三季度要着重做好"五个方面工作"，全力以赴打好"五场战役"，即围绕夯实客户基础，厚积发展优势， 全力以赴打好市场份额保卫战；围绕优化服务效能，创新思路举措，全力以赴打好金融服务升级战；围 绕精细管理提升，深挖内部潜能，全力以赴打好提质增效攻坚战；围绕加强风险管控，守牢发展底线， 全力以赴打好稳健经营持久战；围绕强化党建引领，激活奋斗激情，全力以赴打好队伍赋能主动战。 新沂农商银行党委副书记、行长周大庆全面总结了2025年上半年经营管理工作。他表示，在江苏农商联 合银行、各级监管部门的正确领导下，新沂农商银行紧紧围绕"立足三农、做小做散"的市场定位，全面 深化转型、强化风控、优化服务，各项业务实现稳健发展。 7月30日上午，新沂农商银行在总行会议室召开2025年上半年总结暨三季度工作部署会。会议全面总结 了上半年经营管理工作成果，深入分析当前形势，并对三季度重点工作进行部署。总行领导班子成员、 陇海村镇银行董事长及行长、各支行行长、总行各部室负责人等参加会议。会议由新沂农商银行纪委书 记王文军主持。 会上，新沂农商银行党委书记、董事长李岩峰作工作要求。他指出，全行上下要全面贯彻落实江苏农商 联合银行上半年经营工 ...

Economic Activity - July export growth showed resilience with a year-on-year increase, while construction activity remained weak due to adverse weather conditions and policy adjustments[2] - Domestic passenger car sales fell significantly by 40.7% year-on-year during July 21-27, indicating a potential impact from high base effects[3] - The manufacturing PMI decreased from 49.7% in June to 49.3% in July, suggesting a contraction in manufacturing activity[8] Commodity Prices - Brent crude oil prices rose by 1.8% week-on-week to $69.7 per barrel, while COMEX gold prices increased by 2.3% to $3,360 per ounce[5] - Domestic copper and rebar prices fell by 1.3% and 3.1% respectively, indicating a general retreat in commodity prices[5] Real Estate Market - New home transaction area in 44 cities saw a year-on-year decline of 23.2%, worsening from a previous drop of 19.6%[60] - In first-tier cities, new home transaction areas decreased by 21.6% year-on-year, with significant declines in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai[60] - The average land transaction price in 100 cities increased by 91.8% week-on-week and 40.9% year-on-year, reflecting a divergence in market dynamics[60] Financial Market - Interbank liquidity tightened, with the RMB/USD exchange rate decreasing by 0.59% week-on-week[6] - The net issuance of government bonds rose to 672.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 66.8%[6]

