Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively retreated today, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below the 4000-point mark, closing down 0.73% at 3986.9 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.16%, closing at 13532.13 points, while the ChiNext Index dropped 1.84% to 3263.02 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 242.17 billion yuan, an increase of 165.6 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Sector Performance - Most industry sectors experienced declines, with the non-ferrous metals sector showing significant gains, while the steel, battery, gaming, power equipment, electronic chemicals, coal, securities, pesticides, and electronic components sectors faced the largest declines [1][2] - The non-ferrous metals sector reported a year-on-year increase of 7.8% in industrial added value for the first three quarters of 2025, outperforming the national industrial growth rate by 1.6 percentage points [2] - The production of ten common non-ferrous metals reached 61.25 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.0% [2] Market Dynamics - The current market rally is characterized by a fundamental shift in driving forces, with the technology growth sector contributing over half of the index's gains, contrasting with previous rallies that relied on traditional sectors like finance and real estate [3] - The number of technology companies in the Shanghai Composite Index has increased fourfold since 2015, with their weight rising from less than 5% to 17%, indicating a transition from resource-dependent growth to innovation-driven growth [3] - This shift highlights the synchronization between capital markets and national economic development strategies, as the capital market adapts to the demands of new productive forces, fostering a virtuous cycle of growth [3]

Core Viewpoints - The economic growth structure is shifting from traditional sectors to new momentum, with significant improvements in new momentum sectors [1][7][73]. Manufacturing Sector - In September, the manufacturing PMI improved to 49.8%, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, aligning with seasonal trends [1][7][73]. - The production index reached a six-month high of 51.9%, increasing by 1.1 percentage points, while the new orders index rose only 0.2 percentage points to 49.7% [1][7][73]. - The demand structure shows that new export orders increased more significantly than domestic orders, with new export orders rising by 0.6 percentage points to 47.8% [1][13][73]. - The purchasing volume index rose by 1.2 percentage points to 51.6%, indicating increased procurement activity due to stronger production [1][7][73]. New Momentum Industries - New momentum industries, such as equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing, saw significant PMI improvements, with equipment manufacturing PMI rising by 1.1 percentage points to 51.6% [2][19][74]. - The EPMI for emerging industries increased by 4.6 percentage points to 52.4%, indicating a positive trend in these sectors [2][19][74]. - In contrast, high-energy-consuming industries experienced a decline in PMI, dropping 0.7 percentage points to 47.5%, reflecting ongoing weakness in real estate and infrastructure investments [2][19][74]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing PMI fell to the critical point of 50%, with the construction PMI remaining low at 49.3% and the service PMI declining by 0.4 percentage points to 50.1% [2][24][74]. - The service sector, particularly industries related to consumer travel, such as dining and entertainment, saw significant declines in business activity indices [2][24][74]. - Conversely, sectors like postal and financial services maintained high activity indices above 60% [2][24][74]. Future Outlook - Although traditional sectors face downward pressure, new momentum is expected to provide stronger support for the economy, with ongoing monitoring of the effects of new growth policies [3][75]. - The implementation of new growth policies in key industries such as construction and steel is anticipated to mitigate risks associated with real estate and infrastructure downturns [3][75].