在外交博弈的同时，美方持续对伊朗施加军事压力，向中东增兵。27日，美军"福特"号航母被曝抵达以 色列。这意味着美军在中东地区同时部署了"福特"号和"林肯"号两艘航母。以色列方面消息称，"福 特"号将停靠在以色列北部的海法一带。同时，截至27日，美军已在以色列部署近20架加油机。 转自：国际金融报 当地时间2月27日，美国总统特朗普表示，他希望与伊朗达成协议，并透露美伊将于周五(27日)继续进 行更多谈判。特朗普称，对当前局势"并不满意"，但强调仍希望通过谈判解决问题。 在被问及是否会对伊朗动用军事力量时，特朗普表示，"并不想这样做，但有时候不得不这么做"。他同 时也表示，尚未就是否发动打击作出"最终决定"。 特朗普还表示，伊朗希望达成协议，但协议必须具有实质意义。"我强调必须达成有实质意义的协 议。"特朗普补充道："我更倾向和平解决。但他们实在难以打交道。" 28日凌晨，中国驻伊朗大使馆再次发文：近日，伊朗面临外部安全风险显著上升，中国驻伊朗使领馆郑 重提醒在伊中国公民密切关注安全形势变化，加强防范意识，切勿拍摄政府机构、军事设施等敏感场 所，留意"禁止拍照"等标识，避免误拍、误入有关区域。有乘飞机旅行计划的 ...

俄乌冲突已满四周年。2月中旬，南都N视频记者在莫斯科、圣彼得堡走访发现，反无人机电子干扰导 致的GPS失灵、机场因空袭临时关闭……有当地居民说，受国际局势影响，近几年的生活发生了许多变 化。 千里之外的基辅，每天基本都会响起防空警报。有乌克兰民众表示，当地无数家庭每日仅获数小时供 电，教室因缺乏供暖被迫停课，医疗服务也受到严重阻碍。当地的中国志愿者告诉南都记者，过去这几 年，他在乌克兰见证了战争的残酷。 战火未熄，外交博弈亦陷入深层困局。2026年以来，俄美乌虽已举行三轮会谈，但分歧依旧。有国际问 题专家向南都记者分析，随着中期选举临近，美国总统特朗普急于实现俄乌和平，以便刷外交政绩、向 选民交代。2026年或将成为停火止战的关键之年。 直击俄罗斯居民生活 2月24日，乌克兰危机升级整4年。俄乌前线炮火未熄，无人机日夜巡弋；外交谈判桌上，各方博弈亦未 停歇。 自俄罗斯对乌克兰发起特别军事行动，西方国家对俄实施全面制裁，大量西方企业退出俄市场。俄经济 遭到严重冲击，各地商品价格普遍上涨。在这样的国际局势背景下，俄罗斯国内现状如何？ 谈及近几年的生活，一名圣彼得堡当地居民告诉南都记者，受国际局势影响，俄罗斯民众前 ...

在全球经济大背景下，美国的贸易政策不断震动着国际关系的棋盘，尤其是日本。特朗普时代的关税政 策如同一根尖锐的刺，让这位东亚盟友感到无比窘迫。 当美国最高法院判定特朗普的关税政策为非法之时，原本该是对日本的一个解脱。然而，事情并没有那 么简单。日本首相高市早苗面临的不是简单的政策撤回，而是一场复杂的外交博弈。虽然关税政策被裁 定无效，意味着日本将在一定程度上摆脱美国的压迫，但在高市的内心深处，却涌动着对美国可能反制 的恐惧。 此时，表面上看，日本似乎得到了喘息的机会，但背后的威胁却依然笼罩在这片土地上。实际上，美国 对日本的影响力并没有消失，它仍然能够利用贸易工具来施加压力，甚至在其他领域进行"报复"。这种 不安的现状让日本必须在美日关系中小心翼翼地行走，务求不犯错误。 这个承诺不仅是为了解决贸易摩擦，更是为了在美国的压力面前寻求一线生机。但这样的妥协又使得日 本的外交政策变得愈发尴尬。高市刚上任时便面临各种内部和外部压力，而她的每一步都仿佛在刀尖上 行走，稍有不慎便可能引发更大的危机。 高市所铸造的右派路线与美国的支持形成了微妙的共鸣。她的执政很大程度上依赖于与美国的亲密关 系，然而，倘若这种亲密关系越过了某 ...

