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范文仲:“十五五”规划与诺奖经济理论的启示
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 14:43
Core Viewpoint - The recent release of the "15th Five-Year Plan Suggestions" by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasizes technological innovation, deepening reforms, and new productive forces as the core drivers for the next five years, aligning with the recent Nobel Prize awarded to scholars for their contributions to innovation-driven economic growth [3][25]. Summary by Sections Nobel Laureates' Theoretical Insights - The Nobel Prize awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt recognizes their contributions to understanding innovation-driven economic growth, providing valuable theoretical guidance for implementing the "15th Five-Year Plan Suggestions" [4][21]. - Mokyr's theory emphasizes the importance of "useful knowledge" and its integration into economic growth, highlighting the historical context of knowledge accumulation and cultural shifts that foster innovation [5][6][11]. - Aghion and Howitt's model focuses on the role of entrepreneurial-led technological innovation as a key driver of economic growth, emphasizing the dynamics of creative destruction and the importance of market competition for fostering innovation [13][14][15]. Key Elements of the "15th Five-Year Plan Suggestions" - The plan outlines a strategic positioning for the next five years, aiming for high-quality development, significant improvements in technological self-reliance, and deepened reforms [26][27]. - Technological innovation is positioned as the core support for modernization, with a focus on original innovation and tackling key technological challenges [27][29]. - The plan emphasizes the construction of a modern industrial system, prioritizing the real economy and fostering emerging industries such as new energy and advanced manufacturing [28][30]. Alignment with Nobel Laureates' Theories - The emphasis on technological innovation in the "15th Five-Year Plan" aligns with the theories of the Nobel laureates, particularly in the context of transitioning from technology catching up to leading innovation [29][34]. - The plan's focus on enhancing original innovation and integrating technological advancements with industrial innovation resonates with Aghion and Howitt's views on the role of firms in driving innovation [30][31]. - The recognition of the need for a conducive institutional environment for innovation reflects the insights of Aghion and Howitt regarding the impact of social and institutional factors on technological progress [19][20]. Implications for Economic Growth - The plan's strategic focus on technological innovation is seen as essential for overcoming the "middle-income trap" and achieving sustainable economic growth [34][35]. - The integration of technological advancements into the economy is expected to enhance overall productivity and drive quality improvements in economic growth [36][37]. - The emphasis on a balanced competition policy aims to foster an environment conducive to innovation while ensuring fair market practices, aligning with Aghion and Howitt's findings on the relationship between competition and innovation [17][24].
范文仲:“十五五”规划与诺奖经济理论的启示|宏观经济
清华金融评论· 2025-11-04 08:59
Core Viewpoints - The article emphasizes the importance of technological innovation as the core driving force for economic growth in China, aligning with the recent Nobel Prize-winning theories on innovation-driven economic growth [4][6][32]. Summary by Sections Nobel Prize Winners' Theories - Joel Mokyr's theory highlights the significance of "useful knowledge" and its role in driving economic growth through the integration of scientific principles and practical knowledge [7][8]. - Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt focus on the relationship between economic growth and technological innovation, introducing the concept of "creative destruction" where new innovations replace outdated technologies [14][15][16]. "Fifteen Five" Planning Suggestions - The "Fifteen Five" planning document outlines a strategic framework for China's economic and social development, emphasizing high-quality development and technological self-reliance as key objectives [27][28]. - It identifies the need to strengthen original innovation and tackle key core technologies to support the modernization of the economy [29][32]. Technological Innovation as a Core Driver - The planning document positions technological innovation as the primary driver for achieving high-quality development, reflecting a shift from technology catching up to leading in innovation [32][37]. - It stresses the importance of integrating technological innovation with industrial innovation to enhance the efficiency of the innovation chain [33]. New Quality Productivity - The concept of "new quality productivity" is introduced, which is characterized by technological breakthroughs and innovative resource allocation, aiming to enhance overall productivity [34][35]. - The planning document emphasizes the need for a conducive institutional environment to foster innovation, including effective intellectual property protection and a robust financial system [20][21]. Policy Recommendations - The article suggests specific measures to implement the planning document's goals, focusing on enhancing the innovation ecosystem and addressing the challenges of transitioning to a high-quality growth model [45].
