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12.25黄金冲高跳水80美金 洗盘再战4500
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-25 08:44
当然了,面临4500的关口,再次遇阻。 下方回落,再探4440的区域。 黄金冲高跳水,二度冲关4500无果,直接来了挑扁担形态。跳水后,再次快步回升,高位洗盘,再闯关 4500。 明天的走势 黄金二度暴力冲顶,穿4500后。 又迎来了闪跌跳水,重回4500下方。 接连冲高跳水,再反抽。 明天再闯关4500的关口,再次上破,看新高不猜顶。 一方面,特朗普加码对美联储的行动,美联储主席面试开启,直接引发美联储独立性危机。更重要的是 美联储主席候选人接连放鸽,或遭遇傀儡式降息,利好黄金大涨。 另外一方面,美失业金降临,结果不及预期和前值,上周创单周新高后,本周失业金降温,好好坏坏, 又给了美元支撑。特别是圣诞节,流动性紧缩,再次引发黄金跳水。 明天消息面 周五收官日,或再谨防黑色星期五。以及日12月数据洪流冲击,日央行加息预期,或再影响汇率市场。 对于现货黄金的投资,方向和趋势的判断尤其重要。更重要的是入场点和出场点的把握能力,说白了就 是准确率,这个是能够实现稳健获利的必要的前提条件。这个不是一两本书,或者一两年功夫实操就可 以锻炼出来的。而是需要长时间实操和结果和经验。 此位置反弹,看两个区域范围内的震荡整理。 ...
基本面稳定修复,但长端利率波动性明显加大
HTSC· 2025-08-29 02:53
Economic Performance - Japan's GDP in Q2 exceeded expectations with a quarter-on-quarter annualized growth rate of 0.6%[10] - The manufacturing PMI for August rose to 49.9, approaching the expansion threshold, while the services PMI decreased to 52.7[2] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 2.5%, with nominal wage growth increasing to 2.2%[19][22] Trade and Production - Exports in July fell by 2.3% year-on-year, with exports to the U.S. declining by 10.1%[3] - Industrial production index in June rebounded to a year-on-year growth of 2.8%[3] - New orders for machinery in June increased by 7.6% year-on-year, indicating resilient investment[3][43] Inflation and Prices - Japan's CPI in July decreased to 2.9% year-on-year, with energy prices contributing to the decline[3][63] - The CPI for energy fell by 1% year-on-year, a drop of 4.7 percentage points from the previous month[3] - The price of rice remains high, contributing to a 11.5% increase in agricultural product prices year-on-year[3][76] Financial Markets - The Nikkei 225 index reached a historical high, increasing by 4.2% in August[4] - The 30-year Japanese government bond yield rose to 3.21%, the highest since 1999, reflecting concerns over fiscal sustainability[4] - The 10-year Japanese government bond yield increased by 7 basis points to 1.62%[4] Monetary Policy - The Bank of Japan's interest rate expectations have slightly increased to 17 basis points as of August 25[4] - The central bank maintained the policy rate at 0.5% during the July meeting, indicating a hawkish stance[5] - There are expectations for fiscal expansion due to the ruling coalition's electoral challenges[5]