外汇管理政策

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做好涉外服务“加减乘除”法
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-08-12 02:34
Core Viewpoint - The successful listing of the beverage company Mixue Ice City on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange marks a significant step for private enterprises in Henan to expand their reach, supported by tailored foreign exchange services from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) Henan Branch [1] Group 1: Foreign Exchange Management Policies - SAFE Henan Branch focuses on "two highs and four efforts" to implement proactive foreign exchange management policies, enhancing support for high-quality economic development [1] - By June 2025, the total scale of foreign-related income and expenditure in Henan Province reached $109.697 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.24%, with a surplus of $14.952 billion, expanding by 79.05% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Enhancing Business Convenience - SAFE Henan Branch has established a "green channel" for 410 quality enterprises, allowing for rapid cross-border settlement with automated business approval, achieving efficient service [2] - Since 2025, 34,700 trade foreign exchange facilitation transactions have been processed, totaling $42.7 billion, enabling enterprises to benefit from policy dividends [2] Group 3: Reducing Foreign Trade Risks - The agency addresses foreign trade enterprises' currency risk management challenges through a combination of policy relief and enhanced services [3] - By June 2025, foreign-related enterprises in Henan utilized forward, swap, and option tools to hedge against currency risks amounting to $6.4 billion, with the hedging rate increasing to 22.88%, up by 5% from the previous year [3] Group 4: Activating Innovation - SAFE Henan Branch employs "financial technology + institutional innovation" to stimulate the multiplier effect of foreign-related economic development [4] - By June 2025, over 700 foreign trade enterprises benefited from simplified financing processes through a cross-border financial service platform, with a total of 2,757 transactions amounting to approximately $2.714 billion [4] Group 5: Policy Communication - SAFE Henan Branch focuses on effective policy implementation by creating a "direct policy + service penetration" transmission system [5] - The agency collaborates with the provincial commerce department to issue guidelines promoting high-quality development of foreign-related economies, integrating nearly 20 foreign exchange facilitation policies [6]
张斌:应当设定人民币兑美元的波动区间 重点守住下限
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-24 08:43
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the 20th anniversary of the RMB exchange rate reform, highlighting the shift from a fixed exchange rate to a managed floating exchange rate system based on market supply and demand, referencing a basket of currencies [1][3]. Exchange Rate Reform - The RMB exchange rate reform, known as "7·21," was implemented on July 21, 2005, transitioning from a single peg to the US dollar to a more flexible system [1]. - Since the reform, the People's Bank of China has gradually increased the daily fluctuation range of foreign exchange trading prices and reduced intervention in the exchange rate, enhancing the market's role in the formation of the exchange rate [1]. RMB Exchange Rate Trends - A report by the China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) analyzes the RMB exchange rate's fundamentals, valuation, and potential in the context of current foreign exchange management policies and the internationalization strategy of the RMB [3]. - From 2005 to early 2022, the RMB's real effective exchange rate appreciated nearly 60%, aligning with the faster productivity growth of China's trading partners [3]. - However, since 2022, despite rapid industrial upgrades and increasing export competitiveness, the RMB's real effective exchange rate has depreciated by over 15% [3][6]. Determinants of RMB Exchange Rate - The determinants of the RMB exchange rate include external forces (global financial market risk appetite and the US dollar index), domestic market forces (improvements in economic expectations), and domestic policy influences [4][5]. - The correlation between the RMB exchange rate and the US dollar index is significant but lower than that of developed countries' currencies [4]. Domestic Policy Impact - Since 2017, China's foreign exchange reserves have stabilized, indicating a reduced intervention by monetary authorities in managing the RMB exchange rate [5]. - The alignment of the RMB's central parity and spot exchange rate from 2017 to 2022 suggests a move towards a more flexible floating exchange rate system [5]. Demand Insufficiency - Demand insufficiency is identified as the primary reason for the RMB's continued depreciation since 2022, leading to low price levels and asset valuation [6]. - The low inflation and weak asset price expectations resulting from demand insufficiency reflect a market failure, causing an undervaluation of the RMB's real exchange rate [6]. Recommendations for Exchange Rate Management - To address the current situation, it is suggested to establish a wide fluctuation range for the RMB against the US dollar to prevent excessive distortion of the exchange rate [7]. - The implementation of this intervention should be firm, with strict penalties for actions that breach set limits, ensuring that market participants do not easily challenge the established boundaries [7].