古德哈特定律

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AI 创业,需要重读 Paul Graham 的「创业 13 条」
Founder Park· 2025-08-22 11:15
YC 创始人 Paul Graham 的《Startups in 13 Sentences》广为人知,基本是创业必读的文章了。 「创业公司的成败,几乎完全取决于创始人团队。」 「在推出产品后,才算真正开始投入工作。推出产品能让你明白应该做什么。在这之前,都是在浪费时 间。」 「理解用户,才是核心。创业的本质是『创造价值』:你最能掌控的价值维度,是产品对用户生活的改 善程度。其中最难的是知道该为用户做什么。一旦明确了方向,把产品做出来只是单纯的努力问题,而 大多数优秀的开发者都能做到。」 虽然发表在 2009 年,但在当下,其核心观点依旧不过时,是 founder 们可以每年拿出来重读的一篇。 两位创业者 Chris Saad、Yaniv Bernstein 通过对谈的形式,结合创业经验和当下的创业环境,逐条剖析 了 Paul Graham 的 13 条创业原则。 「成功的 Startup,本质上其实是一场反直觉的探索。」 超 12000 人的「AI 产品市集」社群!不错过每一款有价值的 AI 应用。 邀请从业者、开发人员和创业者,飞书扫码加群: 进群后,你有机会得到: 《Startups in 13 Sent ...
每个程序员必知的13条魔鬼定律:90%代码终将沦为垃圾
3 6 Ke· 2025-04-29 07:11
Core Viewpoint - The article presents 13 engineering laws that provide insights for engineers and managers to navigate inefficiencies and manage complex projects effectively [1][3]. Group 1: Engineering Laws - Parkinson's Law states that work expands to fill the time available for its completion, often leading to procrastination [5][6]. - Hofstadter's Law indicates that projects will always take longer than expected, even when this law is taken into account [6][9]. - Brooks' Law asserts that adding manpower to a late software project makes it later, highlighting the inefficiency of increasing team size in such scenarios [10][11]. - Conway's Law suggests that the design of a system reflects the communication structure of the organization, impacting product architecture [13][15]. - Cunningham's Law posits that the best way to get the right answer on the internet is to post the wrong answer, emphasizing the importance of collaboration [16][18]. - Sturgeon's Law states that 90% of everything is garbage, implying that only a small fraction of features or code is truly valuable [20][21]. - Zawinski's Law suggests that all programs will expand until they can handle email, leading to feature bloat [21][24]. - Hyrum's Law indicates that once an API has many users, all observable behaviors will be relied upon by at least one user, complicating maintenance [24][25]. - Price's Law states that in any team, 50% of the output is produced by the square root of the total number of individuals, illustrating the uneven distribution of productivity [25][26]. - Ringelmann Effect reveals that individual efficiency decreases as team size increases, suggesting the need for smaller teams [27][29]. - Goodhart's Law warns that once a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure, indicating the potential for manipulation of KPIs [30][32]. - Gilb's Law states that anything that needs to be quantified will have a way to measure it, advocating for the importance of measurement [32][37]. - Murphy's Law asserts that anything that can go wrong will go wrong, emphasizing the need for thorough testing and validation [38][40]. Group 2: Importance of the Laws - These laws serve as valuable mental models for engineers and managers to avoid common pitfalls in project management and software development [41].