Group 1 - Domestic oil prices will see a reduction starting from July 15, with a decrease of approximately 145 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel, translating to a drop of about 0.11 to 0.12 yuan per liter [2] - The global oil supply-demand dynamics are shifting, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) projecting a global crude oil supply of 105.1 million barrels per day by 2025, exceeding demand by 720,000 barrels per day [2] - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories have increased significantly by 8.2 million barrels, reaching 438 million barrels, which is much higher than market expectations [2] Group 2 - The U.S. has imposed tariffs on 120 countries, causing volatility in international financial markets, which in turn affects oil prices [3] - The share of U.S. light crude oil in China's total imports has dropped from 1.74% to nearly zero, indicating a significant shift in trade dynamics [3] - The dollar index has strengthened, with the USD/CNY exchange rate rising to 7.18, increasing the cost of oil imports priced in dollars [3] Group 3 - Despite OPEC's forecast of continued global oil demand growth until 2050, various factors suggest that domestic oil price adjustments will predominantly trend downward in the second half of the year [5] - The timing of the price reduction coincides with the peak summer travel season, which may have a cumulative effect on reducing travel costs for residents [5] - Some regions have already begun to feel the impact of anticipated price reductions, with gasoline prices in Guangzhou rising to 7.38 yuan per liter for 92 octane and 8 yuan per liter for 95 octane [5]