核心资产定价权转移

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每日投行/机构观点梳理(2025-05-26)
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-27 01:53
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs predicts that for every 1% appreciation of the RMB against the USD, the Chinese stock market could rise by 3%, driven by improved corporate profit outlooks and increased foreign capital inflows [1] - Goldman Sachs believes that under a strong currency, sectors such as non-essential consumer goods, real estate, and brokerage stocks typically perform well [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates a rebound in Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (Hibor) in the coming months due to the absorption of excess liquidity in the market [1] Group 2 - JPMorgan suggests that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may further cut interest rates by 25 basis points, as recent domestic data has improved, alleviating some previous concerns [2] - MUFG analysts expect the Japanese yen to remain supported by the potential for further interest rate hikes later this year, despite low expectations from the market [2] - Allianz Group expresses concerns that the U.S. may lose its status as a "reliable investment destination" due to legislative changes affecting clean energy investments [2] Group 3 - CITIC Securities forecasts that the yield on China's 10-year government bonds may drop to between 1.4% and 1.5% in the coming months due to stronger demand for fixed-income assets [4] - Everbright Securities reports that China's phosphate fertilizer exports are expected to gradually recover, driven by export demand [4] - Dongwu Securities highlights that the technology growth style is favored, recommending investments in sectors such as robotics and artificial intelligence [4] Group 4 - CITIC Securities emphasizes the need to move away from "interest dependency" as interest rates continue to decline, suggesting a shift towards diversified asset allocation [5] - CITIC Securities remains optimistic about investment opportunities in the AI computing power sector, driven by advancements in AI models [6] - CITIC Securities notes that the pricing power of core assets is gradually shifting southward, with an increase in IPOs from quality companies in Hong Kong [7] Group 5 - CITIC Securities indicates that the valuation of the brokerage sector is expected to stabilize and recover, supported by favorable liquidity and financial policies [9] - Galaxy Securities observes rapid rotation in market trends, suggesting a cautious approach while focusing on structural investment opportunities [10] - Shenwan Hongyuan reports significant growth potential in Xinjiang's power supply and demand, with expectations for substantial increases in renewable energy generation [11]
大揭秘!投资获胜的三大关键
天天基金网· 2025-05-26 03:25
上天天基金APP搜索【777】开户即可领98元券包 ,优选基金10元起投!限量发放!先到先得! 中信证券:核心资产定价权逐步向南转移 东方财富:短期需要更加稳健 本周海外金融市场动荡加剧,日本长债利率、美债利率明显上行;美欧贸易摩擦再出波折,验证特朗普对于关 税问题的反复性,均将边际扰动市场风险偏好,短期需要更加稳健。 近期小微盘风格录得明显相对收益,在我们看来是存量博弈、快速轮动的市场环境下,资金为获得超额收益进 行市值下沉以博取筹码定价权的结果。回顾2023年以来,中证2000指数在成交额占比达到30%的高拥挤度状态 后行情波动性均明显加大,后续例如市场避险情绪升温、政策表态等均可能带来资金的负反馈风险。本周中证 2000成交额占比来到32%的高位,目前市场流动性环境明显好于2024年初,回撤幅度预计好于当时,但短期过 热仍需合理消化。 兴业证券:市场主线有望再度偏向科技成长 本轮A股公司密集赴港IPO是出海战略、制度便利和港股流动性改善三重力量助推。优质核心资产在港股正式 交易后,短期会活跃对应A股的交易,部分核心资产的定价权可能会逐步南移。这个现象的背后是港股市场的 吸引力在系统性提升,一是资产供给结 ...