技術信號分析
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10月24日【港股Podcast】恆指、贛鋒鋰業、華虹半導體、中芯國際、小米集團、中國移動
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-25 19:56
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently showing mixed signals, with some investors optimistic about breaking through resistance levels at 26,700 points, while others anticipate a drop to around 25,500 points [1][2] - Technical analysis indicates a predominance of sell signals, with 9 sell signals compared to 4 buy signals, suggesting a higher probability of adjustment in the near term [1][2] - The calculated resistance level is approximately 26,700 points, and if this level is breached, the index could potentially rise to around 27,400 points [2] Group 2 - Ganfeng Lithium (01772) has seen a slight recovery, with a current price of approximately 46.76 HKD, but technical signals remain bearish with 10 sell signals and only 2 buy signals [8] - The resistance level for Ganfeng Lithium is estimated at 51.3 HKD, and a breakthrough could lead to further gains up to 53.1 HKD [8] Group 3 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) is experiencing positive market sentiment, with expectations for the stock to rise to 99-100 HKD, supported by a closing price of 82.4 HKD [14] - The resistance level for Hua Hong is identified at 90.1 HKD, and a breakthrough could lead to further increases [14] Group 4 - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981) has shown a recovery with a closing price of 80 HKD, but technical signals indicate a bearish trend with 9 sell signals and 4 buy signals [19] - The resistance level is around 86 HKD, and if breached, it may lead to adjustments [20] Group 5 - Xiaomi Group (01810) has seen a significant decline from nearly 60 HKD to a current price of 45.7 HKD, with a short-term support level at 44.5 HKD [26] - If the stock falls below 44.5 HKD, it may drop further to around 40 HKD, which would breach the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands [26] Group 6 - China Mobile (00941) has shown some recovery, currently priced at 85.4 HKD, but the trading volume remains weak [32] - The support level is approximately 82.4 HKD, and if this level is broken, the stock could decline to 79.1 HKD [32]
10月22日【港股Podcast】恆指、中鋁、騰訊、中芯、中石油、吉利
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-23 08:08
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has shown a downward trend, closing around 25,700 points, which is a common level recently. The index had previously risen to 26,000 points, creating some investor expectations before the decline [2][3] - Investor sentiment is mixed, with some adopting a bearish outlook due to declining trading volumes, while others are speculating on short-term rebounds by purchasing bull certificates [2][3] Technical Signals - Current technical signals indicate a slight "sell" bias, with 8 sell signals and 6 buy signals, suggesting a bearish sentiment overall. The support level is approximately 25,300 points, with potential further declines to this level being noted [3][4] - For bullish investors, the short-term resistance level is around 26,400 points, which is crucial for monitoring potential upward movements [4] Individual Stock Analysis China Aluminum (02600) - China Aluminum's stock price has shown slight recovery, with expectations of upward movement following a period of consolidation. The resistance level is identified at 8.79 HKD, with a potential next target of 9.08 HKD if the first level is breached. However, the overall technical signals remain bearish with 8 sell signals and 5 buy signals [10] Tencent Holdings (00700) - Tencent's stock price has declined to 623.5 HKD, with a critical support level at 607 HKD. If this level is breached, the next support could be around 573 HKD. The technical signals are mixed, with 7 sell signals, 6 buy signals, and 8 neutral signals, indicating uncertainty in the stock's direction [17][18] SMIC (00981) - SMIC's stock price remains stable, with a support level around 68.7 HKD. Investors are considering adding to their positions if the price stabilizes around 74-75 HKD. The technical signals are neutral, suggesting no clear direction at this time [24] China Petroleum (00857) - China Petroleum's stock has been performing well, reaching a recent high of 7.92 HKD, with a closing price of 7.89 HKD. The primary resistance level is at 8 HKD, and the stock is currently showing a predominance of sell signals, with 9 sell signals and 5 buy signals [30] Geely Automobile (00175) - Geely's stock price has shown a slight decline, with a support level at 18.9 HKD. The technical signals are predominantly bearish, with 9 sell signals and 4 buy signals, indicating that investors may need to wait for a more favorable entry point [38]
5月29日【港股Podcast】恆指、中芯、京東、舜宇、阿里健康、匯豐
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-29 12:36
Group 1: Hang Seng Index - Bullish investors believe that if the index stabilizes at 23,600, there is a chance to reach 24,000, while some investors are considering stopping losses on bear certificates with a redemption price of 23,700 [1] - Technical signals indicate a "strong buy" with 16 buy signals, 6 neutral signals, and 2 sell signals, with resistance levels at 23,853 and 24,200 [1] - The support level for the index is at 23,000 [1] Group 2: SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation) - The stock price is approaching a bottom, with increased trading volume over the last three days, raising the possibility of a rebound [3] - The closing price is 41.4, with a short-term trend indicating a downward direction and a summary of technical signals showing 14 sell signals, 6 neutral signals, and 4 buy signals [3] - Key support levels are at 40 and 38.5, with the Bollinger Band bottom at 39.1, indicating a need for further observation [3] Group 3: JD.com - Investors are questioning whether the stock is nearing a bottom and if it can challenge the 250-day moving average [6] - The stock has rebounded by 4.19% to a closing price of 131.8, with a predominance of buy signals but also 7 sell signals and 8 buy signals [6] - Resistance levels are at 137.1 and 145.2, with the Bollinger Band top at 139.8 [6] Group 4: Sunny Optical Technology Group - The stock has been declining for several days, raising questions about a potential rebound and whether it can challenge 70 [8] - The trend remains downward, with a summary of signals indicating 11 sell signals, 6 neutral signals, and 7 buy signals [8] - Key resistance levels are at 68.1 and the Bollinger Band middle line at 65 [8] Group 5: Alibaba Health - Investors are inquiring about the stock's three-day rebound and whether it can test 5 [12] - The technical signals are predominantly sell, with 13 sell signals, 3 buy signals, and 8 neutral signals [12] - The resistance level is at 4.99, just below the target price of 5, indicating significant pressure at this level [12] Group 6: HSBC Holdings - Bearish investors are targeting a price drop to 85-80, while some anticipate a breakthrough above 100 by June [16] - The stock has been trading sideways for about two weeks, with minimal daily fluctuations, indicating a stable but dull trend [16] - Technical signals suggest a "buy" with resistance levels at 95.2 and 98.5, while support levels are at 88.9 and 85.6 [16]