【文/观察者网专栏作者 子思】 送走了一个变乱交织的2025年，短短的元旦假期之后，又迎来了一个变乱交织的2026年。 委内瑞拉现任总统马杜罗夫妇被美军跨国掳走并带到纽约，随着这个极具爆炸性的新闻传遍全世界，议 论之声四起，曰"美国的单边霸权滥用"，曰"世界目睹丛林法则回归"，曰"特朗普版门罗主义付诸行 动"，曰"国际法准则再一次遭到严重践踏"......颇具代表性的一个议论是：特朗普政府无异于为世界上任 何一个国家随意入侵它国夺取其资源、更换其政府亮出了绿灯。 这些议论显示出，尽管人们早已从此前美国一系列公开行动中预测到了最后的这个结果，但是毕竟这是 一场决定"谁控制石油"、"谁主导拉美"的地缘政治行动，人们想当然地认为，当今世界一些重要的国际 关系原则理念和约束机制还在发挥作用，例如关于各国主权平等不受侵犯这一国际政治中的核心原则理 念，例如联合国安全理事会对使用武力实行授权这一自二战后一直存在的约束机制。因此，这种赤裸裸 的违法行动本不应该如此这般地轻易实施。 但是，整个形势显然在朝着背离人们理想的方向发展。当今世界，人们只见证到了这样的历史：长期以 来被视为理所当然的原则、理念逐一过时，长期以来或多或 ...

十年间，我大体见证了从"合作的北极"到"破碎的北极"的演变。真正值得人们省思的似乎应当是：合作 是人塑造的，破碎难道不也是吗？如果就让它继续破碎下去，北极会怎样，这个世界又会怎样？（作者 是北京语言大学梧桐青年教授） 从"合作的北极"到"破碎的北极"，北极研究议程悄然生变：无论是常规治理议题还是非传统安全议题， 都和传统安全议题一起被塞进"唯安全"的叙事里，"安全焦虑"主导着北极研究的氛围。 第一，俄罗斯缺席的北极安全国际会议增多。以挪威自2024年起主办的"北极安全会议"为例，此会聚焦 单一议题——安全。有意思的是，其连续两年的会议主题似乎刚好印证了前述的阵营化逻辑。去年的主 题是"连接北美北极与欧洲北极"，即北极七国先划出阵营、确认敌我，这是第一步；今年的主题是"管 理极化与分裂"，即第二步——寻求其内部团结以对抗另一阵营。如果俄乌冲突明年仍在持续，那么该 会议主题是否会进入第三步——讨论双方在军事安全领域的技术性对抗呢？在今年的会议上，已有声音 认为"北极地区已经处于战争状态"。 第二，"斯瓦尔巴地缘政治"成为新热点。2024年3月北约的"北扩"进程完成后，波罗的海几乎成为北约 的"内湖"。北极观察家们 ...

来源：环球时报 "破碎的北极"的生成有一个"转折点"，即2022年2月爆发的俄乌冲突。此次冲突成为在治理上"合作的北 极"与"破碎的北极"之间的分界线：在冷战结束特别是北极理事会成立之后，在其工作组和专家组的努 力下，北极的环境保护和可持续发展作为其核心议程得到了积极贯彻执行。在地区构建的过程中，北极 经济理事会、巴伦支海欧洲-北极圈理事会、波罗的海国家理事会等机制推动跨境合作发展迅速。俄乌 冲突爆发后，北极理事会遭遇成立以来的最大挑战：分裂，以北极理事会为核心支撑的北极国际合作机 制萎缩乏力。尽管全球南方范畴内俄罗斯主导的北极合作朋友圈在扩大，北极七国也依然与俄罗斯保持 着线上或线下的非正式互动，但双方在官方层面的裂痕显而易见。 从"合作的北极"到"破碎的北极"，北极研究议程悄然生变：无论是常规治理议题还是非传统安全议题， 都和传统安全议题一起被塞进"唯安全"的叙事里，"安全焦虑"主导着北极研究的氛围。 第一，俄罗斯缺席的北极安全国际会议增多。以挪威自2024年起主办的"北极安全会议"为例，此会聚焦 单一议题——安全。有意思的是，其连续两年的会议主题似乎刚好印证了前述的阵营化逻辑。去年的主 题是"连接北美北 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese cross-border e-commerce industry is experiencing a shift in dynamics due to new tariff policies implemented by the US, EU, and Japan, prompting platforms and merchants to adjust their strategies and enhance competitiveness [1][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - The European market is emerging as a new opportunity for Chinese cross-border e-commerce, with a focus on products catering to the "silver economy," "lazy economy," environmental travel, safety concerns, and silent travel [2][4]. - Advertising expenditures by Chinese platforms like Temu and Shein in Europe have surged, with EU countries seeing a 12-fold increase in monthly ad spending [4]. Group 2: Tariff Impacts - The US has reduced tariffs on small packages from 120% to 54% for items valued under $800, while maintaining a fixed fee of $100 for packages [4][5]. - The EU has proposed a €2 fixed fee for small packages sent to consumers, affecting 4.6 billion packages, 91% of which originate from China [5][6]. Group 3: Business Model Adjustments - Chinese platforms are adapting by increasing local warehousing in the US and exploring traditional logistics models similar to Amazon [7]. - The "double clearance and tax" model is being adopted by many merchants to manage logistics costs effectively [8]. Group 4: Consumer Reactions - Consumers in Europe express dissatisfaction with potential new taxes, fearing increased prices for goods that have previously been affordable through Chinese platforms [6]. - Despite price increases, some consumers continue to prefer Chinese e-commerce platforms due to their competitive pricing compared to local alternatives [8]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The overall growth of Chinese cross-border e-commerce remains strong, particularly in Southeast Asia, with ongoing improvements in product quality and design [8]. - The industry is focused on enhancing logistics and distribution systems to facilitate a shift from "buying globally" to "selling globally" [8].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the psychological dilemmas faced by the post-80s generation, highlighting their survival and security anxieties rooted in childhood experiences and familial relationships [1][2][3]. Group 1: Psychological Dilemmas - The post-80s generation experiences significant survival and security anxieties, stemming from their childhoods marked by economic struggles and familial pressures [3][4]. - Many in this generation grew up in families that were just beginning to meet basic needs, leading to a deep-seated sense of insecurity and anxiety [4][5]. - The lack of secure attachment figures during childhood has contributed to ongoing psychological issues, as many did not form stable emotional bonds with caregivers [6][7]. Group 2: Cultural Relationships - The post-80s generation is characterized by a strong sense of filial piety, despite having had challenging familial experiences [12]. - There is a cultural shift as their children challenge traditional notions of family loyalty, leading to a growing trend of "cutting ties" with relatives [13][16]. - This generational conflict creates feelings of fear and helplessness among the post-80s, as they worry about being rejected or abandoned by their children [16][24]. Group 3: Parenting Challenges - The post-80s parents often provide materially for their children but struggle with emotional and relational nurturing due to their own upbringing [18][20]. - Many children of the post-80s generation are facing mental health issues, including depression, leading to school dropout and family distress [22][23]. - The inability of post-80s parents to connect emotionally with their children exacerbates the tension in parent-child relationships, resulting in feelings of helplessness [21][24]. Group 4: Pathways to Resolution - To address their psychological dilemmas, the post-80s generation is encouraged to engage in self-reflection and personal growth activities, such as outdoor activities and arts [25]. - Learning from traditional Chinese culture and philosophies can provide insights and coping mechanisms for their emotional struggles [25]. - Building connections with others and helping those in need can foster a sense of community and self-worth, aiding in their psychological healing [25].