国内燃油(2512合约)
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山海:黄金接近疯狂,下一波上涨目标只有4500!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 02:27
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the gold market is experiencing a significant upward trend, with prices reaching as high as 4380, surpassing previous expectations of 4300 [4][5] - Following the breakout above 4000, the potential for gold prices to reach 4200 and 4500 is emphasized, with the current focus on whether the upward momentum can continue towards 4500 [4][5] - The silver market is also showing a bullish trend, with expectations for prices to reach 55, having already approached 54.5 [6] Group 2 - The article highlights the importance of maintaining a cautious trading strategy, suggesting to wait for pullbacks to key support levels before entering long positions [5][6] - In the domestic market, gold prices have surged to around 1000, with a recommendation to remain on the sidelines and avoid chasing prices due to potential selling pressure [5] - The outlook for crude oil is bearish, with prices retreating to around 57, and a suggestion to maintain a neutral position until clearer trends emerge [6][7]
山海:该如何对待黄金突破4200美金高价位!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-16 02:13
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent surge in gold prices, highlighting a breakthrough above the $4200 mark, with expectations for further increases towards $4500. It emphasizes a bullish trend in both gold and silver markets, while also addressing trading strategies in the current market conditions [1][3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices have recently shown a significant upward trend, surpassing the $4200 level and reaching a high of approximately $4225. The article suggests that this increase is somewhat irrational but presents opportunities for bullish trading [3][5]. - The article indicates that the next target for gold is $4500, following the recent breakout above $4200. It advises traders to adopt a phased approach to buying [3][6]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver is also in a bullish trend, with a critical resistance level at $53.5. If this level is broken, the price could rise to $55. If it does not break this level, a consolidation phase may occur, with support around $52 [7]. - The article notes that the recent trading in silver has been profitable, with a previous position yielding significant returns. However, caution is advised at current high levels [7]. Trading Strategies - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining a calm mindset in trading, despite the clear bullish trend. It suggests that traders should be cautious about chasing prices and instead look for opportunities to buy on pullbacks [5][6]. - Specific support levels are highlighted, such as $4180 for gold, where traders are advised to consider buying on dips. The article also mentions the importance of not attempting to predict market tops [6][7]. Oil Market Overview - The oil market is described as experiencing low volatility, with recent prices around $58.7. The article notes that while there has been a downward trend, there is potential for a rebound if certain support levels hold [8]. - Traders are advised to monitor the $57.5 support level closely, as breaking this could necessitate a shift in trading strategy [8]. Domestic Fuel Market - The domestic fuel market has shown some recovery after a dip to $2662, with current prices around $2720. The article suggests holding onto long positions until a more definitive upward trend is established [8].
山海:黄金成为资本的宠儿,遇百年之大涨!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 03:17
Core Viewpoint - Gold has emerged as a focal point in the capital markets this year, experiencing significant price increases and becoming a favored investment option due to various influencing factors [2][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Since the beginning of the year, gold prices have surged by nearly $1600, marking an unprecedented increase in history [4]. - The market sentiment suggests a bullish outlook on gold, with the belief that there are no upper limits to its price, only higher levels [4]. - Recent trends indicate that gold prices tend to rise significantly on Mondays, with a notable increase from $4025 to a peak of $4115, reflecting a $90 surge without any significant pullback [5]. Domestic Gold Trends - The domestic gold market, including contracts like Shanghai Gold (2512 contract), has also shown a strong upward trend, with prices reaching around 948 [6]. - Key support levels for domestic gold are identified at 925, and traders are advised to wait for pullbacks before considering new long positions [6]. Silver Market Insights - International silver prices are also on the rise, currently near $53, with a recommendation to wait for pullbacks before entering long positions [6]. - The Shanghai Silver (2512 contract) has reached around 12000, suggesting a cautious approach with a recommendation to observe rather than chase further increases [7]. Oil Market Overview - The oil market has shown limited volatility, with current prices around $59.8, and a continued bearish trend is anticipated [7]. - Traders are advised to look for confirmation of support at $58.5 before considering long positions, with potential upward targets set at $63 and $66 [7].
