大排量摩托车
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从嘉陵摩托到大排量出口,国产摩托的翻身仗
新财富· 2025-09-17 09:22
Core Viewpoint - The motorcycle industry in China has undergone significant changes, transitioning from a period of rapid growth to facing challenges due to various factors, including government policies and market competition. Recent trends indicate a structural shift towards larger displacement motorcycles and electric vehicles, presenting new opportunities for growth and export [1][9]. Historical Context - The Chinese motorcycle industry began with the establishment of "Jialing," which marked the first domestically developed motorcycle in 1979. The JH70 model became a cultural icon in the 1980s and 1990s, symbolizing freedom and status [4][5]. - In 1995, Jialing achieved a production milestone of over one million units, earning the title of "King of Chinese Motorcycles." This success spurred the rise of other manufacturers in Chongqing, leading to a competitive landscape in the industry [5][7]. - By 2001, Chinese motorcycles had captured nearly 90% of the Vietnamese market, significantly impacting Japanese brands that previously dominated the region. However, aggressive price competition led to a decline in product quality and consumer trust, resulting in a loss of market share [7][8]. Recent Developments - Since 2019, the domestic motorcycle market has stabilized, with a notable increase in demand for motorcycles under 150cc due to favorable government policies and relaxed restrictions in certain cities. However, the growth of passenger cars and electric two-wheelers has marginalized the commuting role of small-displacement motorcycles [15]. - The popularity of large-displacement motorcycles surged during the pandemic, with a 90.5% increase in sales in 2021, indicating a growing market for recreational riding [15][17]. - The penetration rate of large-displacement motorcycles in China is currently around 6%, significantly lower than in the U.S. (95%) and Europe (60-70%), suggesting substantial growth potential [17]. Export Trends - The export of large-displacement motorcycles has become a trend, with exports increasing from 6.51 thousand units in 2019 to 35.90 thousand units in 2024, reflecting a growing share of the international market [19]. - In the first seven months of 2025, China's motorcycle exports reached 10.44 million units, a 31.29% increase year-on-year, with Latin America and Africa showing significant growth in both volume and value [21]. - The motorcycle industry is leveraging its strengths in product quality and cost-effectiveness to compete in international markets, particularly in Latin America and Africa, while also focusing on the growing demand for electric motorcycles [23].
【重磅深度/隆鑫通用】无极品牌加速成长,聚焦主业再度出发
东吴汽车黄细里团队· 2025-06-10 11:11
Company Overview - The company is a leading player in the motorcycle industry, transitioning from an OEM to three major self-owned brands [1][10] - Established in 1993, the company has a history of over 30 years in the motorcycle sector, initially focusing on engine manufacturing and later expanding into complete motorcycle production [10][11] Financial Performance - Revenue has steadily increased from 130.58 billion to 168.22 billion from 2021 to 2024, with a CAGR of 8.8% [20] - The company experienced a profit turning point in 2022, with net profit rising from 3.8 billion to 11.3 billion from 2021 to 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 42.8% [20][24] - The motorcycle business revenue share increased from 55.6% in 2019 to 76.0% in 2024, indicating a shift towards core business growth [27] Strategic Transformation - In 2021, the company initiated a significant strategic transformation, focusing on the "motorcycle + general machinery" core business and divesting from loss-making operations [2][33] - The company completed a successful equity restructuring in December 2024, with the actual controller changing to Zuo Zongshen, enhancing synergies with Zongshen Group's motorcycle business [2][50][54] Brand Development - The company launched the VOGE brand in 2018, marking its entry into the high-displacement motorcycle market, and has since developed a product matrix that includes VOGE, LONCIN, and BICOSE [1][12] - The VOGE brand has undergone three phases: explosive growth (2018-2021), adjustment (2022), and a return to growth (2023-present), with sales increasing from 0.3 million to 18 million units by 2024 [66][68] Market Outlook - The domestic market for high-displacement motorcycles is expected to grow, with a penetration rate of 7% in 2024, indicating significant room for growth compared to Japan [5] - The company plans to launch several new models in 2025, including the DS800 Rally and CU625, which are anticipated to drive further growth for the VOGE brand [5] Product and Sales Strategy - The company has shifted from an industrial product mindset to a consumer product approach, enhancing its ability to create popular products [3] - By the end of 2024, the company aims to have 990 domestic sales outlets and 1,165 overseas sales outlets, expanding its market reach [3] Profitability Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 208.8 billion, 240.2 billion, and 264.2 billion, with corresponding net profits of 18.7 billion, 22.9 billion, and 25.7 billion [6]