裁决的杀伤力立刻显现出来。 根据美国海关和边境保护局截至去年12月14日的数据，联邦政府通过依据《国际紧急经济权力法》征收的关税金额约为1335 亿美元。 而美国宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿预算模型的经济学家估计，这笔被判定为非法的税款总额可能超过1750亿美元。 这意味着，美国财政部可能面临向进 口商退还这笔巨款的压力。 包括好市多、Abercrombie Fitch和SimpliSafe在内的数百家美国公司已经提起了诉讼，要求获得退税。 特朗普本人在当天晚些时 候的白宫记者会上承认，关于是否退款的问题，"可能要打五年官司"。 2026年2月20日，华盛顿上演了一场令人瞠目结舌的政治"变脸"大戏。 上午，白宫官员向全球媒体确认，美国总统特朗普将于3月31日至4月2日对中国进行 为期三天的国事访问。 短短几个小时后，傍晚时分，特朗普在社交媒体上宣布，他刚刚签署了一项行政命令，将对所有国家输美商品加征10%的进口关 税，几乎立即生效。 就在同一天上午，美国最高法院刚刚以6比3的投票结果，裁定特朗普政府此前依据《国际紧急经济权力法》实施的大规模关税政策违 法。 一天之内，访华邀请与关税大棒齐飞，法律重锤与政策急转同在。 这 ...

这一裁决意味着特朗普自2025年1月上任以来，凭借《国际紧急经济权力法》赋予的特权，一次次绕开国会限制，对全球各国挥舞的"关税大棒"被法律正式 斩断。 根据第三方机构税收基金会的估算，2026年至2034年，借助该法律推出的大部分新增关税，原本可为联邦政府带来1.4万亿美元的预期财政收入，如 今全部化为泡影。 更棘手的是已经征收的巨额税款。 宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿预算模型经济学家估计，特朗普政府基于《国际紧急经济权力法》征收的关税金额已超过1750亿美 元。 这些钱已经被政府花掉，但现在失去了法律依据，理论上需要向进口商退还。 特朗普本人在当天的记者会上承认，关于退款的官司"可能要打五年"。 被裁定违法的关税清单覆盖范围极广。 其中包括以边境安全与打击芬太尼为由加征的关税，针对美国三大贸易伙伴实施的差异化税率：中国所有进口商品 加征10%，墨西哥非《美墨加协定》进口商品加征25%，加拿大非《美墨加协定》进口商品加征35%。 还有覆盖几乎所有贸易伙伴、税率从10%到50%不等 的所谓"对等关税"，以及对印度实施的俄罗斯石油关税。 裁决公布仅数小时后，特朗普就在白宫记者会上展开了紧急反击。 他宣布将签署一项行政令，依 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran, with the U.S. considering further military and economic pressure on Iran, while Iran firmly states that its missile capabilities are not negotiable [1][3]. - The U.S. government is contemplating the seizure of Iranian oil tankers to increase economic pressure on Tehran, with over 20 vessels already sanctioned since 2026 [1]. - Analysts warn that such actions could provoke Iranian retaliation, potentially escalating tensions in the region and impacting global oil prices [1][3]. Group 2 - Iranian officials have made clear statements during the 47th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution, asserting that discussions about Iran's missile capabilities are off the table [5]. - Iran's leadership has criticized the U.S. for combining threats with negotiations, indicating a consistent pattern of behavior [6]. - Iranian President Pezeshkian emphasized that Iran does not seek nuclear weapons and is open to verification, but also highlighted the severe distrust towards the U.S. and Europe as a barrier to successful dialogue [6].

