Market Overview - The geopolitical situation has shifted dramatically with Trump's announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, leading to a decrease in market risk aversion [2][4] - Gold prices have experienced significant volatility, dropping from a high of 3394 to a low of 3333, reflecting a decline of over $60 [2][4] - The market sentiment around gold is currently mixed, with a focus on the key resistance level at 3405, which if not breached, suggests a range-bound trading environment [4] Gold and Silver Analysis - Gold opened at 3396 but faced a sharp decline due to the latest news, hitting a low of 3333, which is the lowest point since last week [4] - The effective support level for gold is at 3332, with potential further declines to 3280 if this level is breached [4] - Silver has shown resilience, maintaining support at 35.5, and is expected to rebound from this level, with a target of 37 for short positions [5][6] Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold prices initially rose, with Shanghai gold reaching a high of 792, but subsequently fell back to the starting point due to market news [5] - The outlook for domestic gold remains bullish with a target of 800 for Shanghai gold and 795 for Rongtong gold, contingent on market performance this week [5] - Domestic silver has shown limited movement, with a focus on maintaining positions above 35.5 for potential rebounds [6] Oil Market Dynamics - International crude oil prices have dropped significantly to around 66 after peaking near 78, influenced by market news and risk sentiment [6] - The outlook for crude oil remains bullish, with expectations of a rebound towards 70, while domestic fuel oil is also expected to trend upwards after recent adjustments [6]

Core Viewpoint - The current market is experiencing volatility influenced by geopolitical tensions and mixed messages from the U.S., leading to fluctuations in gold and silver prices. Investors are advised to adopt a short-term trading strategy rather than focusing on single-direction trends [2][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices have shown significant fluctuations, with a recent high of 3396 and a low of 3358. The trading range for this week is identified between 3405 and 3340, indicating that a break below 3340 could lead to further declines towards 3280, while a break above 3405 could push prices up to 3430 and 3465 [4]. - The overall trend for gold remains bullish, but the market is currently in a consolidation phase, suggesting that traders should focus on short-term gains rather than long positions [5]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is also experiencing a similar trend, with a focus on short-term trading strategies. Key support is noted at 35.2, while resistance is at 37. The strategy involves maintaining long positions at lower levels while considering short positions at higher levels [6]. - Domestic silver prices have shown a rebound after a drop, with a recent high around 8800. The trading strategy suggests waiting for a potential short position above 8900 while looking for buying opportunities around 8700 [6]. Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market has seen a significant increase, currently trading around 77.8. The bullish trend is expected to continue, with potential targets set at 80 and 84.5. Traders are advised to look for buying opportunities on pullbacks without attempting to short the market [7]. - Domestic fuel oil has also shown strong bullish momentum, with a recent high of 3255. The support level is identified at 3120, and traders are encouraged to buy on dips while maintaining a bullish outlook [7]. Market Outlook - The global financial market is anticipated to face multiple tests this week, with key economic indicators and central bank speeches likely to influence market volatility. Investors are advised to remain vigilant and closely monitor these developments for potential trading opportunities [2][4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite the recent CPI data being unfavorable for gold and silver, the market has responded positively, leading to an upward trend in gold prices, with significant price increases observed throughout the week [1][2] - Gold has shown a consistent pattern of reaching new highs after each adjustment, with recent prices hitting 3365, indicating a bullish sentiment and aligning with the strategy proposed by the analyst [1][2] - The expected upward target for gold this week is set at 3400, with a potential profit of 100 USD from the current positions, suggesting a strong bullish trend [2] Group 2 - Domestic gold futures (沪金) have shown a significant upward movement, with the opening price expected around 792, and previous positions at 772 and 765 yielding substantial profits [3] - The international silver market has experienced fluctuations, with a recent high of 36.9 and a subsequent drop to 35.9, but remains strong overall, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [3] - Domestic silver has seen a temporary high at 9050, but the market remains uncertain about a definitive top, recommending a wait-and-see approach [4] Group 3 - International crude oil prices have surged to 69.2, achieving a second target of 68, with expectations for further increases to 72 and 74.5, indicating a strong bullish trend [4] - Domestic fuel oil has also broken above 2800, with previous positions recommended to be held, as the outlook remains bullish towards 3000 [4]

