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中芯國際股價走勢研判:多項技術指標綜合分析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-08 13:10
Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) shows a strong technical signal for buying, with key support and resistance levels identified for potential trading opportunities [3][4]. Technical Analysis - SMIC's stock price is currently at 44 HKD, showing a slight increase of 0.11%. The stock is above several important moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [3]. - The MACD indicator shows a golden cross, and the Bollinger Bands are expanding, suggesting further upward potential. The RSI is at 58, indicating a neutral to strong position [3]. - Key support levels are identified at 41.9 HKD and 38.5 HKD, while resistance levels are at 46.5 HKD and potentially 50 HKD if the first resistance is broken [4]. Derivative Products Performance - SMIC's derivative products have performed well, with specific warrants showing significant gains. For instance, the Societe Generale bull certificate (62196) and HSBC bull certificate (64024) rose by 14% and 15% respectively over two trading days, while the underlying stock increased by 2.19% [8]. Derivative Products Analysis - Various options for SMIC's warrants are available, with the call option from the issuer (17673) offering a leverage of 2.9 times and an exercise price of 48.05 HKD, making it a stable choice. Another call option (13200) has a slightly lower leverage of 2.7 times but is closer to the current price, appealing to short-term bullish investors [11]. - For put options, the issuer's put option (13733) offers a leverage of 3.1 times with an exercise price of 42.18 HKD, providing a favorable risk-reward ratio for bearish investors. Another put option (14413) has a leverage of 2.7 times and an exercise price of 42.13 HKD, suitable for risk-averse investors [11]. Bull and Bear Certificates - Bull certificates, such as UBS (67702) and Societe Generale (67786), have a redemption price set at 39 HKD, offering around 6.5 times leverage, making them suitable for investors expecting continued upward movement in SMIC's stock [14]. - Bear certificates from HSBC (54296) and Societe Generale (61769) have redemption prices of 49 HKD and 49.5 HKD respectively, providing over 8 times leverage, ideal for short-term bearish strategies [14].
頂背離訊號現 港交所漲勢能否持續?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-09 10:30
下方支持方面,396元為短線第一道防線,若失守可能下探383元;上方阻力則聚焦421元,突破後有望挑戰432元。值得注意的是,港交所5日振幅達5.1%, 配合放大的成交量,反映市場正醞釀新一輪突破行情。保力加通道持續擴張,顯示股價波動加劇,而牛熊力量指標發出「買入」訊號,與CCI的「頂背離」 形成矛盾,進一步加劇短線操作難度。 關鍵位深度分析 | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 員入信號 | | --- | --- | | 強力買入 | 16 O | 截止14點26分,港交所(00388)股價強勢上漲2.39%,報412元。技術面來看,港交所已突破MA10(399.9元)及MA30(379.11元),形成強勁上升趨勢。RSI 75進 入超買區間,技術指標總結信號為「強力買入」,MACD亦發出「買入」訊號,顯示短線動能強勁。不過,威廉指標與隨機震盪指標均呈「中立」信號,CCI指標更 出現「頂背離」賣出訊號,暗示部分技術指標已過熱,需警惕短線回調風險。 產品回顧:槓桿效應顯著放大收益 回顧6月5日至6月7日的市場表現,港交所股價上漲1.73%,帶動相關牛證及認購證表現強勁。法巴牛證(58522)兩日內飆升29% ...