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英镑净多头仓位激增50% 日本央行维持利率不变
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 12:56
Group 1 - The US dollar index is experiencing low-level fluctuations around 98, approaching its yearly low, influenced by geopolitical tensions and market expectations ahead of the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting [1] - Market anticipates the Fed will maintain interest rates, but the dot plot and Powell's comments will be crucial indicators for future monetary policy [1] - Recent weak economic data from the US has increased expectations for two rate cuts this year, diminishing the dollar's attractiveness [1] Group 2 - The euro has seen limited gains despite a better-than-expected German ZEW economic sentiment index, with the euro/USD rising due to declining US Treasury yields and a weaker dollar [3] - Market expectations for a rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) have slightly decreased, with the deposit facility rate projected at 1.78% for December [3] - The ECB reported an increase in overnight loan facility usage to €9 million, while overnight deposit facility usage rose to €2,711.169 billion, indicating ample market liquidity [3] Group 3 - The Bank of Japan maintained its short-term interest rate at 0.5% and announced a slower pace of bond purchase reduction, reflecting caution regarding market liquidity and economic outlook [7] - The Bank of Japan's governor highlighted uncertainties from US trade policies that could impact corporate decisions and economic conditions [7] Group 4 - The British pound's net long positions surged by 50% to 51,634, the highest in seven months, amid expectations of a potential dovish signal from the Bank of England [6] - If UK inflation data falls below expectations, the likelihood of the Bank of England maintaining rates while signaling potential cuts may increase [6] Group 5 - New Zealand's economy is projected to grow by 0.7% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2025, exceeding the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's forecast, though this prediction carries significant uncertainty [7] - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's decision on interest rates in July will depend on upcoming economic data [7]
荷兰国际:欧元走势更可能继续由美元表现主导
news flash· 2025-05-30 13:04
荷兰国际:欧元走势更可能继续由美元表现主导 金十数据5月30日讯,荷兰国际集团分析师Chris Turner在报告中指出,欧元走势更可能继续由美元表现 主导。他表示,市场已完全消化欧洲央行6月5日降息25个基点的预期。美国PCE数据是今天欧元最大的 催化剂,我们预计该数据或使其继续维持在1.1300-1.1400美元的短期区间内。 ...