2025年诺贝尔经济学奖,藏着AI时代普通人赚钱的密码
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-15 13:18
Core Insights - The Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences awarded this year emphasizes the theory of economic growth, particularly focusing on "creative destruction" as a key concept [4][6][12] - The prize is shared between Joel Mokyr, who is recognized for linking technological progress to sustained growth, and Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt, who expanded on Joseph Schumpeter's ideas regarding creative destruction [4][6] Group 1: Creative Destruction - "Creative destruction" refers to the process where new technologies, products, or business models replace outdated economic structures, driving economic growth [9][10] - Schumpeter identified entrepreneurs as the leaders of economic development, capable of innovatively reconfiguring production factors to disrupt market equilibrium [7][9] - The dynamic imbalance created by creative destruction is essential for economic health, providing opportunities for entrepreneurs to earn excess profits [9][10] Group 2: Knowledge and Innovation - Mokyr's research highlights the profound connection between technological change and sustained economic growth, emphasizing the importance of knowledge accumulation and dissemination [13][15] - He categorizes knowledge into two types: propositional knowledge (understanding scientific principles) and procedural knowledge (practical skills to apply those principles) [13][14] - The interplay between these two types of knowledge is crucial for economic advancement, as scientific principles drive technological inventions while technical challenges stimulate scientific breakthroughs [14][15] Group 3: Implications for Individuals and Entrepreneurs - The insights from the Nobel Prize reveal that continuous innovation, knowledge accumulation, and a spirit of risk-taking are vital for sustained growth at individual, corporate, and national levels [16][17] - Entrepreneurs are encouraged to engage in "creative destruction" by breaking old rules and redefining problems, rather than merely replicating existing successful models [18][19] - Emphasizing the importance of knowledge as the foundational currency for innovation, the article suggests that entrepreneurs should adopt a mindset of experimentation and view failures as learning opportunities [23][30]
解读2025年诺贝尔经济学奖:“创造性破坏”为何如此重要?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-13 23:25
Group 1 - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to the theory of innovation-driven economic growth [1][3][4] - The prize money amounts to 11 million Swedish Krona, with half awarded to Mokyr and the other half shared by Aghion and Howitt [2][3] Group 2 - Joel Mokyr is recognized for identifying the conditions necessary for sustained growth through technological advancement, emphasizing the mutual reinforcement between scientific breakthroughs and practical applications [3][10] - Mokyr's research highlights that the modern economic growth initiated post-Industrial Revolution was not due to a single technological breakthrough but rather a paradigm shift in human inquiry [10][39] - Aghion and Howitt are acknowledged for their theory of "creative destruction," which explains that economic growth is achieved through innovation that displaces outdated products and practices [4][45] Group 3 - Mokyr's work indicates that the continuous flow of "useful knowledge" is essential for sustained economic growth, contrasting the pre-Industrial Revolution reliance on normative knowledge [28][30] - Aghion and Howitt's model illustrates that "creative destruction" is the core driver of sustained growth, where new enterprises and jobs replace outdated ones, fostering a competitive environment [35][36] - Their research suggests that both high and low market concentration can hinder innovation, indicating the need for policies to manage market dynamics effectively [37][48] Group 4 - Mokyr emphasizes the importance of societal acceptance of change, as technological advancements can create both winners and losers, necessitating support for those affected [31][38] - The collaboration between Aghion and Howitt has led to significant advancements in understanding the relationship between innovation, competition, and economic growth [22][45] - Their work has implications for various fields, including education policy and financial structures, highlighting the role of government in facilitating innovation while managing its social costs [47][48]
诺贝尔经济学奖公布!获奖成果都在研究什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 15:58
