虽然上个交易日黄金走出了暴跌空间，全盘上下接近有115美金，但是山海还是要强调的是，黄金的多头趋势不变，未来市场还是要看主力上涨。在趋势 中，一切下跌都只算是调整空间。不过，尊重市场，既然黄金走出了大跌，那么，今天黄金就不会像周一，周二，周三那样强势，所以，今天黄金走势 有两种可能，要么是多头趋势的高位震荡，要么是单边多头上涨趋势。那么，今天交易还是尽量做低多看涨。从技术面来看，日线大阴回落，跌破5日均 线，但没有破位10日均线，所以，不存在说强弱转换，下方跌破3900才可能考虑多空趋势变化。H4周期短期布林收口，可能会在高位震荡一段时间，实 际上下关注的区间在3920/4060，所以，即使今天再低一波也算是正常的表现，但午夜在低位3945快速反弹，那么，今天再走低的可能性不大，大概率会 在3945之上继续看涨，还是保持看涨不猜顶原则，如果继续走出趋势力度，今天还是可以看涨到前高4060高点。小周期来看，小周期下方支撑在3970附 近，今天亚欧盘可在此点位做多看涨，如果是震荡大概率看到4000之上，如果是单边即可逐步看4030，4060。 国内黄金一直提示看涨不追涨，在高位追多的风险也很大，特别是周四大概率会 ...

山海：黄金在4000之上还是不言顶，继续做有效多单！ 黄金站稳在4000关口后，继续上涨最高在4059附近，现在的黄金没有什么技术面可言了，市场作用之下，上方不猜顶，无法知道下一 波高点在哪里，可能是4200，可能是4500，这种走势需要边做边看。白银上涨至49.5附近，同样在市场作用之下，上方不猜顶，下一 波可能到50历史高点，相对来讲，白银的上涨还没有刷洗高点，但也有很大的遐想空间，建议也是边做边看上方空间。 现在的黄金不用讨论方向和趋势，只需要讨论每日在上面点位跟上趋势，甚至在看涨的时候，你都不知道高点在哪里。经过周三的上 涨，黄金最高在4059附近，在亚欧盘连续上涨中，出现高点，美盘虽然也有上涨的空间，但主力在午夜回落了一波，最低在4000附 近，比较符合看涨不追涨，回落到关键点位做多的策略。昨天提示过，这波黄金看涨需要在4030或者4000附近支撑做多，如果美盘行 情提前走出来，就给了我们在4000做多的机会。那么，今天的行情看法就稍微简单一些了，保持多头看涨交易不变，以4000为防做 多，上方先看前高4060得失，如果不破4060就以短线获利了结，如果破位4060，上方可能会去4100甚至更高。另 ...

Group 1 - The market is currently in a Federal Reserve interest rate cut environment, which is the primary factor driving gold prices up, leading to a significant surge on Monday, reaching around 3490 [2] - Following the strong performance on Monday, gold is expected to maintain its upward trend on Tuesday, with a cautious approach to avoid chasing highs [3] - The technical analysis indicates that gold remains in a strong bullish trend, with key resistance at 3502 and support at 3465, suggesting a wait for adjustments before entering long positions [4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have surged in line with international market trends, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a high of 812, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [4] - International silver prices have also shown strength, currently around 40.8, with a key support level at 40, suggesting potential for further upside [4] - The Shanghai silver contract has reached a new high of 9940, with a clear bullish trend, but caution is advised against entering short positions until a peak is confirmed [5] Group 3 - International crude oil prices are expected to continue rising, with support at 62.5 and a target of 68 to 70 if the price breaks above 65 [5] - Domestic fuel oil has also seen an increase, currently at 2860, with expectations of reaching 3000 if the upward trend continues [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the strong performance of gold and silver, highlighting the importance of upcoming non-farm payroll data and its potential impact on market trends [3][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold is expected to maintain its strong momentum this week, with a focus on the influence of non-farm payroll data [4]. - Last week, gold experienced a significant increase, reaching a near high of 3452, with potential upward targets of 3468 and 3500 [4]. - Key support levels for gold this week are identified at 3420 and 3400, with a break below these levels indicating a possible shift in market strength [4][5]. Silver Market Analysis - International silver has reached a new high this week, maintaining a bullish trend after breaking the 39.5 level, currently trading around 40 [5]. - The strategy for silver this week is to remain bullish without chasing prices, with a support level at 39.5 [5][6]. Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil has been trading within a range, currently around 63.8, with a defined trading range of 65 to 62.5 [6]. - The strategy for oil this week is to trade within this range, with a focus on potential breakout opportunities [6]. Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold and silver markets have shown strong performance, with specific price targets set for contracts, such as 795 for domestic gold and 9630 for domestic silver [5][6]. - The overall sentiment in the domestic market remains bullish, with a cautious approach to entering new positions [5].

Core Viewpoint - The gold market remains in a strong bullish trend, but caution is advised as a mid-term adjustment is anticipated soon, despite recent highs being reached [1][3][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has recently surpassed the predicted high of 3410, reaching up to 3423, but is expected to face downward pressure soon, with support levels identified at 3400, 3380, and a potential drop to 3355 [1][3][4]. - The market is currently observing a strong bullish trend, but a shift in momentum is expected, suggesting that traders should avoid chasing prices at high levels and consider short positions instead [3][4]. - Technical indicators show a divergence near the upper Bollinger band, indicating a potential for a downward adjustment if certain support levels are breached [4]. Silver Market Analysis - The domestic silver market is experiencing a high-level consolidation, with the Shanghai silver contract maintaining strength above 9400, but a potential short position is suggested if it approaches this level [6]. - International silver has shown a mixed performance, with a recent low around 38 and a resistance level at 39, indicating a range-bound trading strategy is advisable until a breakout occurs [5]. Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market is currently in a low-level consolidation phase, with support seen at 62.5, and a short-term bullish outlook is maintained as long as this support holds [6]. - Domestic fuel oil has shown limited volatility, currently around 2800, and is expected to remain in a consolidation phase unless market conditions change significantly [6].

