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冷艺婕:8.16黄金小周期稳健多次增倍 如何做到?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-17 11:40
黄金下周小级别趋势单明确解析:黄金本周也是震荡拉扯的一周。本周我也是多次强调了短线短空的思 路!可自行查阅!日线布林中轨和上轨已拐头向下,MACD指标死叉,绿色动能柱伸长,近期有望向下 轨3300附近求支撑,再加上周线以及月线等大趋势全线偏空,周五也是强调了目前日线朝着预期的下轨 回落走。同时日K线图也是一波弱势连阴,但不是单边,是震荡式的向下轨回落。目前走势在预期内。 周初继续在3350之下短空。 原油下周小级别趋势单明确解析:目前日线级别看原油价格前期经历一段下跌行情,在底部收出一根小 阴星,价格没有创新低,底部的支撑是在61.50,目前还在低位震荡。周初还是继续看延续下行行情。 保持反弹短空思路。 | 16:35 A | | | ::!! 令 (79) | | | | 16:35 4 | :!!! 令 79 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 目 | 四 | 月份 血定义 | | 日 | 지 | 月份 自定义 | | | | | | 57.240 -> 56.649 | | | 886.5 ...
华泰证券:25年一季报点评:业绩高增,经纪、信用与自营业务为主要推动力-20250501
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-01 14:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huatai Securities is "Buy" with a target price not specified [7][5]. Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Huatai Securities in Q1 2025, driven primarily by brokerage, credit, and proprietary trading businesses [1][5]. - The brokerage business saw a revenue increase of 42.6% year-on-year, attributed to improved market trading volumes, while the credit business experienced a remarkable growth of 319.5% [2][4]. - The report anticipates continued benefits for the company from stable or increasing trading volumes in the capital market, which is expected to support growth in wealth management and trading businesses [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Huatai Securities achieved an adjusted revenue of 7.3 billion yuan, up 28.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.6 billion yuan, up 59.0% year-on-year [1]. - The return on equity (ROE) was reported at 8.4%, an increase of 2.9 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1]. Brokerage Business - The brokerage business generated 1.94 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting a 42.6% increase year-on-year, supported by a significant rise in market trading volumes, with an average daily trading volume of 1.7465 trillion yuan, up 70.9% year-on-year [2]. Investment Banking - The investment banking segment reported a revenue of 540 million yuan, a slight decline of 5.9% year-on-year, primarily due to a reduction in the scale of securities underwriting [2]. Asset Management - The asset management business saw a revenue drop of 61.7% year-on-year, with the non-monetary public fund management scale expanding, but a decrease in fee rates led to lower income [3]. Credit and Proprietary Trading - The credit business revenue surged to 970 million yuan, a 319.5% increase year-on-year, driven by increased market activity in margin trading [4]. - The proprietary trading business generated 2.76 billion yuan in revenue, up 46.5% year-on-year, despite a 15.6% decrease in the scale of financial assets [4]. Future Outlook - The report updates profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with expected net profits of 16.1 billion yuan, 18.2 billion yuan, and 19.2 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 4.8%, 12.9%, and 6.5% [5][11].
华泰证券(601688):25年一季报点评:业绩高增,经纪、信用与自营业务为主要推动力
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-01 07:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [7] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in adjusted revenue of 7.3 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 28.2%, and a net profit of 3.6 billion yuan, up 59.0% year-on-year. The main drivers of this growth were brokerage, credit, and proprietary trading businesses [1][5] - The brokerage business saw a substantial increase in revenue of 1.94 billion yuan, up 42.6% year-on-year, attributed to improved market trading volumes, with average daily trading volume reaching 1.7465 trillion yuan, a 70.9% increase compared to the same period last year [2] - The credit business revenue surged by 319.5% year-on-year to 970 million yuan, driven by increased market activity and reduced interest expenses [4] - The asset management business, however, faced challenges with a revenue decline of 61.7% year-on-year to 420 million yuan, despite an increase in managed assets [3] Summary by Sections Brokerage Business - Revenue for the brokerage business reached 1.94 billion yuan, a 42.6% increase year-on-year, supported by a significant rise in market trading volumes [2] Investment Banking - The investment banking segment reported a revenue of 540 million yuan, down 5.9% year-on-year, primarily due to a slight contraction in underwriting scale [2] Asset Management - The asset management revenue decreased to 420 million yuan, down 61.7% year-on-year, despite an increase in managed assets across various funds [3] Credit and Proprietary Trading - The credit business revenue increased dramatically to 970 million yuan, up 319.5% year-on-year, while proprietary trading revenue reached 2.76 billion yuan, a 46.5% increase year-on-year, indicating strong performance in these areas [4] Financial Forecast - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 16.1 billion yuan, 18.2 billion yuan, and 19.4 billion yuan respectively, reflecting expected growth rates of 4.8%, 12.9%, and 6.5% [5][11]