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10月23日【港股Podcast】恆指、京東、藥明生物、百度、中國聯通、李寧
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-24 05:09
1、恆指:看跌投資者認為失守26000風險好大,放掉牛證反手入熊證(收回價26400)。也有投資者認為會沖上26700殺肥熊。逢低入牛,留意收回價25100的牛證。 Simon:恆指今天(10月23日)的波動其實不算大。不過,如果以收盤價來計算的話,恆指今天是小幅上漲了,漲幅為0.72%,這個漲幅真的非常小,具體 來說是上漲了大約186點,收盤價剛好停留在25967點,就在26000點關口下方。市場上既有看漲的聲音,也有看跌的聲音,這是非常正常的市場現象。接下 來,我們用一些技術信號來分析一下當前市場。從短線來看,技術信號總結目前還是以"賣出"為主,有8個賣出信號,6個買入信號,賣出信號稍微占多一 些。再看支撐位,恆指的支撐位大概在25400點。如果恆指繼續下跌,跌破25400點的話,下一步可能會去到25400點;而阻力位方面,大概在26500點左右。 之前也提到過,有些投資者可能會考慮買入熊證,他們關注的收回價大概在26400點左右。不過,我們先不討論26700點是否是熊證的密集持倉區,單從阻力 位來看,目前的阻力位大概就在26500點。 如果選擇收回價在26400點左右的產品,從槓桿角度來說,26400點 ...
10月22日【輪證短評】東方航空、石藥集團、紫金礦業、騰訊
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-23 08:08
| | | 第二只個股:石藥集團(01093)。大家可以發現石藥集團最近下跌的情況比較明顯,股價曾經試圖衝擊保力加通道的中線,但最終還是沒能成功,又跌了 下來。今天(22日)股價的低位甚至到了8.28元,收盤價在8.46元左右。之前可能有投資者會認為,石藥集團有可能會繼續下跌,大概會跌到8元附近。如果 從支撐位來計算,確實有機會跌到8元,它的一個支撐位大概在8.1元左右。所以關注石藥集團的投資者,可以留意一下,它確實有可能再跌到8元附近。 大家好,這一節就來和大家講一講窩輪產品方面的情況。上一節主要是回顧了一些個股方面的技術分析,或者是一些數據總結之類的內容。這次我們主要 會講一些關於窩輪產品條款上的對比,或者看看市場上有沒有一些合適的產品,所以有些個股大家可能不是經常能聽到,但還是值得大家留意一下的。 第一只個股:東方航空(00670)。這只個股的股價走勢,最近確實漲得不錯,不知道有沒有投資者在關注東方航空。比如說,近這幾天,差不多連續兩個 交易日,股價一直都在保力加通道的高位,也就是那條頂線附近,持續向上走。而且,過去6天的成交量也可以說大幅增加,目前已經連漲6天了,這是相當 強勁的走勢。當然,這只股票過 ...
10月22日【港股Podcast】恆指、中鋁、騰訊、中芯、中石油、吉利
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-23 08:08
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has shown a downward trend, closing around 25,700 points, which is a common level recently. The index had previously risen to 26,000 points, creating some investor expectations before the decline [2][3] - Investor sentiment is mixed, with some adopting a bearish outlook due to declining trading volumes, while others are speculating on short-term rebounds by purchasing bull certificates [2][3] Technical Signals - Current technical signals indicate a slight "sell" bias, with 8 sell signals and 6 buy signals, suggesting a bearish sentiment overall. The support level is approximately 25,300 points, with potential further declines to this level being noted [3][4] - For bullish investors, the short-term resistance level is around 26,400 points, which is crucial for monitoring potential upward movements [4] Individual Stock Analysis China Aluminum (02600) - China Aluminum's stock price has shown slight recovery, with expectations of upward movement following a period of consolidation. The resistance level is identified at 8.79 HKD, with a potential next target of 9.08 HKD if the first