Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views Index Futures - Trump threatens to significantly increase tariffs on India over oil purchases from Russia; Switzerland plans to offer a more attractive trade proposal to the US to reduce tariffs; the President of the San Francisco Fed predicts more than two interest rate cuts this year; the former third - in - command of the Fed believes internal differences are exaggerated. A - share new account openings in July increased by 71%. With high margin trading in China, a decline in fund holding ratios, and the Politburo meeting not exceeding expectations, there may be minor fluctuations during the intensive semi - annual report disclosure period in late August, and index futures may oscillate [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - After the announcement of the resumption of VAT on interest income from government bonds, local government bonds, and financial bonds on Friday, there was a wave of "scrambling for old bonds" in the bond market. On Monday, the yield of active bonds dropped by 1 - 1.5BP compared to Friday's last trading. Without major positive or negative factors, the market may return to low - volatility, and the 10 - year Treasury bond may oscillate within a narrow range around 1.70 [2]. Market Review Index Futures - The main contract futures of CSI 300 rose 0.52%, SSE 50 rose 0.54%, CSI 500 rose 0.97%, and CSI 1000 rose 1.42% [4]. Treasury Bond Futures - The 10 - year main contract rose 0.02%, the 5 - year main contract fell 0.01%, the 30 - year main contract rose 0.08%, and the 2 - year main contract remained unchanged [5]. Technical Analysis Index Futures - The KDJ indicator shows a rebound trend for the broader market [4]. Treasury Bond Futures - The MACD indicator shows that the T main contract may rebound [6]. Strategy Suggestions Index Futures - Oscillate [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - Oscillate [2]. Futures Data (2025 - 08 - 04) | Futures Variety | Closing Price (Yuan/Contract) | Change (%) | Trading Volume (Lots) | Open Interest (Lots) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CSI 300 Main Continuous | 4,052.80 | 0.52 | 44,736 | 146,808 | | SSE 50 Main Continuous | 2,770.40 | 0.54 | 24,294 | 56,661 | | CSI 500 Main Continuous | 6,169.00 | 0.97 | 42,885 | 102,178 | | CSI 1000 Main Continuous | 6,642.60 | 1.42 | 119,420 | 177,500 | | 10 - year Treasury Bond Main Continuous | 108.47 | 0.02 | 77,910 | 175,703 | | 5 - year Treasury Bond Main Continuous | 105.72 | - 0.01 | 62,616 | 128,789 | | 30 - year Treasury Bond Main Continuous | 119.19 | 0.08 | 122,755 | 105,770 | | 2 - year Treasury Bond Main Continuous | 102.35 | 0.00 | 36,387 | 90,529 | [7]

行业 国债日报 日期 2025 年 8 月 5 日 研究员：何卓乔(宏观贵金属) 18665641296 hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3008762 研究员：黄雯昕(国债集运) 021-60635739 huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3051589 研究员：聂嘉怡(股指) 021-60635735 niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03124070 宏观金融团队 请阅读正文后的声明 当日行情： ＃summary＃ 每日报告 | | 表1：国债期货8月4日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 前结算价 | 开盘价 | 收盘价 | 结算价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 （%） | 成交量 | 持仓量 | 仓差 | | TL2509 | 119.090 | 119.700 | 119.190 | 119.250 | 0.100 | 0.0 ...

Monetary Policy and Economic Support - The People's Bank of China continues to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on preventing excessive exchange rate fluctuations and increasing financing support for key areas such as "two new" and "two heavy" [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced the release of the fourth batch of 69 billion yuan in funding to support the consumption of old goods, completing the annual plan of 300 billion yuan [2] Company Performance - Ninebot reported a revenue of 11.742 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 76.14%, with a net profit of 1.242 billion yuan, up 108.45% [5] - Hikvision achieved a revenue of 41.818 billion yuan, a 1.48% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 5.657 billion yuan, up 11.71% [5] - Cangge Mining reported a revenue of 1.678 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.74%, but a net profit of 1.8 billion yuan, an increase of 38.80% [5] - Chipone expects a revenue of approximately 584 million yuan for Q2 2025, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 49.90% [5] Corporate Developments - Zhongyou Engineering received a project award letter for a seawater pipeline project in Iraq worth 2.524 billion USD (approximately 18.032 billion yuan), which could positively impact future revenue and profits [7] - BYD reported July car sales of 344,296 units, a year-on-year increase of 0.27%, with cumulative sales from January to July reaching 2.49 million units, up 27% [6] - China Shenhua announced plans to issue shares and pay cash to acquire coal-related assets from its controlling shareholder, the National Energy Group [8] Industry Trends - The report from CITIC Securities suggests focusing on high-growth sectors such as overseas computing chains, innovative pharmaceuticals, wind power, and military industry, while also monitoring the progress of domestic computing and AI applications [8]