Economic Work Guidelines - The overall tone for the second half of the year emphasizes "stability while seeking progress," aiming to effectively promote domestic and international dual circulation [4][10][47] - The meeting acknowledged previous economic achievements while also addressing ongoing risks and challenges, highlighting the need for a proactive approach to leverage development opportunities [9][10] Macro Policy - The macro policy will focus on "sustained efforts and timely enhancements," indicating that fiscal and monetary policies still have room for maneuvering [10][11] - Fiscal policy will accelerate government bond issuance and improve fund utilization efficiency, particularly in infrastructure projects [11][12] - Monetary policy aims to maintain ample liquidity and support sectors like technology innovation, consumption, and small enterprises [18][19] Demand-Side Expansion - The meeting stressed the importance of effectively releasing domestic demand potential, with a focus on expanding consumption and fostering new growth points in service consumption [20][21] - Policies will be directed towards improving living standards and expanding consumption demand, including potential measures like "child-rearing subsidies" [22] Supply-Side Reform - The meeting highlighted the need for further regulation of "involutionary" competition and the orderly exit of backward production capacity in key industries [23][28] - Emphasis will be placed on deepening reforms and promoting a unified national market to optimize market competition [27][30] External Opening - The meeting called for expanding high-level opening-up and stabilizing the fundamentals of foreign trade and investment, with a focus on supporting foreign trade enterprises [34][35] - Policies will include optimizing export tax rebate policies and enhancing cross-border e-commerce development [36][37] Risk Prevention - The meeting outlined strategies for preventing and mitigating risks in key areas, including high-quality urban renewal and managing local government debt risks [39][41] - Emphasis will be placed on maintaining the stability of the capital market and preventing new hidden debts [40][44]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes a shift from incremental expectations to the implementation and refinement of existing policies, highlighting the need for a stable and flexible macroeconomic policy framework [2][3] - The report notes that the recent meeting acknowledged the positive performance of the domestic economy since the beginning of the year, while also recognizing ongoing risks and challenges [2] - The macro policy tone has shifted to "sustained efforts and timely enhancements," focusing on the need for more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies to achieve annual economic and social development goals [2][3] Group 2 - The report identifies key policy directions, including boosting consumption to unleash domestic demand potential, fostering new growth points in service consumption, and accelerating the development of internationally competitive emerging industries [2] - It also mentions the need to regulate disorderly competition among enterprises and manage capacity in key industries, indicating a more market-oriented approach to "anti-involution" policies [2] - The report anticipates that enhancing the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market will be a primary focus, aiming to attract more incremental funds and promote the listing of innovative enterprises [2] Group 3 - Overall, the report presents a positive evaluation of the domestic economy and capital market performance, emphasizing the importance of policy implementation and timing [2] - The focus on service consumption, project implementation, and capacity management in key industries will be the main directions for macro policy in the second half of the year [2] - The report suggests that while the market may face short-term risks of expectation adjustments, the underlying support from the funding environment and weak recovery in fundamentals keeps the downside risks manageable [2]

Economic Outlook - The Central Political Bureau meeting on July 30, 2025, maintained a "steady progress" policy tone, emphasizing the need to stabilize employment, expand domestic demand, and ensure market expectations[3] - The meeting acknowledged the positive effects of policies implemented this year, while also recognizing the risks and challenges facing economic operations[3] - The focus has shifted from external uncertainties to strengthening domestic economic activities, with a call to "concentrate efforts on doing our own business well" in response to international trade disputes[3] Policy Measures - The meeting proposed to continue and enhance macroeconomic policies, including more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies, to fully unleash policy effects[4] - It emphasized the importance of improving the efficiency of fund usage while ensuring liquidity remains ample, with local government special bonds expected to continue to play a significant role[4] - The meeting reiterated the need to stimulate private investment and improve consumer demand through various measures, including long-term special bonds for consumption upgrades[5] Supply-Side Adjustments - The meeting highlighted the need for structural adjustments on the supply side, aiming to regulate chaotic competition among enterprises and promote orderly exit of outdated production capacity[5] - The "anti-involution" policy was emphasized again, which is expected to support industrial product prices and influence nominal economic trends in the medium term[6] - The anticipated adjustments in supply-side policies are expected to be more moderate compared to previous rounds, with a longer timeline for price normalization[6] Real Estate and Capital Markets - The meeting indicated a focus on high-quality urban renewal and maintaining stability in the real estate market, with a low probability of large-scale stimulus policies in the sector in the near future[7] - The capital market's positive outlook was reinforced, with a commitment to enhance its attractiveness and inclusivity, supporting a stable recovery trend[7] - The report suggests that the nominal GDP growth in the third quarter is expected to gradually bottom out, providing fundamental support for the equity market[8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for high-quality development to address uncertainties in the external environment, as highlighted in recent statements from the Central Political Bureau and President Xi Jinping [1][2][3] - The article discusses the importance of maintaining political direction and stability while focusing on building a new development pattern and enhancing technological self-reliance [1][2] - It asserts that China's economic strength has significantly increased, positioning it as the world's second-largest economy, and is on a path toward more sustainable and equitable development [2][4] Group 2 - High-quality development is supported by the centralized and unified leadership of the Communist Party, which has been crucial for achieving historical economic accomplishments [3][5] - The article notes that China's solid material and technological foundation is essential for addressing various uncertainties, with significant advancements in manufacturing and a robust industrial system [4][5] - It highlights the importance of a scientific and effective institutional framework to ensure the successful implementation of economic policies and strategies [5][11] Group 3 - The article emphasizes the need for a stable and predictable policy environment to boost confidence among businesses and promote high-quality development [11][12] - It discusses the importance of expanding domestic demand as a primary driver of economic growth, with a focus on enhancing consumption and investment [12][13] - The need for improving the quality of the industrial supply system is highlighted, with a call for structural reforms to enhance the efficiency of the economy [13][14] Group 4 - The article stresses the significance of coordinated urban and regional development to enhance overall economic performance and leverage regional advantages [14][15] - It advocates for a comprehensive green transformation of the economy, emphasizing sustainable practices and resource efficiency [15] - The importance of expanding high-level opening-up policies to foster innovation and competitiveness in the global market is also discussed [15][16]

