摘要周三(1月28日)亚欧时段，贵金属牛市正如预期般轰轰烈烈展开。只要地缘风险未消、特朗普仍在 任，这轮涨势便难言终结。昨日金价白盘强势上攻冲击5100美元，美盘在5050-5100区间震荡，尾盘受 特朗普"可随意操控美元"言论刺激，美元暴跌创一年最大跌幅，叠加美以通报对伊行动准备的消息，金 价借势突破5100关口，最高触及5190美元。白银同步走强，收复周一跌幅，最高触及113美元。芝商所 虽上调白银等保证金，但未涉及黄金，市场狂热情绪下，此举影响尚待观察。 不过，汉森同时对白银市场发出严厉警告，称其"已明确进入泡沫区域"。他指出，当前银价的飙升主要 由散户狂热参与、投机性头寸激增以及"错失恐惧症"(FOMO)情绪驱动，这已将其估值推升至相对于黄 金和铂金的历史性高位。汉森担忧，这种脱离基本面的涨势不仅可能导致工业需求严重受损，更会引发 市场的无序波动。 【技术分析】 现货黄金：黄金自元旦以来累计上涨近1000美元，涨幅超20%，我们此前设定的年度第一目标5200美元 已基本到位。昨日已提示短期进入赶顶阶段，多空博弈将趋于激烈，风控至关重要。当前受突发消息刺 激的快速拉升缺乏持续性，一旦情绪退潮，市场恐面临 ...

Group 1 - The core sentiment in the market has shifted towards risk-on, with high-risk assets rebounding significantly despite previous economic concerns highlighted by a poor employment report [1][3] - The Nasdaq 100 index recorded its largest weekly gain in over a month, while high-yield corporate bond spreads narrowed for five consecutive days, indicating a recovery in investor sentiment [1][7] - Strong corporate earnings and renewed enthusiasm for artificial intelligence are driving this risk-on sentiment, with the S&P 500 expected to see a 10% growth in earnings for the second quarter, significantly higher than prior forecasts [8] Group 2 - Despite the stock market's rally, the U.S. Treasury market remains cautious, with the 10-year Treasury yield still below levels seen before the employment report, reflecting ongoing economic concerns [3][4] - The divergence between the optimistic stock and corporate bond markets and the cautious Treasury market is becoming a focal point of interest on Wall Street [3][10] - Analysts suggest that the high valuations in the stock market, with a price-to-earnings ratio close to 23, indicate elevated risk levels, reminiscent of the tech bubble era [8][6] Group 3 - The current economic indicators, such as rising unemployment claims and increased consumer inflation expectations, contribute to the uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook [9][10] - There is a belief among some analysts that the bond market's signals should be trusted over the seemingly optimistic high-yield corporate bond indicators, especially in the later stages of the economic expansion cycle [10]