Group 1 - Gold and silver have shown upward trends, with gold reaching 3392 and silver at 34.7, indicating a bullish market outlook [2][4] - The upcoming non-farm payroll data is expected to significantly impact gold and silver prices, leading to increased market volatility [4][5] - The technical analysis suggests that gold may face resistance around 3400, and traders are advised to wait for potential pullbacks before entering new long positions [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold has been on a bullish trend, with recent highs at 792 for Shanghai gold and 783 for Rongtong gold, suggesting further upward potential [5] - Silver has reached its target of 34.7, but there are concerns about a potential peak, with a possible downward adjustment if it falls below 34 [6] - International crude oil is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with support at 60 and potential upward movement towards 66 and 68 [7] Group 3 - Domestic fuel has shown strong performance, with recent highs at 2770, and the overall trend remains bullish with potential targets of 2800 and 3000 [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that despite early declines, gold is expected to rebound, with a strong bullish trend anticipated as it stabilizes above 3280 [2][4] - Gold experienced a significant upward movement, reaching a peak of approximately 3330, reflecting a total increase of nearly 90 USD [4] - The analysis suggests that gold may continue to rise, with potential targets set at 3350 and possibly up to 3360 or 3400 [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold opened lower but is expected to provide buying opportunities, with predictions of further increases, particularly for futures contracts [5][6] - The international silver market is characterized by a bullish trend within a range of 32.5 to 34, with successful trades noted at key support levels [5][6] - Crude oil has shown a bullish trend after confirming a level around 60, with expectations of reaching up to 63, contingent on maintaining above the 60 mark [6][7] Group 3 - Domestic fuel oil has shown volatility, with a recent peak at 2770, but is now in a consolidation phase, suggesting a cautious approach to trading until a clearer direction emerges [7]

山海：把握黄金的涨跌节奏，等待市场有利变化！ 国际白银波动不大，小范围震荡没有必要交易，目前还在持有32的多单，暂时收盘在32.3，还有利润空间。本周的思路维持前面的看法不变，整体在多头趋 势中，看高位震荡，暂时继续保持在32/33区间看待，如果扩大区间的话就看31.5/34区间，不破31.5就难以走出转弱走势，不破34就难以走出大涨空间，所 以，白银的交易和周期内就以来回震荡看待，本周交易也尽量以低多为主。 国内白银开盘上涨至8200，上周提示布局的8000支撑多单有200个点的利润，近期一直提示白银尽量做低多看涨交易，虽然暂时没有走出单边大利润，但震 荡行情我们也抓的比较舒服。不管是8100，还是8000的支撑点做多，都有各自周期的利润空间。这个周期白银也要维持前面的8000支撑多单不变，这个周期 还是看8300目标，耐心等待即可。 国际原油目前价位在62附近，上个交易日强调，原油要做多看涨，下方支撑在60.5，但经过周一的调整回落，最低在61附近，所以，周一的行情未能跟上， 那么，在目前强势表现下，周二的交易同样维持低多看涨，下方支撑在61附近，有回落机会就可以做多看涨，上方关注64，破位就看66或者更 ...