Core Insights - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to economists Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to understanding innovation-driven economic growth [1][2] - Mokyr received half of the prize for his work on the prerequisites for sustained growth through technological progress, while Aghion and Howitt shared the other half for their theory on sustained growth under creative destruction [1] Group 1: Mokyr's Contributions - Mokyr's research addresses why the Industrial Revolution occurred in 18th century Britain rather than in India, emphasizing the importance of "useful knowledge" accumulation, inclusive institutional environments, and cultural respect for experimental science [3][4] - His work highlights the role of platforms like the Royal Society in knowledge sharing, patent laws in protecting innovators, and societal attitudes towards science as critical factors for technological transformation into sustained productivity [3] Group 2: Aghion and Howitt's Theory - Aghion and Howitt's "creative destruction" model explains the dynamics of innovation, where competitive R&D leads to vertical innovation as the ultimate source of growth [7] - Their model illustrates that increased R&D activity can rapidly destroy existing innovations, thereby impacting current R&D incentives, and it provides a framework for understanding the transition from traditional fuel vehicles to electric vehicles [7][8] - The model also quantifies the effects of innovation on employment and industry structure, suggesting that while old industries may decline, the overall vitality of the economic ecosystem can improve [8] Group 3: Trends in Economic Research - Recent Nobel Prize selections reflect a shift in economic research from abstract theoretical modeling to addressing real-world issues, emphasizing dynamic processes over static analyses, and integrating interdisciplinary approaches [10] - This trend is particularly evident in new economic fields, where research must consider multiple dimensions such as technological feasibility, regulatory frameworks, and consumer behavior [10]
“创造性破坏”为何如此重要?中国学者解读2025年诺贝尔经济学奖:对我国当前发展有很好的启示
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-13 14:51
Core Points - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences was awarded to Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt for their contributions to the theory of innovation-driven economic growth [3] - The prize money amounts to 11 million Swedish Krona, with half awarded to Mokyr for identifying the prerequisites for sustained growth through technological advancement [3] - Aghion and Howitt jointly received the other half for their theory of sustained growth through "creative destruction," which explains how innovation leads to the obsolescence of old products [3] Group 1: Joel Mokyr - Joel Mokyr, born in Leiden, Netherlands, is recognized for his work combining micro-historical data with macro-narratives to explain the onset of modern economic growth post-Industrial Revolution [4][6] - Mokyr argues that the key to sustained growth lies in the systematic questioning of "why" rather than just "how," marking a paradigm shift in human thought [4][22] - His influential book, "A Culture of Growth: The Origins of the Modern Economy," emphasizes the importance of the accumulation of useful knowledge and the interaction of culture, institutions, and cognitive structures [25][26] Group 2: Philippe Aghion - Philippe Aghion, born in Paris, comes from a prominent family and has a strong background in mathematics, which led him to a career in economic research [10][11] - Aghion has been influential in shaping policies that encourage innovation and has argued against the notion that AI will lead to mass unemployment, citing historical trends of job creation following technological revolutions [11][20] - His collaboration with Howitt on the "creative destruction" model has significantly impacted the understanding of economic growth dynamics [13][26] Group 3: Peter Howitt - Peter Howitt, a Canadian economist, is known for his meticulous approach to economic theory and has contributed to the development of macroeconomic models linking micro-innovative activities to macroeconomic growth [12][13] - His partnership with Aghion has led to the formalization of the "creative destruction" concept within economic models, providing a quantitative framework for understanding innovation's role in growth [20][26] - Howitt's work has been recognized in academic circles, and he has been identified as a strong candidate for the Nobel Prize prior to this award [13][20] Group 4: Theoretical Contributions - Mokyr's research highlights that the continuous flow of "useful knowledge" is essential for sustained economic growth, contrasting with the pre-Industrial Revolution reliance on normative knowledge [15][17] - Aghion and Howitt's model illustrates that "creative destruction" is a core driver of economic growth, where new enterprises and jobs replace outdated ones, fostering a dynamic economic environment [20][21] - Their findings suggest that market concentration levels can significantly affect innovation processes, indicating the need for policies to manage monopolistic tendencies in order to sustain growth [21][26]