level is breached. However, the overall technical signals remain bearish with 8 sell signals and 5 buy signals [10] Tencent Holdings (00700) - Tencent's stock price has declined to 623.5 HKD, with a critical support level at 607 HKD. If this level is breached, the next support could be around 573 HKD. The technical signals are mixed, with 7 sell signals, 6 buy signals, and 8 neutral signals, indicating uncertainty in the stock's direction [17][18] SMIC (00981) - SMIC's stock price remains stable, with a support level around 68.7 HKD. Investors are considering adding to their positions if the price stabilizes around 74-75 HKD. The technical signals are neutral, suggesting no clear direction at this time [24] China Petroleum (00857) - China Petroleum's stock has been performing well, reaching a recent high of 7.92 HKD, with a closing price of 7.89 HKD. The primary resistance level is at 8 HKD, and the stock is currently showing a predominance of sell signals, with 9 sell signals and 5 buy signals [30] Geely Automobile (00175) - Geely's stock price has shown a slight decline, with a support level at 18.9 HKD. The technical signals are predominantly bearish, with 9 sell signals and 4 buy signals, indicating that investors may need to wait for a more favorable entry point [38]
10月15日【港股Podcast】恆指、騰訊、匯豐、平安、吉利、港交所
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-16 04:03
大家好,又來和大家回顧一下港股的情況。我們還是先從大盤走勢開始講,我看到今天大盤其實是小幅回升了,收盤的時候到了25910點。這個點位剛好差一點就能站 上26000點,所以我相信這也讓不少投資者有了一些期待,想看看明天能不能成功站上26000點。 1、恆指:看跌投資者認為表示上不到26000點,選擇熊過夜(收回價26670),認為明日會跌回低位。也有投資者在順勢做多,在尾盤選擇牛證過夜,收回 價25330點。 確實,我看到有投資者在討論,覺得今天沒能站上26000點,後續市場有可能還是會在低位震盪整理。不過也有一部分投資者看法相反,他們覺得今天既然 已經上漲了,就應該順勢繼續看好,所以今天也有不少人選擇買入牛證。從投資者的這些觀點來看,目前大家大多還是以短線操作為主,可能就持倉一晚、 兩晚,因為現在市場波動比較大,很多人更傾向於持倉一晚,或者做日內交易的也比較多。畢竟當前市場走勢起伏不定,大家還是要多留意一些。 再來看技術信號總結,目前短線來看還是偏向"買入",有9個買入信號,6個賣出信號,買入信號稍微多一些。如果有投資者買入了牛證,我們可以提供一些 支持位供大家參考。目前第一個支持位大概在25398點,要是 ...
10月10日【港股Podcast】恆指、騰訊、阿里、中移動、神華、京東
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-12 11:23
| | | 恆指(HSI)衍生品回顧 46% 26% 21% -2.01% -2.01% -2.01% にに 中銀認沽證 中銀熊證 20720 18782 57148 1、恆指:市場看淡情況較高,有投資者認為下週25700-25800,熊證過夜。看多投資這認為這星期調整完,守住26100,下個星期衝新高27000以上,並且關 注收回價25900的牛證 Simon:全日收26290點,指數跌穿保力加通道的中線,這兩日的成交量比較大。短線技術信號的總結為"中立"。我們提到的短線通常是2-3日,大家可以作為 參考。數據系統分析的支持位25833點和25500點,阻力位在27000點。 恆指 (HSI) ciall 2、騰訊控股 (00700.HK):投資者問股價穿左20天線,可以買?窩輪市場上,投資者情緒偏淡,有人留意Put Simon:全日收651.5元,跌穿保力加通道的中線位置,走勢不是很理想。成交量有所增加,都不是很好的情況。另外RSI跌的比較低。參考技術信號的總結 為"買入"。如考慮低位部署,留意第一個支持位639元,第二個支持位619元。 騰訊(00700)衍生品回顧 72% 29% 26% -3.48% ...