山海:市场多重因素影响,金银看涨极强状态不变!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 02:29
Core Viewpoint - The market remains volatile, influenced by geopolitical situations and trade tariffs, with gold and silver experiencing significant price increases recently. The bullish trend for gold is expected to continue, but attention should be paid to the price fluctuations and market dynamics [2][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has maintained a bullish trend, with a peak price of 4060 recently. The market experienced a three-day upward trend followed by a correction, but a strong close on Friday suggests potential for further gains early in the week [4][5]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at 3945 and 3900, with a strong bullish outlook as long as prices remain above these levels. A break above 4060 could lead to targets of 4100 and 4500 [5][6]. - Caution is advised against chasing high prices; instead, traders should look for opportunities to buy on dips, particularly around the support level of 4010 [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market has shown a strong bullish trend, with prices reaching a historical high of 51.5. The key support levels for silver are at 48.5 and 47.5, and as long as these levels hold, the outlook remains bullish [6][7]. - Traders are encouraged to wait for price corrections to enter long positions, particularly around the support level of 49.5 [6]. Domestic Fuel Market - The domestic fuel market has shown a bullish trend, with previous recommendations to buy at 2750 leading to significant gains. Current strategies suggest continuing to buy at 2750 with a target of 3000 [8].
山海:黄金只是出现调整而已,并没有改变大趋势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 02:56
Group 1 - The recent trading session saw a significant drop in gold prices, with a decline of $115, reaching a low of 3945, influenced by easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [2][4] - Despite the recent volatility, the long-term bullish trend for gold remains intact, with expectations for future upward movement [4][5] - The trading strategy suggests maintaining a bullish outlook, particularly around support levels of 902 for domestic gold and 896 for futures contracts [5][6] Group 2 - International silver experienced extreme fluctuations, with a high of 51.5 and a low of 48.5, but the overall trend remains bullish, with support at 49.5 [6] - The outlook for crude oil indicates a potential short-term consolidation phase, with a current price around 61.5, while maintaining a long-term bearish view [6][7] - Domestic fuel oil is in a quiet period with limited price movement, suggesting a wait-and-see approach unless it reaches key support levels [7]
山海:黄金在4000之上还是不言顶,继续做有效多单!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 01:46
Group 1 - Gold has stabilized above the 4000 mark and has continued to rise, reaching a high of around 4059, with no clear technical indicators available for predicting the next peak, which could be 4200 or 4500 [2][4] - The strategy for trading gold is to maintain a bullish outlook, buying on dips around key support levels such as 4000, while monitoring the previous high of 4060 for potential breakout opportunities [4][5] - Silver has also seen an increase, reaching approximately 49.5, with the next potential target being the historical high of 50, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the silver market as well [2][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) opened at around 909, with a bullish outlook maintained, emphasizing buying on dips around 902 and 896, while avoiding chasing high prices [5][6] - The international oil market has experienced a rise, peaking at around 63, but has shown signs of a pullback, currently trading around 62, indicating a lack of a strong upward trend, yet the foundation for a potential rise remains [6] - Domestic fuel oil maintains a bullish stance, with a trading range established between 2750 and 3015, suggesting a cautious approach with potential buying opportunities around 2800 [6]
山海:美元有筑底的表现,黄金看涨但谨慎追高!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 05:06
Group 1 - The market is currently in a Federal Reserve interest rate cut environment, which is the primary factor driving gold prices up, leading to a significant surge on Monday, reaching around 3490 [2] - Following the strong performance on Monday, gold is expected to maintain its upward trend on Tuesday, with a cautious approach to avoid chasing highs [3] - The technical analysis indicates that gold remains in a strong bullish trend, with key resistance at 3502 and support at 3465, suggesting a wait for adjustments before entering long positions [4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have surged in line with international market trends, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a high of 812, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [4] - International silver prices have also shown strength, currently around 40.8, with a key support level at 40, suggesting potential for further upside [4] - The Shanghai silver contract has reached a new high of 9940, with a clear bullish trend, but caution is advised against entering short positions until a peak is confirmed [5] Group 3 - International crude oil prices are expected to continue rising, with support at 62.5 and a target of 68 to 70 if the price breaks above 65 [5] - Domestic fuel oil has also seen an increase, currently at 2860, with expectations of reaching 3000 if the upward trend continues [5]
