Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the importance of expanding domestic demand as the primary task for economic work in the coming year, aiming to enhance the domestic market and ensure high-quality economic development [1][2]. Group 1: Domestic Demand Expansion - The conference highlights that domestic demand has become the main driver of economic growth, contributing an average of 86.4% to economic growth from 2021 to 2024, with final consumption accounting for 56.2%, an increase of 8.6 percentage points compared to the previous five-year period [1]. - The strategy of expanding domestic demand has been increasingly prioritized in recent years, appearing consistently in the top two economic work tasks during the Central Economic Work Conferences [2]. Group 2: Consumer Confidence and Spending - To boost domestic demand, the conference calls for significant efforts to enhance consumer spending, which is seen as a key engine for economic growth [3]. - A new plan for increasing urban and rural residents' income is proposed to stabilize and expand consumer capacity, thereby restoring consumer confidence [3]. Group 3: Investment Stabilization - The conference stresses the need to stabilize investment as a crucial support for boosting domestic demand, with a focus on optimizing government investment and encouraging private investment [4]. - It is essential to create a fair competitive environment for private capital and to direct more funds towards urban renewal projects that enhance the quality of life for citizens [4].

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference outlined eight key tasks for economic work in 2026, emphasizing the importance of domestic demand and innovation-driven growth [1][4]. Policy Orientation - The policy tone for next year is characterized by "seeking progress while maintaining stability" and "improving quality and efficiency," indicating a focus on the effectiveness of policies [3]. - The conference reiterated the need for a more proactive macroeconomic policy, enhancing the forward-looking, targeted, and coordinated nature of policies to expand domestic demand and optimize supply [3][4]. Domestic Demand Focus - "Maintaining domestic demand as the primary task" is highlighted as crucial for economic stability and security, with an emphasis on transforming market potential into real growth [4][5]. - The conference plans to implement a "rural and urban residents' income increase plan" to boost consumption capacity and willingness [6]. Investment and Consumption - The conference aims to stabilize investment by increasing the scale of central budget investments and optimizing the use of local government special bonds [6][7]. - Fiscal support for consumption is expected to rise from 300 billion to 500 billion, with a focus on service consumption and policies to encourage spending [6]. Innovation-Driven Growth - The emphasis on "innovation-driven growth" aims to strengthen the role of technology in shaping new development advantages, with plans to enhance support for tech enterprises [8][9]. - The conference outlines a strategy for developing key industries, including traditional sectors transitioning to high-end, intelligent, and green models, and emerging sectors like renewable energy and aerospace [9]. Market Regulation and Competition - The conference stresses the need for reform to enhance high-quality development, including the establishment of a national unified market construction regulation to eliminate unfair competition [10]. - The focus on creating a win-win environment for platform enterprises and workers indicates a shift towards quality improvement in the platform economy [10]. Real Estate Market Stability - The conference emphasizes stabilizing the real estate market through targeted policies, including increasing loan quotas for real estate projects and encouraging the purchase of existing homes for affordable housing [11][12]. - The deepening of housing provident fund system reforms is expected to provide significant policy space for supporting the real estate market [12].

Economic Outlook - The meeting provided a clear and coherent assessment of the international situation, indicating a readiness to respond, while emphasizing qualitative improvement and reasonable quantitative growth for the domestic economy[1] - The meeting introduced the concept of "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement" as a work guideline, reflecting a focus on sustainable and high-quality development[1] - The emphasis on "domestic demand as the main driver" and "optimizing supply" aims to strengthen the endogenous momentum and reliability of the domestic circulation[1] Risk Management - The focus of risk prevention has shifted from "stabilizing the stock and real estate markets" to "doing practical work," moving from "stabilizing expectations" to "stabilizing reality"[1] - The meeting released numerous positive signals within a limited scope, suggesting a promising start for the "14th Five-Year Plan" and broad growth potential for Chinese assets[1] Policy Adjustments - The policy tone has shifted from "promoting stability through progress" to "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement," indicating a greater emphasis on the quality and sustainability of development[1] - The meeting highlighted the need for "cross-cycle" adjustments in macroeconomic governance, reflecting concerns about enhancing the effectiveness of macroeconomic management[1] Domestic Demand and Supply - The meeting's first mention of "domestic demand as the main driver" and "optimizing supply" signifies a strategic shift towards enhancing domestic demand and improving supply quality[1] - The focus on service consumption as a new engine for expanding domestic demand, particularly in sectors like childcare, education, and healthcare, is expected to drive future growth[1] Market Stability - The meeting did not mention stabilizing the stock and real estate markets, instead emphasizing practical measures to address real economic issues, indicating a shift towards tangible outcomes[1] - The emphasis on "stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations" reflects a more grounded approach to economic stability compared to previous years[1]