9月26日【港股Podcast】恆指、銀河、美團、建行、中芯、兗礦能源
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-29 04:42
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently experiencing mixed sentiments, with bullish investors expecting a settlement price above 26,400 next week, while bearish investors anticipate a drop to between 25,500 and 25,300 [1] - Technical signals indicate a "sell" recommendation, with support levels at 25,574 and 25,200, and resistance levels at 26,700 and 26,900 [1] Group 2: Galaxy Entertainment (00027.HK) - Galaxy Entertainment's stock has been stable in recent months, with a current price of 43 HKD, but technical signals suggest a "sell" stance [4] - Support levels are identified at 42.1 HKD and 40.4 HKD, while resistance levels are at 43.4 HKD and 44.2 HKD [4] Group 3: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's stock is currently stabilizing around 100 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "buy" recommendation [10] - Resistance is noted at 107 HKD, with potential to rise to 115 HKD if this level is breached; support levels are at 96.2 HKD and 91.7 HKD [10] Group 4: China Construction Bank (00939.HK) - China Construction Bank's stock has seen a low of 7.22 HKD, with a technical signal leaning towards "buy" [17] - Resistance levels are at 7.63 HKD and 7.86 HKD, with options available at a strike price of 9.9 HKD [17] Group 5: SMIC (00981.HK) - SMIC's stock is currently at 72.95 HKD, with a technical signal indicating a "sell" recommendation [23] - Support levels are at 66.4 HKD and 58.9 HKD, while the first resistance level is at 80.1 HKD [23] Group 6: Yancoal Australia (01171.HK) - Yancoal's stock is currently at 10.31 HKD, with technical signals showing a neutral stance [27] - Resistance levels are at 10.7 HKD and 11.3 HKD, with support levels at 9.8 HKD and 9.4 HKD [27]
9月25日【港股Podcast】恆指、泡泡瑪特、紫金礦業、寧德時代、理想汽車、瑞聲科技
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-26 03:43
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - Investors believe that the strong support level is at 26,400, holding bull certificates with a redemption price of 25,900. Bearish investors expect a drop to 26,050, holding bear certificates with a redemption price of 27,078 [1] - Technical signals indicate a "sell" recommendation, with support levels at 25,800 and 25,400, while resistance is at 26,900. There are numerous bull certificates near the redemption price of 25,400, with leverage exceeding 21 times [1] - Investors are advised to compare product terms carefully, as some products with higher redemption prices may offer lower leverage and higher premiums, making them less attractive [1] Group 2: Pop Mart (09992.HK) - Investors are inquiring about the possibility of bull certificates dropping to 250 HKD, while others are optimistic about a rise to 268 HKD, holding bull certificates with a redemption price of 240 HKD [8] - The stock price rose to 261.8 HKD, with support identified at 247 HKD. The technical signal is a "buy," with resistance at 283 HKD [8] - Investors are cautioned against short-term products expiring between October and December due to significant time value decay, while longer-term products may offer better leverage [8] Group 3: Zijin Mining (02899.HK) - The stock price has been rising, reaching a high of 31.62 HKD, approaching the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands. Resistance levels are at 32.9 HKD and 33.8 HKD, with a short-term signal indicating a "sell" [15] Group 4: Contemporary Amperex Technology (03750.HK) - The stock price closed at 532 HKD, with a high of 535.5 HKD, nearing the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands. The first resistance level is at 558 HKD, with a potential second resistance at 604 HKD [21] - Investors are advised to consider products with exercise prices between 560-590 HKD, which have lower premiums and higher probabilities of moving from out-of-the-money to in-the-money [21] Group 5: Li Auto (02015.HK) - The stock price has surpassed 100 HKD, closing at 102 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "buy." Resistance levels are at 106 HKD and 110 HKD, with a target of 120 HKD [26] Group 6: AAC Technologies (02018.HK) - The stock has been declining, and the short-term trend is a "sell." Investors looking for entry points should exercise patience, with support levels at 44.2 HKD and 41.1 HKD [31]
9月22日【港股Podcast】恆指、舜宇、山東黃金、中芯、藥明生物、聯想
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-23 07:40
