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数据中心电源深度:“源”启新章,直流迭代
Changjiang Securities· 2025-06-08 09:04
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the data center power supply industry, particularly focusing on the transition from AC to DC architectures, highlighting the potential for domestic manufacturers to increase their market share [4][9]. Core Insights - The trend of increasing power density in data centers is driving the upgrade of power supply architectures from AC to DC, with significant penetration expected for DC systems due to their efficiency, lower failure rates, and space-saving advantages [4][8]. - Domestic manufacturers are expected to benefit from their leading R&D capabilities and delivery strengths, enhancing their investment value in related power supply sectors [4][9]. - The shift towards DC power supply is anticipated to stimulate demand growth in supporting sectors such as energy storage, relays, and low-voltage electrical equipment [4][9]. Summary by Sections Market Space - The demand for AI data centers is driving the power per cabinet to rise to between 20-100 kW, necessitating a more compact and higher voltage power supply system. The global data center development scale is projected to grow from 11 GW in 2024 to 35-40 GW by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 35% [8][60]. - If the penetration rate of HVDC in China increases from 15% to 40% and from 0% to 45% overseas, the global HVDC market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 161.86% [66]. Industry Chain - The demand for HVDC and other DC power sources is highly elastic, with domestic manufacturers poised to increase their market share due to their advanced R&D and delivery capabilities. The report emphasizes the importance of capturing incremental opportunities in the industry [9][70]. - The traditional UPS market is relatively stable, with the top five domestic manufacturers holding over 65% market share, while the HVDC and SST markets are still in their infancy, presenting opportunities for early movers [71][73]. Data Center Power Supply - The report notes a high concentration of cloud service providers in the data center power supply market, with domestic manufacturers expected to gain market share. The traditional UPS market is dominated by a few key players, while the HVDC market is still developing [71][78]. - The report highlights that the efficiency of HVDC systems is superior to that of traditional UPS systems, with a single HVDC system achieving over 94% efficiency [22][47].