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山海:黄金周内还是多头趋势,不过中期调整也需关注!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 03:06
Group 1: Gold and Silver Market Analysis - The gold and silver markets are currently experiencing fluctuations within their respective bullish trends, with gold not reaching its previous high while silver is approaching the 37.3 high point [2] - The trading range for gold last week was between 3245 and 3365, and it is expected to continue this range unless it breaks out, with potential downward movement to 3120 if it breaks below [4] - For silver, the key points to watch are the breakout of the 37.3 high and the support level at 35.2, indicating a bullish trend but with limited upward momentum [6] Group 2: Domestic Gold and Silver Trading - Domestic gold trading saw a successful bottom-fishing strategy last week, with profits captured, and the outlook remains bullish for this week, focusing on support levels at 772 and 765 for further buying opportunities [5] - In the silver market, the domestic contract (沪银) reached a target of 9000, and the strategy for this week involves either waiting for a pullback to key support levels or holding light short positions [6] Group 3: Oil Market Overview - The international oil market is showing a bullish trend, with support at 64 and a recent high of 67.5, indicating potential for further gains depending on market news [7] - Domestic fuel oil is also maintaining a bullish outlook, with previous positions held at 2850 and potential for upward movement towards 3000 and 3200 [7]
山海:消息面主导黄金涨跌,但趋势还是维持多头不变!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 03:57
Market Overview - The geopolitical situation has shifted dramatically with Trump's announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, leading to a decrease in market risk aversion [2][4] - Gold prices have experienced significant volatility, dropping from a high of 3394 to a low of 3333, reflecting a decline of over $60 [2][4] - The market sentiment around gold is currently mixed, with a focus on the key resistance level at 3405, which if not breached, suggests a range-bound trading environment [4] Gold and Silver Analysis - Gold opened at 3396 but faced a sharp decline due to the latest news, hitting a low of 3333, which is the lowest point since last week [4] - The effective support level for gold is at 3332, with potential further declines to 3280 if this level is breached [4] - Silver has shown resilience, maintaining support at 35.5, and is expected to rebound from this level, with a target of 37 for short positions [5][6] Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold prices initially rose, with Shanghai gold reaching a high of 792, but subsequently fell back to the starting point due to market news [5] - The outlook for domestic gold remains bullish with a target of 800 for Shanghai gold and 795 for Rongtong gold, contingent on market performance this week [5] - Domestic silver has shown limited movement, with a focus on maintaining positions above 35.5 for potential rebounds [6] Oil Market Dynamics - International crude oil prices have dropped significantly to around 66 after peaking near 78, influenced by market news and risk sentiment [6] - The outlook for crude oil remains bullish, with expectations of a rebound towards 70, while domestic fuel oil is also expected to trend upwards after recent adjustments [6]