格隆汇8月8日｜信达证券研报指出，九洲药业DMO业务保持高增长，新分子业务布局有望打造全新增 长点。截至2025年H1，公司创新药原料药CDMO共承接1,214个项目，其中临床I期和II期项目1,086个， 环比2024年底增加60个；临床III期项目90个，环比2024年底增加6个；商业化项目38个，环比2024年底 增加3个；公司承接项目涵盖抗肿瘤、抗心衰、抗病毒、中枢神经和心脑血管等治疗领域，临床后期和 商业化项目数量不断增加，有望推动公司业绩持续增长。另外，公司全面布局多肽、偶联及小核酸药物 等新分子业务，已搭建完整技术平台，2025年H1新分子业务引入新客户20多家，其中海外订单增速较 快，已完成十多个项目的交付工作。根据弗若斯特沙利文统计，2022年全球ADC及更广泛偶联药物 CRDMO市场规模为15亿美元，预计2030年市场规模可以增长至110亿美元，2022-2030年期间复合增长 率有望达到28.4%。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the overall sentiment appears positive based on the growth metrics and strategic initiatives discussed. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated stable operational trends with high growth in its CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) business, achieving a revenue of 22.91 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.27% [2] - The new molecular business layout is expected to create new growth points, with significant investments in peptide, conjugate, and small nucleic acid drug platforms [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 28.71 billion yuan, a 3.86% increase year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.26 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.70% growth [1] - The operating cash flow net amount reached 8.45 billion yuan, marking a substantial increase of 164.50% [1] CDMO Business - The CDMO segment continues to thrive, with a revenue of 22.91 billion yuan in H1 2025, maintaining a gross margin of 41.02% [2] - The project pipeline has expanded significantly, with 1,214 projects under contract, including 1,086 in clinical phases I and II, and 90 in phase III [2] API Business - The API (Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient) business saw a decline in revenue to 5.23 billion yuan, down 28.48% year-on-year, attributed to reduced demand for respiratory disease-related products [3] New Molecular Business - The company is actively expanding its new molecular business, having onboarded over 20 new clients in H1 2025, with a notable increase in overseas orders [4] - The global market for TEDIS (including peptides and oligonucleotides) CRDMO is projected to grow from 5.5 billion USD in 2023 to 37.3 billion USD by 2032, with a CAGR of 23.8% [5] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 55.09 billion yuan, 61.77 billion yuan, and 68.42 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 9.28 billion yuan, 10.66 billion yuan, and 12.07 billion yuan [7]

Group 1: Impact of External Factors - The geopolitical factors, such as the Biosecurity Act, influence clients' strategies, leading them to seek multiple suppliers to manage supply chain risks [1] - Current tariff policies have limited impact on the company, as less than 5% of its revenue comes from direct exports to the U.S., and products fall within the tariff exemption range [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - The company's overall gross margin fluctuates mainly due to domestic market conditions and losses in new business, while overseas market and core business margins remain stable [3] - In Q1 2025, the new molecular business generated approximately CNY 14.19 million in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 353% [7] Group 3: Production Capacity and Orders - The company has expanded its production and R&D capabilities through acquisitions and the establishment of new centers, including factories in Hubei and Shanghai [4] - The order conversion cycle typically ranges from 6 to 18 months, with some orders taking 2 to 3 years to convert into revenue [6] Group 4: Future Investments - The capital expenditure for 2025 will focus on overseas expansion, new molecular technology development, and upgrading existing small molecule production capacity [8]