国内燃油(2512合约)

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山海:黄金进入强势的尾声,开始注意强弱转换的可能性!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 13:11
山海:黄金进入强势的尾声,开始注意强弱转换的可能性! 黄金继续保持多头趋势的慢牛走势,周二在亚欧盘表现出震荡的走势,美盘则走高至3393附近,算是刷新了高点,相对来讲,多头走势明显,力度也逐步 的走了出来。前面山海讲过黄金这波看到3390,3410,那么,周三,周四就关注这个周期是发能到3410高点。白银相对来讲波动不大,维持在38.5附近震 荡,这两个交易日要注意的是,白银有可能会在周三,周四出现深度调整,看是否能出现有效的下跌力度。 先下结论,黄金慢牛,不过分看涨,注意强弱的转换,上方关注3400,下方关注3365得失。这个周期经过两个交易日的慢涨,现在走高至3393附近,当前 行情属于多头趋势的强势震荡上行状态,虽然是看涨,但回落不到关键点也不好给多,所以,这两天山海一直强调在关键点位可以做高空低多。周二亚欧 盘多次不破3380,回落至3367,美盘冲高至3393后,再次回落到3385,可以很明确的看出,黄金暂时是绝对强势,但不是单边走势,需要分阶段看待变 化。也就是说,周三的行情也是一样的看待,如果是震荡,3393暂时是高点,震荡回落关注低点3365得失,3365破位那么会深度调整,3365不破,那么 ...
山海:黄金不必纠结方向,继续看低位震荡反弹!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 02:01
Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that gold is expected to maintain a low-level oscillation rebound, with a focus on short-term trading strategies until a clear breakout occurs [4][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold experienced a wide range of fluctuations, opening lower and then rising, with a minimum of 3323 and a maximum of 3358, before settling around 3326 [3]. - The current trend is identified as a bullish one, but the strength of the upward movement is under pressure due to a stronger dollar [4]. - The key resistance level for gold is set at 3360; if this level is broken, further upward movement is anticipated [4][5]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver showed limited upward momentum, peaking at 38.2 before retreating, with a focus on maintaining a bullish trend above the support level of 37.5 [5][6]. - The target for silver is set at 38.5 and potentially 39 if upward momentum is strong enough [5]. Domestic Gold and Silver Contracts - The domestic gold contract (沪金) is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with targets of 785 and 790 depending on market strength [5]. - The domestic silver contract (沪银) is also projected to remain bullish as long as it stays above the support level of 9200, with potential targets of 9400 and 9550 [6]. Crude Oil Market Analysis - Crude oil rebounded from a support level of 62, with a current price around 63.2, indicating a low-level oscillation [6]. - The focus is on whether the 62 support level holds; if it breaks, further declines may occur, potentially reaching 58 [6]. Fuel Oil Market Analysis - Domestic fuel oil is currently weak but is expected to hold above 2800, with potential for upward movement if a rebound occurs [7].
山海:金银完成预期下跌,当前等待CPI数据冲击!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 03:13
Core Viewpoint - The market is currently focused on the impact of the upcoming CPI data on gold and silver prices, with expectations of potential volatility based on the data's outcome [5][6][7]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold opened at 3395 and dropped to a low of 3342, completing the anticipated adjustment range after a previous rise from 3268 to 3410 [5][6]. - The key levels to watch are 3370 for resistance and 3320 for support, with potential movements depending on whether the CPI data is favorable or unfavorable [5][6]. - The overall trend remains bullish, with expectations that if the CPI data is positive, gold could rise to 3390, while negative data could push it down to 3320 [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver has shown a rebound after reaching a low of 37.5, which is seen as a support level, and further movements will depend on the CPI data [7]. - The resistance levels for silver are at 38.5 and 39.5, while a break below 37.5 could lead to a decline towards 36 [7]. Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil showed a slight rebound, reaching a high of 64.4, indicating a low-level consolidation phase [8]. - The support level for oil is at 63.5, and a sustained move above 66 is necessary to confirm a bullish trend towards 70 [8]. - Domestic fuel oil is recommended to maintain a bullish stance, with a target of 3000, while holding positions above 2800 [8].