山海：市场大变天，多方面因素影响利空黄金！ 敬畏市场，尊重市场是近期交易的至理名言，现在竟然市场动态表现比较大，不管是人民币，美元，还是黄金，都出现了较大的涨跌幅度，所以，近期行情 其实很难预测，也很难做出一单到底的大利润。比如黄金在周一，周二的震荡扫盘，周三的先涨后跌破位，看似有利润，其实做起来都是风险。黄金在周三 出现了破位性的下跌，跌破3200后最低至3167，虽然出现了预测的破位，但并没有按照山海预测的上涨，不过山海也没有因为这波下跌而做错交易，大不了 看不对就不做，宁错过不做错。既然黄金走出了破位的下跌，那么承认近期黄金的弱势，并且观察这波弱势是否延续。周四的黄金有可能会在弱势中延续下 跌，有可能在弱势中再次走强，关键的表现还是要看市场的情绪。从技术面来看，现在黄金在3200之下，日线大阴，毫无疑问是绝对弱势，关键性的点位在 3200得失上，如果日内反弹不过3200，那么，黄金就是极弱，周四继续看日线收阴的下跌，但如果日内反弹站稳在3200之上，日线周期可能再收口，出现延 续性反弹至3235，3260，因此，今天的关键点是关注3200得失。H4周期的表现现在有可能会中期筑底，经过午夜的下跌反弹，H5 ...

Core Viewpoint - The international factors significantly influence the gold market, leading to frequent fluctuations in its strength and weakness, making it difficult to predict trends [1][3]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market experienced a significant drop of $50 at the opening, while silver returned to the support level around 32 [3]. - The dollar index showed an upward trend, stabilizing above 100, which may lead to further increases, potentially reaching 120 [5]. - Gold is expected to fluctuate between $3,200 and $3,400, with a strong bullish trend as long as it remains above $3,260 [5][6]. - The trading strategy should focus on effective long and short trades within key support and resistance levels, particularly around $3,260 and $3,245 [6]. Group 2: Silver Market Analysis - International silver prices are expected to remain strong as long as they stay above $32, with a trading range between $32 and $33.5 [6]. - Domestic silver is also experiencing minor fluctuations, maintaining a high-level oscillation, with support at 8,200 and resistance at 8,350 [7]. Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market has shown a strong upward trend, with prices reaching a high of $61.5, and is expected to continue rising towards $64 and $66 [7]. - The domestic fuel market has also seen an increase, with prices rising to 2,675, and the strategy remains to hold long positions with targets at 2,700 and 2,800 [8].

Group 1 - The recent fluctuations in the market have significantly impacted gold prices, with a notable drop to 3288 due to the announcement of the UK-US trade agreement, leading to a decrease in safe-haven demand [2][4] - Despite the recent volatility, the overall trend for gold remains bullish, with expectations of high-level fluctuations and potential for a rebound on Friday [2][4] - Silver is maintaining a position above 32, indicating potential for upward movement, although patience is required for traders [2][5] Group 2 - The US dollar index has unexpectedly risen, breaking the 100 mark, which could influence gold prices negatively if the dollar continues to strengthen [4] - Technical analysis suggests that gold may experience further declines, with potential support levels at 3260 and 3200, but a reversal could occur if the price rebounds on Friday [4] - Domestic gold trading is currently characterized by short-term strategies, with a focus on quick trades rather than long-term positions due to market instability [5][6] Group 3 - Domestic silver has shown significant volatility, with a recent drop below 8200 but recovering to close above that level, indicating a high-level consolidation phase [6] - International crude oil has risen to approximately 60.2, with expectations for further upward movement if the resistance at 60.5 is broken [6] - The domestic fuel oil market is also showing an upward trend, with expectations for prices to reach 2700 and 2800 in the near term [6]

Group 1 - The international geopolitical situation has intensified, leading to a surge in safe-haven demand for gold, which reached a high of 3438, surpassing the expected target of 3420 for the week [2][4] - After reaching the peak of 3438, gold experienced a significant drop, indicating potential volatility and the possibility of a downward trend, with support levels to watch [4][5] - The U.S. dollar index showed little change, fluctuating around 99.3, suggesting a lack of strong trend direction, while gold's recent performance indicates a potential for both upward and downward movements [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices also saw an increase, with the Shanghai gold contract peaking at 813, but subsequently faced a decline, indicating a potential for high-level fluctuations in the near term [5][6] - International silver reached a high of 33.2, with expectations for further increases, although recent adjustments suggest a cautious approach to new positions [5][6] - The international crude oil market is showing signs of a rebound, with potential upward targets set at 64 or higher, indicating a shift from previous declines [6]