Group 1 - Gold remains in a strong bullish trend, but attention is needed for potential strength conversion on Thursday, with support levels at 3375 and 3350 [4][5] - The trading range for gold on Wednesday was between 3393 and 3373, with a peak at around 3400 during the US session, aligning with expectations [2][4] - The technical analysis indicates that the daily cycle is nearing its peak, and if the daily candle closes bearish, a strong weakness conversion is likely, potentially leading to a drop to 3350 [5][6] Group 2 - Silver experienced a decline but maintained a bullish trend, with a trading range between 39 and 38; a drop below 38 could lead to further declines [6] - The domestic gold market remains strong, with the Shanghai gold contract holding around 785 and the Rongtong gold contract around 778, indicating potential for further gains if they stay above 780 and 772 respectively [5][6] - The international crude oil market showed an upward trend, with a support level at 62.5 and a peak at 64.2, suggesting continued bullish momentum [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - Gold is entering a strong phase of transition, with a focus on potential strength and weakness shifts in the market [1] Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold continues to maintain a slow bullish trend, showing a fluctuating performance in the Asian and European sessions, and rising to around 3393 during the US session, indicating a clear bullish trend [3][5] - The key levels to watch are 3400 on the upside and 3365 on the downside, with a potential for deep adjustments if 3365 is breached [5][6] - The current market is characterized by strong fluctuations, and while the trend is bullish, caution is advised against overly aggressive bullish positions [5][6] Group 2: Silver Market Analysis - Silver has shown limited volatility, oscillating around 38.5, with a potential for deeper adjustments in the coming days [3][5] - The recommendation is to maintain a cautious approach, considering short positions below 39 and monitoring the support level at 38 [7] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil has experienced significant declines from recent highs, indicating a potential shift into a consolidation phase [8] - The focus is on the support level at 62.5; if this level holds, further bullish opportunities may arise, but a breach could lead to further declines [8]

Group 1 - The overall trend for gold remains bullish, with key support at 3355; if this level holds, there is potential for further upside towards 3390 and 3410 [4][5] - The market is currently reacting to expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, which is likely to drive gold prices higher due to increased safe-haven demand [4][5] - Technical analysis indicates that gold has broken out to the upside following a speech by Powell, with a target of 3410 based on Bollinger Bands [4][5] Group 2 - Silver has shown stronger momentum compared to gold, with a target of 39.5 for the upcoming week; however, a drop below 38.5 could lead to a consolidation phase [6] - The domestic silver market (沪银) is also in a bullish trend, with potential upside to 9550, but caution is advised against chasing prices without waiting for a pullback [6] - International crude oil has seen a rise to around 64, with a support level at 61.2; the outlook remains bullish as long as this support holds [6][7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold maintains a bullish trend, with potential upward movement, particularly focusing on the resistance level at 3360 [4][5][6] - After a significant drop on Tuesday, gold rebounded on Wednesday, reaching a high of 3352, indicating a reversal and confirming the bullish trend [4][5] - Silver is following gold's trend, rebounding from 36.9 to a current high of 38, with expectations of further increases towards 38.5 [2][6] Group 2 - The analysis suggests that the low point for gold this week is likely around 3310, with expectations that it will not break this level in the coming days [4][5] - Technical indicators show a strong bullish sentiment, with daily candlestick patterns indicating a continuation of the upward trend [5][6] - The domestic gold market is also expected to follow a bullish trend, with projections for the Shanghai gold contract to reach around 785 [6][7] Group 3 - For international crude oil, the focus is on a key support level at 61.2, with expectations of a rebound if this level holds [7] - The current price of crude oil is around 63.2, with a resistance level at 63.5, which, if broken, could lead to further increases towards 66 [7] - Domestic fuel oil remains weak but is expected to stabilize and potentially rise to 3000 if a rebound occurs [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that gold is expected to maintain a low-level oscillation rebound, with a focus on short-term trading strategies until a clear breakout occurs [4][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold experienced a wide range of fluctuations, opening lower and then rising, with a minimum of 3323 and a maximum of 3358, before settling around 3326 [3]. - The current trend is identified as a bullish one, but the strength of the upward movement is under pressure due to a stronger dollar [4]. - The key resistance level for gold is set at 3360; if this level is broken, further upward movement is anticipated [4][5]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver showed limited upward momentum, peaking at 38.2 before retreating, with a focus on maintaining a bullish trend above the support level of 37.5 [5][6]. - The target for silver is set at 38.5 and potentially 39 if upward momentum is strong enough [5]. Domestic Gold and Silver Contracts - The domestic gold contract (沪金) is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with targets of 785 and 790 depending on market strength [5]. - The domestic silver contract (沪银) is also projected to remain bullish as long as it stays above the support level of 9200, with potential targets of 9400 and 9550 [6]. Crude Oil Market Analysis - Crude oil rebounded from a support level of 62, with a current price around 63.2, indicating a low-level oscillation [6]. - The focus is on whether the 62 support level holds; if it breaks, further declines may occur, potentially reaching 58 [6]. Fuel Oil Market Analysis - Domestic fuel oil is currently weak but is expected to hold above 2800, with potential for upward movement if a rebound occurs [7].