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韵达股份(002120):持续控本降费,静待利润改善
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Yunda Holdings [1] Core Views - Yunda Holdings reported a revenue of 24.83 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.8%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 49.19% to 529 million yuan, which was below expectations [6] - The company has been focusing on cost control and efficiency improvements, with a notable reduction in sorting and transportation costs per package, indicating effective cost management [6] - Despite the pressure on profits due to intensified competition in the express delivery sector, there is optimism for profit recovery in the second half of 2025 as the company continues to enhance its operational efficiency and network collaboration [6] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards, with expected net profits of 1.51 billion, 1.71 billion, and 1.91 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 21.0% in 2025, followed by growth in subsequent years [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for Yunda Holdings are as follows: 52.03 billion yuan in 2025, 54.93 billion yuan in 2026, and 59.06 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 7.2%, 5.6%, and 7.5% respectively [5] - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 7.1% in 2025, with a gradual improvement to 7.4% by 2027 [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 7.1% in 2025, increasing to 7.9% by 2027 [5]
【青岛啤酒(600600.SH)】25Q1量增价减,利润率同比改善——2025年一季报点评(陈彦彤/汪航宇/聂博雅)
光大证券研究· 2025-04-29 09:23
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件: 2025Q1实现营业收入104.46亿元,同比+2.9%,主要受销量带动。2025Q1公司累计实现销量226.1万千 升,同比+3.5%。从产品结构看,2025Q1青岛啤酒主品牌销量137.5万千升,同比+4.1%;中高端以上产品 实现销量101.1万千升,同比+5.3%,随着即饮消费场景逐步恢复,公司中高端以上产品销量占比提升。从 吨价来看,2025Q1公司ASP同比-0.6%至4620元/千升。 积极控本降费,净利率改善明显 1)25Q1公司毛利率为41.64%,同比+1.20pcts,主要系大麦和包材等价格下降。此外,中高端以上产品销 量占比提升,亦推动毛利率改善。2)25Q1公司销售费用率为12.53%,同比- ...