拟 投建巴西项目。公司将持续受益于中长期产能释放，配套和替换端发力。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 20,165 | 22,058 | 24,932 | 26,942 | 28,205 | | (+/-)% | 18.6% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | | 净利润（归母） | 1,391 | 1,752 | 2,134 | 2,462 | 2,717 | | (+/-)% | 376.9% | 26.0% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 10.4% | | 每股净收益（元） | 0.95 | 1.20 | 1.46 | 1.68 | 1.86 | | ...