山海:金银在绝对强势中,关注非农数据周变化!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 03:15
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the strong performance of gold and silver, highlighting the importance of upcoming non-farm payroll data and its potential impact on market trends [3][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold is expected to maintain its strong momentum this week, with a focus on the influence of non-farm payroll data [4]. - Last week, gold experienced a significant increase, reaching a near high of 3452, with potential upward targets of 3468 and 3500 [4]. - Key support levels for gold this week are identified at 3420 and 3400, with a break below these levels indicating a possible shift in market strength [4][5]. Silver Market Analysis - International silver has reached a new high this week, maintaining a bullish trend after breaking the 39.5 level, currently trading around 40 [5]. - The strategy for silver this week is to remain bullish without chasing prices, with a support level at 39.5 [5][6]. Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil has been trading within a range, currently around 63.8, with a defined trading range of 65 to 62.5 [6]. - The strategy for oil this week is to trade within this range, with a focus on potential breakout opportunities [6]. Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold and silver markets have shown strong performance, with specific price targets set for contracts, such as 795 for domestic gold and 9630 for domestic silver [5][6]. - The overall sentiment in the domestic market remains bullish, with a cautious approach to entering new positions [5].
山海:黄金坚持在上涨趋势中看调整空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 01:48
Core Viewpoint - The gold market remains in a strong bullish trend, but caution is advised as a mid-term adjustment is anticipated soon, despite recent highs being reached [1][3][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has recently surpassed the predicted high of 3410, reaching up to 3423, but is expected to face downward pressure soon, with support levels identified at 3400, 3380, and a potential drop to 3355 [1][3][4]. - The market is currently observing a strong bullish trend, but a shift in momentum is expected, suggesting that traders should avoid chasing prices at high levels and consider short positions instead [3][4]. - Technical indicators show a divergence near the upper Bollinger band, indicating a potential for a downward adjustment if certain support levels are breached [4]. Silver Market Analysis - The domestic silver market is experiencing a high-level consolidation, with the Shanghai silver contract maintaining strength above 9400, but a potential short position is suggested if it approaches this level [6]. - International silver has shown a mixed performance, with a recent low around 38 and a resistance level at 39, indicating a range-bound trading strategy is advisable until a breakout occurs [5]. Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market is currently in a low-level consolidation phase, with support seen at 62.5, and a short-term bullish outlook is maintained as long as this support holds [6]. - Domestic fuel oil has shown limited volatility, currently around 2800, and is expected to remain in a consolidation phase unless market conditions change significantly [6].
山海:时间和空间已经满足,注意黄金的变盘可能!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 02:10
Group 1 - Gold remains in a strong bullish trend, but attention is needed for potential strength conversion on Thursday, with support levels at 3375 and 3350 [4][5] - The trading range for gold on Wednesday was between 3393 and 3373, with a peak at around 3400 during the US session, aligning with expectations [2][4] - The technical analysis indicates that the daily cycle is nearing its peak, and if the daily candle closes bearish, a strong weakness conversion is likely, potentially leading to a drop to 3350 [5][6] Group 2 - Silver experienced a decline but maintained a bullish trend, with a trading range between 39 and 38; a drop below 38 could lead to further declines [6] - The domestic gold market remains strong, with the Shanghai gold contract holding around 785 and the Rongtong gold contract around 778, indicating potential for further gains if they stay above 780 and 772 respectively [5][6] - The international crude oil market showed an upward trend, with a support level at 62.5 and a peak at 64.2, suggesting continued bullish momentum [6][7]