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Mhmarkets迈汇:银价动力强劲的多重推力
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 10:13
Core Viewpoint - The silver market is experiencing renewed focus following a price surge above $63 per ounce, indicating strong upward momentum and potential for further increases [1][2]. Market Dynamics - Analysts note a significant increase in bullish sentiment as the gold-silver ratio briefly surpassed 80 but could not hold, leading to renewed interest from buyers [1][2]. - The recent price increase has prompted market participants to adjust their stop-loss levels, reflecting high confidence in the silver market's future performance [3][4]. Supply and Demand Factors - The ongoing global electrification and expansion of AI infrastructure are driving industrial demand for silver, while supply constraints remain unaddressed [4]. - The supply-demand gap is becoming a crucial factor in driving silver prices, reinforcing the market's belief in a long-term upward trend [4]. Valuation Perspective - Despite silver prices stabilizing above $63, they remain relatively low compared to gold prices, with historical gold-silver ratios typically ranging between 50 and 60 [4]. - Analysts predict the gold-silver ratio may decline to around 40, which could accelerate silver price increases, indicating that its relative value has not been fully realized [4]. Future Outlook - There are expectations that silver prices could reach $75 per ounce by 2026, with potential price adjustments providing attractive buying opportunities [2][5]. - Factors such as anticipated loose monetary policy, balance sheet expansion, and ongoing fiscal stimulus are expected to boost demand for hard assets, including precious metals [2][5]. - A recent 25 basis point interest rate cut has lowered policy rates to a range of 3.50% to 3.75%, enhancing expectations for further monetary easing [2][5]. Long-term Investment Logic - The combination of multiple driving forces suggests a solid upward logic for precious metals, with silver offering a more attractive value proposition compared to gold [5]. - The potential for silver prices to rise further remains significant, with long-term investment value still worthy of attention in the current macroeconomic environment [5].
Kapoor: The dollar is likely to underperform heading into 2026
Youtube· 2025-11-24 12:16
All right. We spend a lot of time looking at stats about the markets and the and Q4 and seasonality. Is that something you're paying attention to. Do you think that's something that global investors are paying attention to.>> Yeah, we tend not to pay too much attention to what happens in one quarter, per se. And actually, if you take a step back and if you're an investor, it's been a pretty good year. Uh many asset classes have done incredibly well this year on a year-to- date basis.So even if you set aside ...
荷兰国际:欧元走势更可能继续由美元表现主导
news flash· 2025-05-30 13:04
Core Viewpoint - The euro's performance is likely to continue being dominated by the US dollar's movements [1] Group 1: Market Expectations - The market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the European Central Bank on June 5 [1] - The US PCE data is expected to be the main catalyst for the euro today, potentially keeping it within the short-term range of 1.1300 to 1.1400 USD [1]