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长租公寓成“非住”最稳健资产
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-25 02:19
Core Insights - The real estate industry is currently in a destocking cycle, with various segments seeking new models amid a transformation period and increasing market competition [1] - Non-residential asset values are influenced by operational efficiency, with significant differentiation observed across various segments [2] Non-Residential Asset Value Differentiation - Asset value changes are closely related to three factors: maturity of operational models, stability of operational efficiency, and clarity of exit channels [2] - Long-term rental apartments and commercial assets are favored due to mature operational models and stable returns, while office buildings and industrial parks are negatively impacted by economic downturns, leading to high vacancy rates and declining rents [2] Long-Term Rental Apartments Performance - Long-term rental apartments have emerged as one of the most stable segments in the real estate industry, with high occupancy rates [5] - In the past five years, the occupancy rate of concentrated apartments in core cities has remained above 85%, with cities like Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Wuhan, and Nanjing exceeding 93% [5] - REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) related to long-term rental apartments have shown strong performance, with underlying asset occupancy rates exceeding 91% [5][8] Policy and Market Trends - The government is promoting high-quality housing supply and integrating rental housing into the "good housing" system, which may impact the personal rental market [12] - Major cities are adopting various strategies to enhance rental housing quality, such as implementing green building standards and offering incentives for compliant projects [12] - The market is witnessing a dual-track development of market-oriented and guaranteed rental housing, particularly in cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen [15] Investment Landscape - The long-term rental apartment market is increasingly recognized for its stability, attracting diverse investors, including funds and insurance capital, which now account for 50% of the market, up from 40% in 2023 [15] - The market is entering a long cycle of asset value differentiation and revaluation, making it suitable for investors seeking stable long-term returns [15]