Core Insights - The majority of entrepreneurs and bankers view the current macroeconomic performance as stable and normal, holding a neutral to cautious attitude towards the overall economy [1][4] Group 1: Economic Sentiment - The banker macroeconomic heat index for Q2 is 33.2%, showing a decline from the previous quarter, with 61.9% of bankers considering the economy normal and 35.8% viewing it as "cold" [3][4] - The entrepreneur macroeconomic heat index stands at 26%, with 50.8% of entrepreneurs believing the economy is "normal" and 48.6% considering it "cold" [3][4] - The operating prosperity index and profit index for entrepreneurs have increased to 49.3% and 53.2%, respectively, with 32.5% of entrepreneurs reporting increased profits or reduced losses, up from 26% in the previous quarter [3][4] Group 2: Monetary Policy Perception - The banker monetary policy perception index is at 74.6%, an increase of 6.6 percentage points from the previous quarter, with 50% of bankers viewing the policy as "loose" [4] - The expected monetary policy perception index for the next quarter is 75.9%, indicating a positive outlook [4] Group 3: Consumer Behavior - The resident income perception index for Q2 is 45%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points, with 10.2% of residents feeling their income has "increased" [5] - The employment perception index is at 28.5%, down 1.8 percentage points, with 6.4% of residents believing the job market is favorable [5] - In terms of spending intentions for the next three months, tourism has surpassed education as the top choice at 32.1%, followed by education at 31.9% and healthcare at 29.3% [7] Group 4: Investment Preferences - 23.3% of residents prefer "more consumption," while 63.8% prefer "more savings," indicating a shift in consumer sentiment [6] - The top five investment preferences among residents are "bank non-principal guaranteed wealth management," "fund trust products," "stocks," "bonds," and "non-consumption insurance," with respective preferences of 34.8%, 24.7%, 16.3%, 15.3%, and 9.8% [6]

Core Viewpoint - The household deposits in RMB have reached approximately 160 trillion yuan, reflecting a significant increase over the past eight years, despite recent fluctuations in monthly data [1][2][4]. Group 1: Household Deposits - As of April 2025, household deposits in RMB reached 159.08 trillion yuan, with an increase of 7.83 trillion yuan in the first four months of the year [1][2]. - The household deposit scale has increased by nearly 100 trillion yuan from 59.78 trillion yuan in 2016, with the proportion of household deposits in total RMB deposits rising from 39.7% in 2016 to 50.9% in the first quarter of 2025 [2][4]. - In April 2025, household deposits decreased by 1.39 trillion yuan, which is consistent with seasonal fluctuations observed in previous years [2][4]. Group 2: Trends in Savings and Consumption - The trend shows a gradual increase in the proportion of residents preferring to save, with 61.4% indicating a preference for more savings in the latest survey, although this is a slight decrease from the previous quarter [5]. - The inclination towards increased consumption has risen to 24.9%, reflecting a growing willingness to spend, particularly in areas such as education, healthcare, and tourism [5][6]. - The overall consumption growth is expected to improve, supported by policy measures aimed at enhancing consumer spending and adapting to a domestic demand-driven growth model [6]. Group 3: Monetary Policy and Economic Outlook - The central bank plans to implement moderately loose monetary policies to support consumption and stabilize economic growth, focusing on various consumer sectors [6]. - The shift towards a consumption-driven economy is seen as crucial for national economic growth, especially in light of weakening external demand due to global trade tensions [6].