山海:美元极强打压黄金,市场等待非农数据的冲击!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 03:08
Core Viewpoint - The strong performance of the US dollar is suppressing gold prices, with the market awaiting the impact of non-farm payroll data [1][3][4] Group 1: Market Data and Trends - Recent data including ADP, unemployment claims, and PCE have been favorable for the dollar and unfavorable for gold, contributing to the dollar's significant rise this year, nearing the 100 mark [3][4] - Gold and silver have been under pressure, failing to establish a strong upward trend despite attempts at rebounds [3][4] - The upcoming non-farm payroll data is expected to influence the relationship between the dollar and gold, with a focus on whether a negative correlation will emerge [3][5] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Gold is currently in a weak consolidation phase, with key resistance levels at 3315 and 3345, and support levels at 3280 and 3260 [4][5] - The market anticipates a range-bound movement for gold before the non-farm data release, with a trading range set between 3280 and 3315 [5] - The previous non-farm payroll figure was 147,000, with a forecast of 110,000, suggesting that if actual data aligns closely with predictions, the impact on gold may be limited [5] Group 3: Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold prices have shown a continuation of weak trends, with recent fluctuations failing to establish a clear upward trajectory [5] - The Shanghai gold contract is currently trading around 772, with a medium-term bullish outlook targeting 790 [5] - The silver market is also under pressure, with a critical support level at 36, and potential for a rebound if this level holds [6] Group 4: Oil Market Overview - International crude oil has successfully risen to 70, with previous long positions yielding significant profits [6] - The overall bullish trend in oil remains intact, with potential upward targets set at 72 or higher [6] - Domestic fuel oil has shown an upward trend, with a focus on maintaining positions above 3000 [7]
山海:美元指数较强,黄金的多头需要耐心等待!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 02:05
Group 1 - The current trend for gold is weak, but the long-term outlook remains bullish, with a focus on the 3330 resistance level for potential upward movement [1][2][3] - The recent decline in gold prices broke the support level at 3320, with a low of 3301, indicating a loss of confidence among bulls [2][3] - The domestic gold market continues to show weakness, with the Shanghai gold contract (2512) hitting a low of 770, but the long-term outlook remains bullish with targets of 790 for Shanghai gold and 785 for Rongtong gold [3] Group 2 - International silver experienced slight declines, with a low of 37.9, but the overall view remains bullish with a defensive level set at 37.5 [4] - The Shanghai silver contract (2512) was advised to go long at 9180, with a target of 9500, indicating a cautious but optimistic approach to the silver market [4] - International crude oil has successfully risen to 67, with previous long positions at 65 yielding profits, and the focus is on the 68 resistance level for potential further gains [4][5] Group 3 - Domestic fuel oil (2512) has shown good profits, reaching above 2930, and the focus is on the continuation of this upward trend, with potential targets around 3200 [5]
山海:本周数据众多,耐心等待黄金的多头延续!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 02:45
Group 1 - The overall trend for gold remains bullish despite recent fluctuations, with key resistance levels at 3355 and potential targets at 3380, 3400, and 3430 [2][3] - The market is expected to react to upcoming non-farm data, with a focus on the continuation of bullish or bearish trends following the data release [3] - Technical analysis indicates that gold has not shown significant downward momentum, with support around 3285 and resistance at 3400, suggesting a range-bound movement before data impacts [3][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading strategies have been adjusted, with previous positions taken at high points and new entries suggested around 776 for Shanghai gold and 770 for Rongtong gold, maintaining a bullish outlook [4] - International silver is expected to maintain its bullish trend as long as it does not break below 37.5, with trading opportunities around the 38 level [4] - Shanghai silver is also projected to follow a bullish trend, with key levels to watch at 9400 and 9550, indicating a preference for long positions [5] Group 3 - International crude oil has shown limited volatility, with support at 65 and potential upward movement if this level holds, targeting 68 as a breakout point [5] - Domestic fuel oil is in a similar state of low volatility, with a focus on maintaining long positions around 2850, anticipating a rise to 3000 and eventually 3200 [5]
