地缘政治平衡

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欧洲领导人集体吃“闭门羹”?8月19日,美欧外交风波传来新消息
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 06:30
故事的开端,源于特朗普总统在一次通话顺序上的微妙选择。在与俄罗斯总统普京举行峰会后,他首先 拨通了乌克兰总统泽连斯基的电话,这通越洋电话,比任何精心准备的声明,都更清晰地传递出一个信 息:在决定乌克兰命运的关键时刻,特朗普的天平明显倾向于倾听来自乌克兰本土的声音,即使这意味 着冷落早已抵达美国、翘首以盼的欧洲盟友。 随着通话的深入,特朗普的态度愈发清晰,如同拨开迷雾般,展现出其内心深处的战略考量。他强调, 迅速达成和平协议是避免乌克兰陷入长期冲突泥潭的唯一途径,甚至大胆提出了超越传统"停火"框架的 设想——一个直接签署和平协议的激进方案,这一观点无疑受到了普京在峰会上提出的建议的影响。这 一出人意料的转变,令在场及远程参与通话的欧洲领导人倍感压力,空气仿佛凝固般,充满了不安与紧 张。 面对特朗普这如同变脸般的举动,欧洲方面的反应迅速而坚定,展现出其在关键时刻的团结与决心。欧 盟委员会主席冯德莱恩,在第一时间召集了欧洲各国领导人,紧急商讨对策,并决定亲自陪同泽连斯基 访美,试图通过集体的力量,对特朗普的决策施加影响,以确保乌克兰的未来不会被草率决定。这一举 动,既是出于对乌克兰命运的深切担忧,也是为了防止泽连斯 ...
卢西奥·布兰科·皮特洛三世:东盟在中美贸易战中看到了机遇,但对冲风险至关重要
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-29 06:29
Core Insights - The trade relationship between China and ASEAN has strengthened significantly, with China being the largest trading partner of the Philippines since 2016, despite ongoing tensions in the South China Sea [1][2][4] - The Philippines aims to balance its relations with both the US and China, seeking to enhance trade and investment while managing security concerns [5][7][9] Trade Dynamics - China has maintained a robust trade relationship with ASEAN, with continuous growth in imports and exports for nine years and being each other's largest trading partners for five consecutive years [1] - In 2022, the bilateral trade between China and the Philippines reached $42 billion, accounting for 21% of the Philippines' total foreign trade [2] Geopolitical Context - The increasing competition between major powers, particularly the US and China, complicates the geopolitical landscape for Southeast Asian nations, including the Philippines [4][5] - ASEAN countries are striving to maintain autonomy and explore diverse partnerships while balancing relations with both superpowers [4][5] Policy and Cooperation - The Philippines is attempting to clarify that trade and investment should not be adversely affected by unresolved territorial disputes in the South China Sea [2] - The Philippines is also looking to deepen cooperation with China in sectors such as renewable energy and electric vehicles, while reinforcing its alliance with the US for security support [7][8] South China Sea Issues - The South China Sea remains a sensitive topic for the Philippines, with domestic political challenges affecting the continuity of resource cooperation initiatives [8][9] - There is a recognition that practical cooperation in resource development could be a viable path forward, despite the complexities of sovereignty disputes [8][9] Communication and Conflict Management - The Philippines has shifted its approach to transparency regarding maritime tensions, viewing it as a deterrent while also remaining open to dialogue to de-escalate conflicts [9][10] - Strengthening communication mechanisms between the military and law enforcement agencies of both countries is seen as essential for preventing unexpected incidents in the South China Sea [10]