Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The supply of natural rubber is increasing, the spot is strong, the domestic inventory starts to increase, and the tire operating rate is at a high level. The market has support below, and short - long trading is recommended [4] Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Daily Hints - The supply of natural rubber is increasing, the spot is strong, the domestic inventory starts to increase, and the tire operating rate is at a high level. The market has support below, and short - long trading is recommended [4] 2. Fundamental Data - **Supply and Demand**: Supply is increasing, and downstream consumption is high. The spot price is resistant to decline, and the domestic anti - involution situation exists. Automobile production and sales are seasonally declining, and tire production is at a record high in the same period, while tire industry exports are falling [4][6][23][29] - **Inventory**: The inventory of the Shanghai Futures Exchange has decreased week - on - week and year - on - year. The inventory in Qingdao area has decreased week - on - week but increased year - on - year. The exchange inventory has increased recently, and the Qingdao area inventory has changed slightly [4][14][17] - **Price**: The spot price of 23 - year full - latex (non - deliverable) increased on August 13th, and the Qingdao Free Trade Zone has US dollar quotes [8][11] 3. Multiple and Short Factors and Main Risk Points - **Likely to Rise**: High downstream consumption, resistant spot price, and domestic anti - involution [6] - **Likely to Fall**: Increasing supply and non - seasonal destocking in Qingdao area [6] 4. Basis - The spot price is 14,800, and the basis is - 1,000, showing a bearish signal. The basis strengthened on August 13th [4][35]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The fundamentals of natural rubber are neutral, with increasing supply, strong foreign spot prices, increasing domestic inventories, and high tire operating rates [4]. - The basis is neutral, with a spot price of 14,100 and a basis of 55 [4]. - Inventory conditions are mixed, with上期所库存周环比 decreasing and同比 decreasing, while Qingdao area inventory is increasing both week - on - week and year - on - year [4]. - The market is dominated by sentiment, and short - term trading is recommended [4]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Daily Prompt - Fundamental data: Supply is increasing, foreign spot is strong, domestic inventory is rising, and tire operating rate is high; basis is 55 with a spot price of 14,100; inventory shows different trends in different regions; the price is above the 20 - day line and the 20 - day line is flat; the main position is net short with an increase in short positions [4]. - Basis: Neutral with a basis value of 55 and a spot price of 14,100 [4]. - Multiple and short factors and main risk points: Bullish factors include high downstream consumption, strong raw material prices, and resistant spot prices; bearish factors are increasing supply and a bearish external environment [6]. 2. Spot Price - The spot price of 2023 full - latex (non - deliverable) increased on June 27 [8]. 3. Inventory - Exchange inventory has changed little recently [14]. - Qingdao area inventory has changed little recently [17]. 4. Import - Import volume has seasonally declined [20]. 5. Downstream Consumption - Automobile production and sales have seasonally declined [23][26]. - Tire production reached a new high in the same period [29]. - Tire industry exports have declined [32]. 6. Basis - The basis turned positive on June 27 [35].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The supply of natural rubber is increasing, foreign spot prices are strong, domestic inventories are rising, and tire operating rates are at a high level. The overall situation is neutral. The basis is negative, the inventory situation is mixed, the market is bearish on the disk and in terms of main positions, and short - term trading is dominated by market sentiment [6] - There are both positive and negative factors in the market. Positive factors include the gradual recovery of the domestic economy, high downstream consumption, and strong raw material prices. Negative factors include increased supply, increased market inventory, and a bearish external environment [8] Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Daily Prompt - The supply of natural rubber is increasing, the foreign spot is strong, the domestic inventory is increasing, and the tire operating rate is at a high level. The overall is neutral. The basis is - 255 with a spot price of 13400, showing a bearish sign. The exchange inventory has little change recently, and the inventory in Qingdao area is increasing [6] 2. Fundamental Data - **Supply and Demand**: Supply is increasing, downstream consumption has high - level performance with seasonal fluctuations (automobile production and sales are seasonally falling, but tire production is at a record high for the same period and tire industry exports are falling) [6][25][31] - **Price**: The spot price of 23 - year full - latex (non - deliverable) fell on June 3. The US dollar quotation in Qingdao Free Trade Zone is also involved [10] - **Inventory**: The exchange inventory has little change recently, while the inventory in Qingdao area is increasing both week - on - week and year - on - year [6][16][19] 3. Multi - empty Factors and Main Risk Points - **Positive Factors**: The domestic economy is gradually recovering, downstream consumption is at a high level, and raw material prices are strong [8] - **Negative Factors**: Supply is increasing, market inventory is increasing, and the external environment is bearish [8] 4. Basis - The basis became a spot discount on June 3 [37]