山海:黄金准确无误在3350走高,尾盘看上涨空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 02:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is expected to rise to 3400, following a bullish trend after a recent adjustment to 3350 [2][4] - The analysis suggests that after the recent dip to 3350, gold has shown signs of recovery, reaching a high of 3378, with further upward potential anticipated [4][5] - The strategy for trading gold involves holding long positions established at 3350, with targets set at 3382, 3395, and potentially 3410 if momentum allows [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) is projected to have upward movement, with short-term targets of 785 for Shanghai Gold and 780 for Rontong Gold, following a recent low of 776 [5] - International silver is experiencing high-level fluctuations, with a recent test at 39.5 and a support level at 38.5, indicating a potential for upward movement if the support holds [5][6] - The analysis of domestic silver (Shanghai Silver) suggests a bullish trend with a focus on maintaining positions within a high-level fluctuation range, monitoring key levels at 9300 and 9550 [6] Group 3 - International crude oil is expected to maintain a bullish outlook with a support level at 65, aiming for a target of 68 if the upward momentum continues [6] - Domestic fuel oil is also on an upward trajectory, with expectations of reaching 3000 before potentially hitting 3200, encouraging traders to hold long positions [6]
山海:全网公开可见,黄金先涨后跌走出完美预期!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-24 02:27
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in gold and silver prices, highlighting a predicted pattern of initial increases followed by declines, which has been validated by market movements [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - The gold price was forecasted to rise from 3310 to a peak of 3430, followed by a drop starting from 3440 down to a low of 3380, resulting in a total decline of 60 USD [3][5]. - The expectation for the upcoming days is a continuation of the downward adjustment, with a target around 3350, as technical indicators suggest potential further declines [5][6]. - The analysis indicates that the gold market is currently in a weak state, with a focus on the support levels around 3375 and 3350 [6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market was anticipated to face resistance around 39.5, with a subsequent adjustment observed as prices peaked at this level before declining [7]. - The current support levels for silver are identified at 38.5 and 37.5, with a potential for further declines if the 38.5 level is breached [7]. - The domestic silver market (沪银) has shown a recent peak at 9540, with a recommendation to short at 9520, leading to a current price around 9400 [7]. Oil Market Analysis - The article notes a support level for international crude oil at 65, with expectations for upward movement towards 68, contingent on maintaining above this support [8]. - Domestic fuel oil has been fluctuating within a range of 2830 to 2920, with a suggestion for traders to either hold onto profitable positions or take short-term profits [8].
山海:黄金达到3400预期,注意或有阶段性调整空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 03:41
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold and silver prices has reached critical resistance levels, with gold hitting 3400 and silver approaching 39, indicating a strong bullish trend but caution is advised for potential adjustments ahead [2][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has reached a key point at 3400, with a previous bullish signal starting from 3310, resulting in an increase of nearly 90 USD [4]. - The market may experience a pullback, with support levels identified at 3390 and 3375, suggesting a potential adjustment range of at least 25 USD [4]. - The analysis indicates that if the price breaks below 3375, it could lead to further declines towards 3350 [4]. Silver Market Analysis - Domestic silver prices have also reached significant highs, with the Shanghai gold contract nearing 790 and the Rongtong gold contract at approximately 780, aligning with previous bullish forecasts [5]. - International silver is at a critical point near 39, and if this level is not maintained, it may lead to a significant technical adjustment, with key support at 37.5 [5][6]. Platinum and Oil Market Insights - Platinum has shown a consistent bullish trend since 273, currently around 332, with expectations of reaching 350 and potentially 500 [5]. - The international oil market is currently trading around 65.5, with support at 65 and resistance at 68, indicating a cautious approach to trading until these levels are confirmed [6]. Domestic Fuel Market - The domestic fuel market has been fluctuating between 2830 and 2920, with the current trend showing difficulty in sustaining upward momentum, suggesting a cautious trading strategy [6].
山海:黄金震荡的走势符合预期,周尾盘会以走高结束!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-18 01:56
Group 1 - The overall market trend for gold is bullish, with expectations of high-level fluctuations this week, indicating a lack of strong continuation in either direction [2][4] - Gold is expected to see a rise to around 3360/3365, with support levels at 3330 and 3320, providing opportunities for long positions as long as these levels hold [4][5] - Silver maintains a bullish trend as long as it does not break the support level of 37.3, with potential upward movement towards 38.6 [5][6] Group 2 - International crude oil is projected to remain bullish around the 66 mark, with current prices near 67.7, and potential targets of 69.2 and 72 depending on market movements [6] - Domestic fuel oil is experiencing low-level fluctuations, with a recent drop below 2950, but opportunities for long positions may arise if prices fall below 2850 [6]