Group 1: Core Principles of Financial Work - The principle of "seeking progress while maintaining stability" is essential for addressing complex situations and achieving strategic goals in financial work [2][3] - Financial work must balance stability and progress, focusing on maintaining stability in key areas while promoting necessary reforms to drive high-quality financial development [2][3] Group 2: Regulatory and Market Dynamics - Effective regulation and market vitality must be balanced to promote high-quality financial development, requiring precise strategies that ensure financial safety while maintaining market dynamism [4][5] - Current discrepancies between regulatory requirements and market demands can lead to financial instability and hinder innovation, necessitating a coordinated approach to achieve effective regulation and a thriving market [5] Group 3: Financial Services to the Real Economy - Strengthening financial services to the real economy is crucial, as finance is the lifeblood of the economy, and enhancing service efficiency is a priority [7][8] - Financial resources should be directed towards emerging industries, infrastructure, and major technological innovations to support sustainable economic growth [8][9] Group 4: Financial Openness and Security - Financial openness must be pursued alongside security, ensuring that risks associated with external shocks and cross-border capital flows are effectively managed [10][11] - Enhancing financial management capabilities and risk prevention measures is vital for achieving a balance between high-level financial openness and security [11][12] Group 5: Educational and Research Initiatives - Educational institutions like Tsinghua University's Wudaokou School of Finance play a significant role in aligning financial education with national strategic needs, fostering high-quality financial talent to support financial reform and development [13]

本文作者：刘晨明/郑恺/倪赓 第四，资本市场改革上 ，一是需求侧"中长期资金入市"，特别提及"战略力量储备"与"稳市机制建设"；二是 供给侧"优化IPO和并购重组"。 第五，地产新模式上 ，相比中央经济工作会议，一是新增"调减限制性措施"；二是收购存量房上给地方更大 自主权及"拓宽保障性住房再贷款使用范围"；三是完善新一代"安全、舒适、绿色、智慧"住房标准。 第六，人口生育政策上 ，具化社区养老以及提到"发放育儿补贴"。 第七，国企改革上 ，特别提及"建立国有企业履行战略使命评价制度"。 核心观点 事件 ： 3月5日，国务院总理李强代表国务院，向十四届全国人大三次会议作政府工作报告。（来源：中国 政府网） 2025年两会政府工作报告核心要点总结如下： 第一，"稳中求进"总量基调延续中央经济工作会议，"5%左右GDP目标+4%左右赤字率目标"符合预期 。一 方面，财政政策"更加积极"，"今年合计新增政府债务总规模11.86万亿元、比上年增加2.9万亿元"，财政支 出明显加力；另一方面，货币政策"适度宽松"，特别提及优化工具"更大力度促进楼市股市健康发展"。 宏观 经济目标值得注意三点变化 ：（1）财政赤字率目标 ...