Group 1 - Iran's military warns the U.S. to treat its armed forces rationally or face severe retaliation, emphasizing readiness to defend national sovereignty and security [4] - Iran's Foreign Ministry states that the core demand in upcoming U.S.-Iran contacts is the lifting of sanctions, which have been used by Western countries to pressure Iran and provoke conflict [5] Group 2 - The Hungarian Foreign Minister has filed a lawsuit against the EU's decision to ban imports of Russian energy, arguing that without Russian oil and gas, Hungary cannot ensure energy security [10] - The U.S. and Israeli navies conducted joint exercises in the Red Sea, indicating ongoing military collaboration in the region [2]

Group 1 - Several Western countries are shifting their stance towards China, driven by increasing economic pressures and a perceived decline in the reliability of the United States [1][5] - Canada has reversed its previous hardline stance against China, signing numerous agreements during Prime Minister Trudeau's visit, indicating a significant change in strategy due to economic dependencies [1][5] - France's President Macron has also altered his approach, initially facing domestic political pressure but later welcoming Chinese investments in Europe, highlighting a shift towards pragmatic cooperation with China [3][5] Group 2 - The synchronized actions of these countries suggest a collective response to the aggressive "America First" policies, which have strained relationships even among allies [5][6] - The UK is reconsidering its relationship with China, as evidenced by the approval of a new Chinese embassy and potential visits by UK officials, reflecting a need for economic collaboration post-Brexit [6][8] - The essence of international relations is driven by interests rather than friendships, with countries seeking new partnerships when their current alliances threaten their economic well-being [8]

Core Viewpoint - Tensions between the United States and Iran are at a peak, with Iran preparing for potential military confrontations and asserting its readiness to respond aggressively to any threats [1][2]. Group 1: Iran's Military Readiness - Iran's armed forces have entered a state of full alert, monitoring all hostile movements in the region, and are prepared to retaliate against any form of aggression [1]. - The Iranian leadership, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, is reportedly in a fortified bunker, indicating a high level of concern regarding potential attacks [1]. - Iran's military response is expected to extend from the Strait of Hormuz to all U.S. interests in the region, with capabilities that may exceed enemy expectations [1]. Group 2: U.S.-Iran Relations - Iranian officials have dismissed U.S. threats as psychological warfare, suggesting that the U.S. is reluctant to engage in direct conflict [2]. - The Iranian parliament has firmly rejected any negotiation proposals from the U.S., citing a lack of trust due to past experiences where negotiations were followed by attacks [2]. - The U.S. has been increasing its military presence in the Middle East, including deploying an aircraft carrier and additional missile defense systems, in response to escalating tensions with Iran [2].

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the 200% tariffs imposed by the U.S. on French wine and champagne, which is seen as a political maneuver rather than a mere trade dispute, affecting diplomatic relations and economic stability in Europe [1][3] - The French wine industry, which exports over 4.5 billion euros annually to the U.S., could face losses of up to 800 million euros if tariffs increase by 20%, indicating significant economic repercussions [1][7] - The tariffs are part of a broader strategy by the U.S. to pressure countries that do not align with its political stance, with France being the primary target in this instance [3][7] Group 2 - The impact of the tariffs extends beyond just wine exports, affecting the entire supply chain including grape cultivation, wineries, logistics, packaging, finance, and tourism, which are all interconnected [7] - The differing responses from Germany and France highlight the varying capacities of European nations to withstand economic pressure, with Germany opting for a more cautious approach while France emphasizes diplomatic autonomy [5][7] - The situation raises questions about the long-term implications of using economic measures as political tools, with potential consequences for ordinary citizens, including job security for French vineyard workers and increased costs for American consumers [9]