傅梦孜 国际秩序面临单边主义挑战 进入2026年，中国、欧盟GDP越过20万亿美元门槛几乎是确定无疑的。一年来，在全球舞台，美中欧三 方博弈所展现出的实力与影响力，宛如一部令人震撼的巨幕大片。这里没有爆炸声，也没有弥漫的硝 烟，但每一个举动都吸引着全球的目光。可以说，这种博弈正在形塑世界格局与国际秩序的未来走向。 美欧经济呈现温和增长，中国尽显大国张力 近几年，美国经济年均增长率接近3%。2025年第三季度环比按年率计算增长4.3%，高于第二季度3.8% 的增速，高于预期。在美国，投资驱动依旧是经济增长的重要动力，美国近年来90%的投资集中于人工 智能领域。美国正呈现出"英伟达化"趋势，20年前，福特公司的市值是英伟达的3倍，如今英伟达的市 值一度突破5万亿美元，已是福特公司约86倍。然而，人们很难期待美国能迎来上世纪90年代那样的增 长周期，因为美国经济基本面并未有太大改善。要擦亮"铁锈地带"，使"旧经济"区重焕生机绝非一蹴而 就之事。但经济的较快增长毕竟迅速扩大了经济规模。 在欧洲，英国、法国、德国和意大利四国仍位列世界经济前十强。2025年，欧盟国家前三季度经济呈现 微弱复苏态势，第三季度欧盟GDP环比 ...

进入2026年，中国、欧盟GDP越过20万亿美元门槛几乎是确定无疑的。一年来，在全球舞台，美中欧三 方博弈所展现出的实力与影响力，宛如一部令人震撼的巨幕大片。这里没有爆炸声，也没有弥漫的硝 烟，但每一个举动都吸引着全球的目光。可以说，这种博弈正在形塑世界格局与国际秩序的未来走向。 美欧经济呈现温和增长，中国尽显大国张力 近几年，美国经济年均增长率接近3%。2025年第三季度环比按年率计算增长4.3%，高于第二季度3.8% 的增速，高于预期。在美国，投资驱动依旧是经济增长的重要动力，美国近年来90%的投资集中于人工 智能领域。美国正呈现出"英伟达化"趋势，20年前，福特公司的市值是英伟达的3倍，如今英伟达的市 值一度突破5万亿美元，已是福特公司约86倍。然而，人们很难期待美国能迎来上世纪90年代那样的增 长周期，因为美国经济基本面并未有太大改善。要擦亮"铁锈地带"，使"旧经济"区重焕生机绝非一蹴而 就之事。但经济的较快增长毕竟迅速扩大了经济规模。 在欧洲，英国、法国、德国和意大利四国仍位列世界经济前十强。2025年，欧盟国家前三季度经济呈现 微弱复苏态势，第三季度欧盟GDP环比增长0.3%，同比增长1.5%。作 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the relationship between China and the United States has entered a phase of structural tension, with both parties viewing each other as the "only" competitor, leading to a comprehensive competitive relationship [1][2][5] - The historical context of China-U.S. relations is divided into several stages, with the first stage being absolute hostility from 1949 to 1972, followed by a period of strategic cooperation against the Soviet Union after the Shanghai Communiqué [2][4] - The Trump administration marked a turning point in U.S.-China relations, officially designating China as the "only strategic competitor" in its national security strategy, leading to a phase of comprehensive strategic competition [5][6] Group 2 - The article discusses the mixed warfare strategy employed by the U.S. against China, which includes trade wars, technology restrictions, and financial pressures, indicating a shift from a defensive to a more aggressive stance by China [6][10] - The recent trade war has seen China adopting a more assertive response, with significant retaliatory tariffs that demonstrate a shift in strategy from previous years [8][10] - The U.S. has faced supply shortages as a result of the trade conflict, leading to a reconsideration of its approach, which highlights the interdependence of the two economies [10][11] Group 3 - The article emphasizes the importance of domestic stability for both China and the U.S., noting that internal challenges such as economic downturns and social issues could impact their international standing [15][16] - China's foreign policy is evolving, moving away from "keeping a low profile" to a more assertive stance, particularly in military capabilities and regional influence [19][20] - The article outlines China's strategic focus on building a unified domestic market and enhancing its international relationships, particularly through initiatives like the Belt and Road [32][34]