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,344 points, with short-term technical signals indicating a "buy" but not a "strong buy" [1] - Resistance levels are identified at 26,840 points and 27,500 points, while support levels are at 25,700 points and 25,000 points [1] - Investors are advised to consider the premium levels of products, as high premiums can affect purchase prices [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - Sunny Optical's stock rose to a high of 87.7 HKD, closing at 87 HKD, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band [3] - Current technical signals suggest a "sell" with slight bearish sentiment, and the first resistance level is at 91.2 HKD [3] - Investors are encouraged to compare options with a 2%-3% out-of-the-money range for better leverage [3] Group 3: Company Analysis - Shandong Gold (01787.HK) - Shandong Gold's stock closed at 38.26 HKD, showing significant gains over the past two days [6] - Current technical signals indicate a "sell," with resistance levels at 40.6 HKD and 43.1 HKD, and support levels at 33.4 HKD and 30.6 HKD [6] Group 4: Company Analysis - SMIC (00981.HK) - SMIC's stock reached a high of 74.05 HKD, with current technical signals summarizing as "sell" [9] - Support levels are noted at 64.7 HKD and 58.6 HKD, with a recommendation for safer options around 58-59 HKD [9] Group 5: Company Analysis - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) - WuXi Biologics' stock peaked at 40.2 HKD, closing at 40.08 HKD, with short-term technical signals indicating a "sell" [12] - Resistance levels are at 42.1 HKD and 43.8 HKD, while support levels are at 36.8 HKD and 33.6 HKD [12] Group 6: Company Analysis - Lenovo Group (00992.HK) - Lenovo's stock closed at 12.2 HKD, with technical signals summarizing as "sell" and short-term outlook being pessimistic [15] - Resistance levels are at 12.6 HKD and 13.4 HKD, with support levels at 11.5 HKD and 11 HKD [15]
8月13日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、紫金礦業、洛陽鉬業、吉利、百度
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-13 10:58
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,613 points, approaching the upper Bollinger Band at 25,782 points, with a neutral signal despite a significant increase [1] - Resistance levels are identified at 25,831 and 26,300 points, with a potential breakthrough of the key level at 26,000 [1] - Support levels are noted at 24,900 and 24,600 points, suggesting caution for investors holding bearish products [1] Group 2: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's stock price closed at 124.3 HKD, near the middle Bollinger Band at 125.6 HKD, indicating a sell signal [7] - The stock has faced resistance below the middle line since August, with support levels at 119.3 HKD and 113.2 HKD [7] - Investors are advised to monitor the buyback price of 106 HKD for bullish products [7] Group 3: Zijin Mining (02899.HK) - Zijin Mining's stock price is near the upper Bollinger Band at 23.78 HKD, with a strong buy signal [14] - Resistance levels are at 24.4 HKD and 25.4 HKD, with a longer observation needed for a potential rise to 30 HKD [14] - Support levels are identified at 22.3 HKD and 21.2 HKD for potential low-position entry [14] Group 4: Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK) - The stock has maintained an upward trend since mid-July, rising from 7.9 HKD to 10.6 HKD, with a buy signal [21] - Resistance levels are at 11.1 HKD and 11.7 HKD, both below 12 HKD [21] - The exercise price of 11.13 HKD for call options is considered stable [21] Group 5: Geely Automobile (00175.HK) - Geely's stock shows a buy signal, with current resistance at 19.8 HKD and potential to test 20.7 HKD [27] - Investors are encouraged to assess future trends while considering their risk tolerance [27] Group 6: Baidu Group-SW (09888.HK) - Baidu's stock closed at 88.15 HKD, breaking the middle Bollinger Band and indicating a buy signal [32] - Resistance levels are at 90.8 HKD and 94.1 HKD, with support at 84.2 HKD and 81.2 HKD [32] - Investors are advised to consider buying calls below 85 HKD [32]
8月7日【港股Podcast】恆指、金沙、騰訊、華虹、泡泡瑪特、山東黃金
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-07 12:44
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) shows strong investor sentiment with a trading volume of 200 billion, stabilizing around 25,000 points, closing at 25,081 points [1] - Investors are advised to consider support levels at 24,481 and 24,200 points when selecting products, with resistance levels at 25,475 and 25,900 points [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Sands China (01928.HK) has seen its stock price rise, breaking through 20 HKD, with buy signals and resistance levels at 21.7 HKD and 22.3 HKD [4] - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) experienced volatility, with a trading range between 572 HKD and 560 HKD, and buy signals with resistance at 573 HKD and 603 HKD [7] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) is on an upward trend, with buy signals and resistance levels at 47.2 HKD and 51.9 HKD, aiming for 50 HKD in the short term [9] - Pop Mart (09992.HK) reached a high of 293.4 HKD, with buy signals and support levels at 259 HKD and 243 HKD [12] - Shandong Gold (01787.HK) has seen a four-day price increase, closing at 28.94 HKD, with strong buy signals and resistance levels at 29.1 HKD and 31.6 HKD [15]